Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun – Free WNBA Prediction – September 22, 2026

Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun : the Mystics can push this one up

Washington host Connecticut in this latest regular-season clash. The Mystics come in with far better momentum, having won four of their last five and strung together two straight victories. The Sun, by contrast, are in a rough patch and have now lost five on the bounce.

On paper, there is a clear gap between the two sides, but it is Washington’s attack that really stands out. The Mystics have been averaging 89.7 points across their last 10 games, while Connecticut have been giving up close to 92 over the same span. That sets the stage for the total to climb beyond 157.5 points.

The Washington Mystics want to keep rolling

Washington are riding a strong run, with four wins from their last five outings. They have also taken seven of their last 10, with just three defeats in that stretch. A lot of that has come down to an attack that has settled into a nice rhythm.

The capital side are putting up 89.7 points per game over their last 10, including 85.67 at home. For the season, Washington are averaging 83.3 points and their games are finishing at 165.7 points. So the recent offensive output is running well above their yearly mark.

The last meeting in Washington was open enough, too. On 29 July, the Mystics won 92-84. With a team that is brimming with attacking confidence and an opponent struggling badly at the other end, Washington have every chance of driving the score up again.

Connecticut Sun remain in trouble

It is a far more awkward picture for Connecticut. The Sun have dropped five in a row and have won only two of their last 10. Over that spell, they are scoring just 76.7 points per game and conceding 91.9, which goes a long way to explaining the recent mess.

Their attacking problems are even worse away from home, with only 73.4 points per game across their last 10 road trips. Even so, Washington’s pace could hand them more chances. Connecticut do not need to be especially efficient to help this game clear 157.5 points, especially if the Mystics keep producing at the same rate.

Recent meetings have also been pretty healthy for points, averaging 159.5 across the head-to-head series. Connecticut do hold the historical edge with 32 wins to Washington’s 26 in 58 meetings. But the latest clash went the Mystics’ way, 92-84, and the current form of both sides gives this rematch a very different feel.

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WNBA prediction : Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun

Over 157.5 points in the game

We are backing over 157.5 points here. Washington arrive with an attack full of confidence and are averaging 89.7 points across their last 10 games. At the same time, Connecticut are conceding 91.9 over that stretch, which gives the capital side a very friendly setup to reach a healthy total.

The last meeting between these two teams points the same way. Washington won 92-84 in late July, a game that produced 176 points in all. Sure, every game writes its own script, but the Sun already showed how hard it is for them to slow down the Mystics’ offence.

Connecticut will still need to chip in if this call is going to land. Their recent scoring numbers are poor, but the setup could help. Washington play a fast, attack-minded game and the Sun are leaking points all over the place. With more possessions and more shooting chances, Connecticut can do enough to carry the total over the line.

Season averages also sit close to our line, with Washington games at 165.7 points and Connecticut games at 166.55. Recent form only strengthens that case, especially with the Mystics’ offence firing. The 157.5 mark looks well within reach in a game where Washington should set the tone once again.

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