- 1 Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury: both offences can push this one up
- 2 Minnesota often sets the tempo
- 3 Phoenix will need to answer on offence
- 4 WNBA Prediction : Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury
- 5 First, a word on our picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes fast
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images
Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury: both offences can push this one up 
Minnesota host Phoenix as heavy favourites. The Lynx are having a superb season and sit firmly on top of the Western Conference, while the Mercury are struggling to keep pace with the league’s best. Even so, a free-flowing game looks well within reach.
The winner is hard to argue with, but the total points line is where the real value lies. Minnesota have the tools to dictate the pace, while Phoenix will need to answer on offence if they want to avoid being swallowed up early.
Minnesota often sets the tempo 
The Lynx have kept their strong season rolling with 17 wins from 23 games. Their strength comes from a well-drilled unit that can find answers in almost any situation. At home, Minnesota are averaging close to 90 points a night and still boast one of the league’s toughest defences.
The results have been coming, but the Lynx do not always shut games down. Their season scoring average is above 168 points and recent home displays suggest a team more than happy to open up when the matchup suits. Over their last 10 home games, they are scoring more than 91 points per contest.
The last meeting with Phoenix summed that up perfectly. Minnesota won 111-77, found their rhythm quickly and punished every defensive mistake from the Mercury. Back on home court, the Lynx will be looking for more of the same.
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Phoenix will need to answer on offence 
The Mercury are having a much rougher season, with just 8 wins from 24 games. Results have been patchy, but Phoenix still carry enough firepower to cause problems when the shots are falling.
On the road, the team are averaging close to 80 points, a touch below their overall standard, but still enough to help a high total when the pace picks up. Their last 10 games point to a slight uptick too, with more than 85 points scored on average.
Against Minnesota, Phoenix will probably have no choice but to embrace an open game. They know they will struggle to go toe-to-toe in a tight, half-court battle where every possession matters. Finding quick offensive answers and matching the Lynx’s tempo looks like their best shot at staying in it.
[bet365_cta]
WNBA Prediction : Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury
Over 169.5 points in the game
The line sits very close to the combined season averages of both sides. Minnesota games are producing just over 168 points on average, while Phoenix contests are nearing 170. So this does not need a fireworks show to go over.
There is, admittedly, a historical trend that sees Minnesota often held below 90 points against the Mercury. The Lynx have failed to top 89.5 points in nine of their last 10 meetings with Phoenix. But that does not kill the total angle. If Minnesota land around their usual number, Phoenix only need a decent scoring night to drag this beyond 169.5.
The previous meeting ended with 188 points in all. Minnesota found plenty of answers in attack, while Phoenix still managed to keep the scoreboard moving despite a clear defeat.
The Mercury have nothing to lose here and should be willing to play at a fast pace in an effort to rattle the leaders. Minnesota, meanwhile, have enough offensive quality to set the tone from the opening minutes. If the game follows that script, 169.5 points looks very reachable.
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