Toronto Tempo vs Dallas Wings – WNBA Prediction – July 10, 2026

Toronto Tempo vs Dallas Wings : Jessica Shepard can still make an impact in the paint

Toronto and Dallas meet again just a few days after the Wings won the first clash 89-76. The two sides come into this rematch on very different runs. Tempo have lost three straight, while Dallas have strung together three wins and kept pushing towards the top spots in the West.

With the Wings rightly installed as favourites, our eye is on Jessica Shepard. Dallas’s centre has backed up two very complete performances and now faces a Toronto side she already punished by going over the line in their previous meeting.

Toronto need answers on defence

Tempo are in a rough patch, with just three wins in their last 10 games. Toronto are now on a three-game losing streak after falling 83-75 to Golden State. The mood is hardly ideal heading into a meeting with a Dallas team full of confidence.

The offence is still doing its part. Toronto are averaging 87.8 points across the season and have pushed that up to 90.3 over their last 10 outings. The real problem is at the other end, where Tempo keep giving opponents far too much room.

The Canadians are allowing more than 90 points per game this season, and that climbs to 95.2 over the last 10. Opponents are finding open looks far too often and are also exploiting Toronto’s issues protecting the rim over the full 40 minutes.

That setup suits Jessica Shepard. In the first meeting between these teams a few days ago, the Dallas centre posted 29 points plus rebounds. She knows where the gaps are in Tempo’s defence and should again play a major role in the Wings’ plan.

Dallas are rolling into this one full of confidence

The Wings are enjoying a strong spell, with three straight wins and six victories in their last 10 games. That run has kept them close to the best sides in the Western Conference and still looking up the table.

Dallas have had a nice balance all season. The Wings score just over 89 points a game and allow only 84.4. Over their last 10, the numbers stay similar, with 88.8 points scored and around 86 conceded.

Dallas have several offensive options, but Jessica Shepard is in a particularly interesting stretch right now. Her value is not just in finishing possessions. She also gives them a constant presence on the glass, which keeps her productive even when her shot volume drops.

Her last outing underlined that all-round impact. Shepard finished with a triple-double and a combined total of 34 points plus rebounds. After putting up 29 in that category against Toronto, she has now gone over the current line in back-to-back games.

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WNBA Prediction : Toronto Tempo vs Dallas Wings

Jessica Shepard (Dallas Wings): over 26.5 points + rebounds

Jessica Shepard’s recent form is the first reason to like this bet. In the previous meeting with Toronto, she racked up 29 points plus rebounds, clearing the line already set for this game. A few days later, she lifted her output again with 34 in the same category in a game that ended with a triple-double. Those two performances show just how important Shepard has become to Dallas. She does not need a huge scoring night to clear 26.5. Her work on the boards gives her another route to the total and makes the bet less dependent on her shooting.

Toronto’s profile also looks helpful. Tempo are conceding more than 95 points on average over their last 10 games and are still struggling defensively. In a team that plays at a lively pace, possessions pile up and can create more rebounding chances for a busy centre like Shepard. The first head-to-head is obviously a key reference too, since the Dallas player already cleared this line against the same opponent. Her next outing confirmed it was no one-off: Shepard is in good nick, and her influence on the Wings keeps growing.

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