Search Icon

PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam – Free Football Prediction – September 13, 2026

PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam: seventeen meetings, zero wins for the visitors

Sparta Rotterdam have not beaten PSV Eindhoven in 17 meetings, with 15 of those ending in defeat. The last eight have all gone PSV’s way.

That lopsided record hangs over round six of the Eredivisie, set for Sunday 13 September at 20:00 Paris time at the Philips Stadion. It opens the weekend and could shake up the table.

AZ Alkmaar could only take a point from their home game against Willem II on Friday night. PSV, second with 13 points from five matches, would go top on goal difference with a win.

Sparta arrive in 11th with five points and just one win to their name. After six weeks of the season, there are eight points between the sides.

Ending two years without a win against Ajax by going to the Johan Cruijff Arena and winning 3-1, with goals from Pepi, Geertruida and Bajraktarević, was the perfect response. Peter Bosz finally shook off the ghost that had been dogging his side for five games.

But the mood was quickly cooled by Thursday’s Champions League meeting with Shakhtar Donetsk, which ended 1-1. On Sunday at 20:00, PSV must switch focus fast as Sparta Rotterdam come to the Philips Stadion.

Key angles:

  • Managing the legs: Just three days to recover after the European letdown. Bosz’s men are going to have to dig deep.

  • Perfect trap: Sparta arrive in Eindhoven with no pressure at all. Against a heavyweight who has just burned energy in the Champions League, the visitors will fancy going for broke.

  • Live up to the tag: After that show in Amsterdam, there can be no throwing away three huge points by blowing it at home.

One thing still gives Rogier Meijer hope: Sparta have scored at least twice in three of their last four games. That is exactly why this one is harder to read than a simple mismatch on paper.

PSV Eindhoven: four straight wins and an attack in full flow

PSV have won their last four Eredivisie matches after opening with a 2-2 draw against Fortuna Sittard. That run includes a 5-1 against Groningen, a 6-1 at Utrecht and the 3-1 win at Ajax.

Three of those four victories came with three goals or more. The attack has been the real calling card of this side since the restart.

The flip side is there in the scores: PSV have conceded in all four of those wins. They leave space, and opponents keep finding it.

Ricardo Pepi leads the internal scoring chart with three goals. Ruben van Bommel is next with two goals and two assists, and he has had a hand in every one of the last four league games.

Sergino Dest also has two assists, which tells you how much damage this side does from wide areas. They are not built around one man.

The injury list is still long: Alassane Plea, Sam Lammers, Sami Ouaissa, who has a hamstring problem, Mikkel Bro Hansen, Kiliann Sildillia and Jerdy Schouten, out with an ACL injury, are all missing. That leaves Bosz shorter on depth in midfield and up front.

One factor still works in PSV’s favour: their record at home against this opponent. Sparta have not won at the Philips Stadion since December 1995.

$0.99
7-day trial
Full Pro access.
Try it for $0.99.
Picks · Injury reports · Trends · Tools · No ads — no commitment

Sparta Rotterdam: goals at one end, holes at the other

Sparta have collected five points from five matches, with one win, two draws and two defeats. Their only victory came in round two, a 3-1 success at Telstar.

What the record hides is the attacking output: at least two goals in three of their last four matches. The 3-3 draw with FC Utrecht and the 3-1 win at Telstar stand out most.

The trouble is at the back. Sparta have shipped three against Utrecht, two at Excelsior and two more against PEC Zwolle, in last week’s 2-2 draw.

Milan Zonneveld has almost carried the attack on his own. The striker has scored in three straight appearances and set up a goal against PEC Zwolle.

Shunsuke Mito has two assists since the restart, and Mitchel van Bergen adds pace and threat out wide. Those three are Sparta’s best route to causing problems at the Philips Stadion.

Rogier Meijer has almost a full squad to choose from, with only Robin van Cruijsen a doubt before the trip. That is a relative bonus against a PSV side missing six players.

History still screams PSV: Sparta’s last league win over them came in November 2001, their last victory in any competition came in the Dutch Cup in October 2016. Their last positive result was a 0-0 draw in January 2023.

Likely PSV Eindhoven team: Kovar ; Dest, Flamingo, Obispo, Mauro Jnr ; Sano, Wanner ; Perisic, Til, Van Bommel ; Pepi

Likely Sparta Rotterdam team: Bednarek ; Martes, Young, Martins Indi, Kuipers ; Baas, Hatenboer ; Terho, Mito, Van Bergen ; Zonneveld

Football prediction PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta Rotterdam

Our prediction: PSV Eindhoven to win and both teams to score

PSV have conceded in all four of their Eredivisie wins, while scoring three or more in three of them. This kind of open game keeps showing up too often to be written off as a fluke.

At the other end, Sparta have scored in four of their five league games and just put two past PEC Zwolle. Zonneveld, decisive in his last three outings, gives the visitors a believable platform to avoid leaving empty-handed.

The individual quality is on another level in Eindhoven, and Sparta have not won here for 30 years. Back PSV to win with goals at both ends.

MathODDS App
Your picks,
in your pocket.
Predictions · Trends · Tools · Injury reports
Real-time notifications & alerts
★★★★★

_________

First, a word on our free tips

  • What we publish on mathodds is analysis, nothing more. We share an opinion, a read on the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport is what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a goal out of nowhere… and the script changes completely.
  • Let’s be clear: there is no risk-free bet. Even when something looks obvious, it never really is. And yes, that means you can lose. In fact, you will, at some point.
  • The best approach is to stay sensible. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Do not touch money you need to live. And above all, do not chase losses – that rarely ends well.
  • A bet should stay a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts taking over your day, if it winds you up or puts you under pressure, take a break. And if needed, speak to a specialist organisation. That is what they are there for.
  • In the end, responsibility is yours. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never disappear, even with the best analysis in the world.
  • Important reminder: betting is illegal for minors and must follow the law in your country. Gambling can spiral quickly (money problems, family tension, addiction). Need Help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. In the UK? Visit https://www.gambleaware.org/https://www.gambleaware.org/.

No commitment from us

Our tips are not a contract. They have no legal force. In plain English: you cannot use them to claim anything if a bet loses.

Information can change

A tip is always based on what is known when it is written. But in the meantime, a team sheet changes (like PSV Eindhoven’s, for example), a player gets injured, the weather turns… and the analysis can be out of date fast. We cannot be held responsible for that.

Your role

Before betting, simply check that gambling is legal where you are. If it is not, that is your responsibility, not ours.

Responsible gambling first

We cannot say it often enough: bet in moderation. If you are struggling to stay in control, do not wait to get help. We cannot be responsible for compulsive or excessive use of the information published on the site.

Legal age

mathodds content is for adults only. By using this site, you confirm that you are of legal age to bet.

About the images…

The images and logos of PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam on mathodds, including those linked to the Eredivisie, are there purely to illustrate our articles. They do not mean we have an official link with any federation or sports body, and we claim no rights over them.

Those rights belong to the original creators. If, despite our care, any image causes a problem, contact us and it will be removed at once.

Our only aim with these images is to make the reading experience better. Nothing more. No commercial gain, no taking credit for other people’s work.

Author

  • MathODDS logo

    The MathODDS editorial team brings together passionate experts in sports, statistics, and sports betting.

    Every day, our team breaks down the latest news, odds, and trends to deliver reliable analysis, well-argued predictions, and advice tailored to both beginner and experienced bettors.


Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *