- 1 Wrexham vs Burnley: twelve goals conceded in five games, the burden dragging Burnley down
- 2 Wrexham: solid away from home, unable to win on their own turf
- 3 Burnley: five games, no wins, and a defence in bits
- 4 Football Prediction Wrexham vs Burnley
- 5 First, a note on our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Wrexham vs Burnley: twelve goals conceded in five games, the burden dragging Burnley down 
Burnley have shipped 12 goals in five Championship matches, two more than anyone else in the division. That one stat says plenty about a relegated Premier League side that was supposed to be heading straight back up.
The game is set for the Racecourse Ground on Tuesday 8 September at 19:45 local time, 20:45 in France. It is the sixth round of the English second tier.
The Clarets sit bottom of the table with two points, two adrift of safety. Wrexham are 11th.
The gap in form does not tell the whole story, though. The Welsh side have won only one of their five league games, with three draws to their name.
That lone win was a statement. A 3-0 success at Millwall on 2 September, ending a three-game run without victory and putting Phil Parkinson’s side back on track.
The fixture also carries a whiff of the archives. The two clubs have not met in a competitive match since March 2000, when Wrexham lost 1-0 at home.
Burnley’s two-point cushion to the safety line shows how urgent things have become. In week six, a relegated Premier League club should not be thinking like this.
Wrexham: solid away from home, unable to win on their own turf 
Wrexham have taken two points from nine at the Racecourse Ground this season. They are one of five Championship sides yet to win at home.
That odd split stands in sharp contrast to their away form. The 3-0 win at Millwall and the 0-0 draw at Swansea City on Saturday showed a team capable of sticking to a plan on the road.
Overall, Wrexham have been tough to beat. They have lost only once in the league so far, 2-1 to Birmingham City.
The head-to-head record with Burnley is another ugly marker. Wrexham have never beaten the Clarets at home in five tries and have not won at the Racecourse Ground against them since April 1994.
There are a few selection doubts in the squad. Liberato Cacace has not featured this season because of injury, while Ben Sheaf and Nathan Broadhead are nearing returns but are not guaranteed to be available on Tuesday.
Phil Parkinson does have options up front. Jacques Ekomie, Josh Windass and Kieffer Moore, who were left on the bench against Swansea, are in line to come back into the XI.
Moore’s profile matters here. Against a defence that keeps coughing up chances from set pieces and second balls, an aerial focal point could be a blunt but useful weapon.
Still, Saturday’s goalless draw at Swansea City makes the attacking picture harder to read. Wrexham have scored only once in three home games this season, which is nowhere near enough if they want more than survival.
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Burnley: five games, no wins, and a defence in bits 
Nicky Hayen has taken charge of five Championship matches and come away with two draws and three defeats. No other manager in the division has had a more damaging start.
Burnley still began the season as a leading top-two candidate, backed by four promotions in their previous second-tier campaigns. Reality has moved in fast.
Saturday’s loss to Bristol City summed it up. Aaron Ramsey put Burnley in front in the 56th minute, only for the visitors to equalise on 81 minutes and snatch a 2-1 win in stoppage time.
It was the Clarets’ first home defeat of the season. The pattern, though, was familiar enough: Burnley lose their grip in the final 20 minutes.
Away from home, it is even uglier. Seven of the 12 goals they have conceded came in their first two trips, to West Bromwich Albion and Norwich City, both defeats.
The injury list makes the rebuild harder. Bashir Humphreys, Jordan Beyer, Jaydon Banel, Enock Agyei, Josh Cullen and Ashley Barnes are all out, while Denis Satpaev, on loan from Chelsea, has been ruled out for a few weeks, according to his manager.
Two possible returns soften the blow slightly. Lucas Pires could be back after missing three games under concussion protocol, and Jamie Vardy, signed on a free in the 2026 summer window, is waiting to see whether he makes the squad.
Burnley’s status at kick-off is that of a fallen favourite. Four promotions from previous second-tier campaigns have produced just two points from five games this season.
The schedule is hardly helping. The Clarets are playing their second match in four days after the Bristol City defeat, and they are already without seven players.
Probable Wrexham XI: Patterson ; Cleworth, Hyam, Doyle ; Imray, James, Whiteman, Ekomie ; Windass, O’Hare ; Moore
Probable Burnley XI: Weiss ; Walker, Ahmedhodzic, Alleyne, Sonne ; Raghouber, Laurent ; Ramsey, Hatate, Ramazani ; Hountondji
Football Prediction Wrexham vs Burnley
Our prediction: Wrexham to win
The defensive imbalance is the key factor in this one. Burnley are conceding 2.4 goals per league game, while Wrexham have let in five in five matches, which is almost three times better.
Burnley’s away form only strengthens the case: no wins on the road this season and seven goals conceded in their first two trips. Wrexham, for their part, showed at Millwall that they can punish a shaky back line.
The Racecourse Ground has not yet seen the Welsh side win there this season. Tuesday could be the day.
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