Search Icon

BB Erzurumspor vs Samsunspor – Free Football Prediction – September 20, 2026

BB Erzurumspor vs Samsunspor: two goals in five rounds against a run of three straight defeats Super Lig

BB Erzurumspor have scored just two goals across their first five Super Lig matches. That leaves them tied for the worst attacking return in the Turkish top flight.

Samsunspor, meanwhile, come in carrying three straight defeats. The game takes place on Sunday 20 September at 16:00, at Kazim Karabekir Stadium.

Both clubs have exactly four points after five matches, with identical records of one win, one draw and three defeats. The newly promoted side sit 16th, their visitors 15th.

The two sides have also conceded 11 goals apiece. The only real difference is up front, where the visitors have managed six goals to the hosts’ two.

Recent history points firmly towards Samsunspor, who are unbeaten in the last six meetings with three wins and three draws since September 2017. So there is no handy reference point for Erzurum at Kazim Karabekir.

This sixth-round clash is really about two separate problems: Erzurum need a goal, Samsun need to stop the slide. And the first looks a lot harder to solve.

The wider picture adds pressure on the newcomers: four points from 15 so far, three of them coming in a single match. Their only win remains the 1-0 victory over Konyaspor in early September.

BB Erzurumspor: a promoted side that have stopped scoring over three matches BB Erzurumspor

Serkan Ozbalta’s team began life in the top division with two heavy defeats, 3-0 at Amed SK and 4-0 at home to Galatasaray. Promotion, won by claiming the 1. Lig title last season, has been a rough ride from day one.

Their first point came at Genclerbirligi with a 1-1 draw, before their only win of the campaign. Eren Tozlu’s first-half strike was enough to beat Konyaspor 1-0 on 5 September at Kazim Karabekir Stadium.

That spark did not last. Last Friday, Erzurumspor went to Beşiktaş and came back with a 3-0 defeat, with Emirhan Topcu and Leandro Trossard doing the damage before the break and Yakup Kirtay adding an own goal in the 81st minute.

They are now without a goal in three matches this season. Two goals in five rounds is the core issue for a side that simply does not have the firepower of a settled top-flight club.

Tozlu, 35, has scored both of those goals on his own and is set to lead the line again. Behind him, the back five should stay the same, with Amar Gerxhaliu, Mustafa Yumlu, Nihad Mujakic, Orhan Ovacikli and Georgian full-back Guram Giorbelidze.

Unless there is a late scare, Ozbalta has a full squad to choose from, with no injuries or suspensions. That is about the only card he can play going into this one.

Kazim Karabekir Stadium remains the only ground where Erzurumspor have won this season. That result against Konyaspor is still their only positive marker ahead of Samsunspor’s visit.

$0.99
7-day trial
Full Pro access.
Try it for $0.99.
Picks · Injury reports · Trends · Tools · No ads — no commitment

Samsunspor: three defeats on the spin and an injury list that is starting to bite through the middle Samsunspor

Samsunspor actually started well enough, taking four points from their opening two games. A 3-3 draw with Goztepe on 17 August came before a 2-1 win snatched at the last against Caykur Didi Stadium on 22 August.

The collapse began against Fenerbahce in a 2-0 defeat, then continued at Kocaelispor with a 1-0 loss. The worst was still to come.

Last Saturday, Corum Belediyespor came to the Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadium and left with a 5-1 win. Jesus Ramirez and Logi Thomasson had both struck inside the first five minutes, one at either end of the pitch, to set things up for a wild afternoon.

A Cengiz Under brace before half-time turned the match, before Alexandros Kyziridis scored in the 69th minute and Ramirez added his second. Eleven goals conceded in five matches owe a lot to that one afternoon.

The contrast with last season is stark: seventh in the table after winning five of their last six matches, Samsunspor have kept none of that momentum. Thorsten Fink now has to reshape his side without midfield trio Afonso Sousa, Tanguy Coulibaly and Jaures Assoumou, all of whom are in the treatment room.

Up front, the German coach is also missing Fatih Kaya, who went off injured against Fenerbahce on 30 August and has not played since, as well as Elayis Tavsan, who is carrying a muscle problem. Still, they do have one strong angle: six meetings without defeat against Sunday’s opponents.

Samsunspor’s only two positive results came in August, with the 3-3 draw against Goztepe and the 2-1 win at Rizespor. Since then, they have not taken another league point.

Expected BB Erzurumspor line-up: Taskiran ; Gerxhaliu, Yumlu, Mujakic, Ovacikli, Giorbelidze ; Cardoso, Owusu, Baiye, Rodriguez ; Tozlu

Expected Samsunspor line-up: Kocuk ; Mendes, Erakovic, Guarino, Thomasson ; Yuksel, Onur ; Jarju, Kayan, Kilinc ; Mouandilmadji

Football Prediction BB Erzurumspor vs Samsunspor

Our prediction: Samsunspor to win

Two goals in five matches and three straight games without scoring: Erzurumspor do not have the attacking tools to win this, whatever issues their visitors are carrying. The promoted side have only found the net against Konyaspor and Genclerbirligi since the season started.

Samsunspor, meanwhile, are unbeaten in the last six meetings between the clubs, with three wins and three draws since September 2017. Their 5-1 collapse against Corum muddies the defensive picture, but they had conceded only six goals across the other four league fixtures.

Samsunspor end the skid in eastern Anatolia. The bet is on an away win.

MathODDS App
Your picks,
in your pocket.
Predictions · Trends · Tools · Injury reports
Real-time notifications & alerts
★★★★★

_________

First of all, a word on our free predictions

  • What we publish on mathodds is analysis, nothing more. We share an opinion, a read on the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport is what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a freak goal out of nowhere… and the script changes completely.
  • Let’s be clear: there is no risk-free bet. Even when something looks obvious, nothing really is. And yes, that means you can lose. In fact, sooner or later, you will.
  • The best approach is to stay sensible. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Do not touch money you need to live. And above all, do not chase losses; it rarely ends well.
  • A bet should stay a game, not a job or a source of income. If you feel it is taking up too much space in your daily life, making you angry or putting you under pressure, take a break. And if you need to, speak to a specialist organisation. That is what they are there for.
  • In the end, the responsibility is yours. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never go away, even with the best analysis in the world.
  • Important reminder: betting is illegal for minors and must comply with the law in your country. Gambling can spiral fast (money lost, family tension, addiction). Need Help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. In the UK? Visit https://www.gambleaware.org/https://www.gambleaware.org/.

No commitment from us

Our predictions are not a contract. They carry no legal weight. In plain English: you cannot use them to demand anything if a bet goes wrong.

Changing information

A prediction is always based on what we know when it is written. But in the meantime, a team sheet changes (like Samsunspor’s, for example), a player gets injured, the weather turns… and the analysis can quickly be out of date. We cannot be held responsible for that.

Your role

Before you bet, just check that betting is legal where you are. If it is not, that is your responsibility, not ours.

Responsible gambling first

We cannot say it enough: bet in moderation. If you are struggling to stay in control, do not wait to get help. We cannot be responsible for compulsive or excessive use of the information published on the site.

Legal age

mathodds content is for adults only. By using this site, you confirm that you are old enough to bet under the law.

About the images…

The images and logos of BB Erzurumspor and Samsunspor used on mathodds, including those linked to the Super Lig, are there only to illustrate our articles. They do not mean we have any official link with a federation or sports body, and we claim no rights over them.

Those rights belong to the original creators. If, despite our care, any image causes a problem, contact us: it will be removed without delay.

Our only aim with these images is to make the reading experience better. Nothing more. No commercial gain, no taking credit for other people’s work.

Author

  • MathODDS logo

    The MathODDS editorial team brings together passionate experts in sports, statistics, and sports betting.

    Every day, our team breaks down the latest news, odds, and trends to deliver reliable analysis, well-argued predictions, and advice tailored to both beginner and experienced bettors.


Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *