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Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx - Free WNBA Prediction - September 22, 2026

Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx – Free WNBA Prediction – September 22, 2026

Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx : a tense clash at the top WNBA

Indiana host Minnesota in a meeting between two sides already through to the playoffs. The Fever sit second in the East, while the Lynx are top in the West. With a few games left in the regular season, both still have positions to protect, and there is no real reason for either to ease off.

Their last meeting was a shootout, with Minnesota edging it 108-100. This time, the picture looks different. The playoffs are close, the pace could dip, and the Lynx have the defensive tools to make life awkward for an Indiana side that just had a major off night from the floor against Washington. Minnesota also have enough on the road to stay in the fight.

Indiana Fever look to bounce back after their last setback Fever de l'Indiana — Wikipedia

Indiana have won seven of their last 10, but their most recent outing left a sour taste. The Fever fell to Washington and simply could not buy a basket. It does not erase what has been a strong attack across the season, but it is a reminder that even good teams can hit a wall.

With 96.7 points per game this season, Indiana have one of the league’s most productive offences. Over their last 10, that number climbs to 99.1, and they are putting up 98 points a game at home. So the Fever should be aiming to get back on track quickly in front of their own fans.

The issue may come at the other end. Indiana are allowing 90.2 points per game this season and 92.4 across their last 10. Against a Minnesota side that can do more than just defend, and has several players who can hurt you offensively, the Fever will need to avoid turning this into a track meet.

Minnesota Lynx can lean on their defence Minnesota Lynx - Wikipedia

Minnesota arrive with a slightly less eye-catching recent record, having won just two of their last five. Over their last 10, though, they are still in good shape with seven wins and three losses. More importantly, they just got back in the win column against Connecticut and can lean on a defence that has been rock solid.

The Lynx are allowing only 82.8 points per game this season and just 84.6 across their last 10. Their own offence has cooled a touch lately, down to 87.8 points a night on average, but that can be offset by their ability to slow opponents down.

The road trip should not faze them much either. Minnesota have won nine of their last 10 away games and are averaging 88.3 points in their last 10 on the road. With Napheesa Collier, Courtney Williams and Kayla McBride leading the way, the Lynx have the tools to stay right on Indiana’s shoulder, even if the Fever get their noses in front.

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WNBA Prediction : Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx

Minnesota Lynx (+7) handicap and under 187.5 points

We are backing Minnesota +7 and under 187.5 points. The handicap stands out given the Lynx’s consistency on the road. Minnesota have won nine of their last 10 away games and have a defence strong enough to stop Indiana running away with it early.

The Fever are still more than capable of putting up big numbers. With an average of 99.1 points across their last 10, Indiana should have no problem getting past 90. But their latest outing against Washington showed that even a potent attack can go cold for a night. Against the Lynx defence, a similar spell could easily happen again.

The head-to-head numbers also point towards a more controlled total. Games between these teams average 156.5 points, miles below the 187.5 line on offer. Their last meeting was the outlier, with 208 points in Minneapolis, but the broader trend in this matchup is much lower.

And the playoffs may also have an effect on the tempo. Both teams are already in and are more likely to focus on protecting position than chasing style points. Minnesota have the defence to dictate the pace and the experience to handle a hostile floor. The Lynx can stay within seven, while the total should stay under 187.5.

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Author

  • Elouan CHARTIER

    Writer at MathODDS, passionate about sports and a big basketball fan. Studying communication and media, curious and dedicated to bringing you articles on sports news.


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