- 1 Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos: a new defensive coordinator and a thin cornerback room
- 2 Carolina Panthers: 58.8% completions and a defense in repair
- 3 Denver Broncos: 186.6 passing yards a game and the NFL’s tackle leader
- 4 Free NFL Prediction: Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos: a new defensive coordinator and a thin cornerback room 
Carolina fired its defensive coordinator after giving up 43 points to Tampa Bay, and Todd Wash took over on an interim basis. In his first game the Panthers allowed 27 at Green Bay.
Denver comes to Bank of America Stadium on Sunday 8 November, 1:00pm ET, with six wins in eight games and a four-game streak. The latest was a 28-24 comeback over Kansas City that ended with Malcolm Roach sacking Patrick Mahomes on the final play at the goal line.
The Carolina Panthers are 3-4 and somehow still lead the NFC South, a fact that says more about the division than about them. Back-to-back losses have left them with six cornerbacks on the practice squad and DeAngelo Hall brought back to coach the position.
The Broncos have won their last nine games against teams with losing records. Carolina is 2-6 all-time against Denver, including Super Bowl 50, and this is Denver’s first trip to Charlotte since 2022.
Denver is a 2.5-point favorite at 1.85, with the moneyline at 1.70 and Carolina at 2.20. The total sits at 43.5, and 70% of bets are on the Under, which is where I land too.
Carolina Panthers: 58.8% completions and a defense in repair 
Carolina has the lowest completion rate in the NFL at 58.8%. Bryce Young averages 274.4 passing yards a game and 38.4 attempts, so the volume is there, but he needs a lot of throws to get it.
Green Bay sacked him six times on 29 October in a 27-19 loss. Young has 13 touchdown passes on the season, and he faces a Denver front led by Zach Allen with 4.5 sacks and Roach with 3.5.
The cornerback situation is thin enough that Marco Wilson made his first start in three years last week and finished with a team-high stat line. Mohamoud Diabate and Caelen Carson were added to the practice squad as cover.
Chuba Hubbard and Derrick Brown are the team’s captains. Jonathon Brooks was working off to the side at Tuesday’s practice with a core issue, which could put more of the run game on Hubbard.
Carolina had 10 days between games, a useful stretch for a new coordinator. The 30-point loss to Tampa Bay and a 13-point performance that day are still fresh, and the sample under Wash is one game.
Young has 158 completions on the year and has thrown 38.4 times a game. The line on his attempts sits at 36.5 for Sunday. Asked to throw that often at a secondary with Surtain back, behind a line that allowed six sacks last time out, he’d be doing well to finish with more than 20 points on the board.
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Denver Broncos: 186.6 passing yards a game and the NFL’s tackle leader 
Bo Nix ranks 27th among qualifying quarterbacks at 186.6 passing yards a game, with nine touchdowns. Denver is 6-2 anyway, which tells me this team wins with its defense and its head coach.
Sean Payton took over the play-calling four weeks ago, and Nix has improved. He averaged 5.5 yards an attempt through Week 6 and has been at 7.3 over the last two games, after two offseason ankle surgeries.
Jaylen Waddle leads the team with 29 catches for 315 yards and two touchdowns, modest totals for a top target. Evan Engram caught none of his three targets against Kansas City. Rookie Jonah Coleman has become the most interesting piece, playing 63% of the snaps in Week 8 with 41 rushing yards, a touchdown and 63 yards on four catches.
He’ll keep that role because RJ Harvey went on injured reserve with a knee injury. J.K. Dobbins is averaging 3.3 yards a carry, so this run game isn’t going to overpower anyone.
The defense ranks 25th in total yards and 11th in scoring at 20.6 points a game, so it bends and then holds. Opponents score on 48% of red-zone trips, tied for eighth. Alex Singleton leads the NFL with 101 tackles, and Pat Surtain II came back from a three-game ankle absence with eight tackles against the Chiefs.
Denver also ranks seventh in turnover differential and 14th in takeaways, so the defense doesn’t rely on gifts to get stops. Nix has 149 completions on 31.3 attempts a game,, well below the volume Young carries for Carolina.
Probable lineup Carolina Panthers: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Denver Broncos: Not announced at time of publication
Free NFL Prediction: Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos
Our prediction: Under 43.5 points (1.95)
I’d play the Under. Denver’s quarterback throws for 186.6 yards a game, Carolina’s completes 58.8% of his passes, and Denver’s lead back averages 3.3 yards a carry. That’s a hard pair of offenses to get to 44 points.
A Carolina secondary this short is the risk, since Nix’s 7.3 yards an attempt could climb against backups, and a defensive score or two would break this quickly. Denver’s red-zone defense is my answer to that: it makes teams settle for three, and Wil Lutz made both his field goals against Kansas City.
I’d rather bet the game script than the 2.5, because Denver’s last win came by four points and its quarterback averages 186.6 yards a game. Field position, punts and a one-score finish look like the shape of it, which keeps this under the number at 1.95.
in your pocket.
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