- 1 Northampton Saints vs Gloucester: 12 straight home league wins against the Premiership leaders
- 2 Northampton Saints: 130 points in two home games, seven at Welford Road
- 3 Gloucester: 16 points and top spot, but four defeats in their last five league away games
- 4 Free Rugby Prediction: Northampton Saints vs Gloucester
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Northampton Saints vs Gloucester: 12 straight home league wins against the Premiership leaders 
Northampton have won 12 consecutive home league matches. Gloucester arrive at Franklin’s Gardens on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 17:30 UK time, top of the Premiership with 16 points from four rounds.
The Saints are fourth on 11 points after two away defeats in a row: 41-26 at Bristol and 28-7 at Leicester last weekend, a game they led 7-3 at half-time.
At Franklin’s Gardens they’ve scored 130 points in two league games this season, beating Newcastle Red Bulls 59-26 and Bath 71-48.
Gloucester beat Bath 23-5 at Kingsholm last Friday, the result that took them top. Away from home they’ve lost four of their last five league games, and this season’s trip to Leicester ended in a 38-31 defeat.
Northampton have won four of the last five meetings and did the league double over Gloucester last season. Across 41 games between the clubs, they lead 24 wins to 17.
Fin Smith is the one doubt that matters. The fly-half picked up a calf injury at Leicester and his start is in question.
Northampton Saints: 130 points in two home games, seven at Welford Road 
Leicester won the East Midlands derby 28-7, and Northampton scored a single try. They were 7-3 up at the break and didn’t score again.
A week earlier they lost 41-26 at Bristol. That’s 69 points conceded on two away trips, and both defeats came after a 71-48 home win over Bath that showed what this attack does at home.
The Newcastle game went the same way, 59-26. Northampton have scored 59 and 71 in their two home league games this season, and they haven’t lost at home in the league in 12 matches.
Smith’s calf is the variable. If he misses out, the Saints lose their first-choice ten against a side that held Bath to five points last Friday. Hooker Curtis Langdon said this week that the squad is concentrating on its own process at home.
The squad has been settled off the pitch. Tommy Freeman, with 118 first-team appearances, signed a new long-term contract in September, Henry Pollock agreed a new deal the same month, and loosehead Jordan Els has extended to the end of 2026-27.
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Gloucester: 16 points and top spot, but four defeats in their last five league away games 
Gloucester’s win over Bath was built on defence. George Barton kicked three first-half penalties, the hosts led 9-5 at the break, and Bath scored one try all night.
They’ve won three of four league games, beating Harlequins 48-0 at Kingsholm and winning 45-24 at Exeter. Three attacking bonus points and a losing bonus at Leicester add up to their 16.
The Exeter win is the exception on the road. Gloucester have lost four of their last five away league games, including the 38-31 defeat at Leicester this season.
In Europe they drew 36-36 with Bordeaux-Bègles at Kingsholm on 16 October after leading 24-17 at half-time. Dewi Lake, signed from the Ospreys in the summer, captains the side, and George Skivington confirmed in September that Ross Byrne is staying at fly-half.
Centre Seb Atkinson has extended his contract to 2029. Gloucester have lost their last two matches against Northampton.
Probable lineup Northampton Saints: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Gloucester: Not announced at time of publication
Free Rugby Prediction: Northampton Saints vs Gloucester
Our prediction: Northampton Saints -10.5 handicap
Twelve straight home league wins, 130 points in two home games this season and four wins from the last five meetings. Gloucester’s away record over their last five league trips is one win.
The table says Gloucester are the better side right now, and Northampton have lost their last two. If Smith is ruled out, the margin is harder to find, and I’d want to see the team sheet before adding to it.
At home, though, this Northampton side has scored 59 and 71. I’m backing the Saints to win by 11 or more at 1.91.
in your pocket.
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