- 1 Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers: five one-goal defeats in a row, and a Florida roster missing Barkov and Marchand
- 2 Winnipeg Jets: 2.5 goals a game and a 0-3-2 slide
- 3 Florida Panthers: the most penalized team in the league, without three regulars
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers: five one-goal defeats in a row, and a Florida roster missing Barkov and Marchand 
Aleksander Barkov, Brad Marchand and Jacob Markstrom are all listed out for Florida. That’s the captain, a veteran winger and the starting goalie missing from the same roster, and the Panthers still won in Chicago on Sunday to move to 6-4-2.
They travel to Canada Life Centre on Tuesday 27 October, puck drop 8:00pm ET, to face a Winnipeg team that hasn’t won since 13 October. The Jets are 4-4-3 and have lost five straight: 4-3 in overtime in Chicago, 3-2 at home to Carolina, 2-1 in St. Louis, 3-2 in overtime in Dallas and 2-1 to Montreal in Sunday’s Heritage Classic.
Every one of those five defeats was by a single goal. Winnipeg have allowed 2.7 goals per game, eighth-best in the league, but they’ve scored 2.5, which ranks 27th. Two of the five losses came in overtime, and the Jets have picked up two points from the whole run.
Florida’s attack isn’t much better on the season numbers. The Panthers score 2.8 goals per game, 23rd in the league, and they went 1-5 in Ottawa and 0-4 in Pittsburgh last week before the win in Chicago. Their goal difference sits at zero for the season.
No line had been posted for this game when we filed. Both teams are in the bottom 10 for scoring, both are short of regulars, and the Jets’ last five games have produced seven, five, three, five and three goals. We think the total is where the value sits.
Winnipeg Jets: 2.5 goals a game and a 0-3-2 slide 
Kyle Connor has nine goals, nearly a third of the team’s total. Mark Scheifele leads the Jets with seven assists. Beyond those two, the scoring has dried up: Isaac Rosen’s third-period goal against Montreal on Sunday was Winnipeg’s only one in 60 minutes outdoors.
Winnipeg outshot Montreal 34-21 in that game and still lost. Jacob Fowler made 33 saves for the Canadiens, and the Jets’ finishing has been the common thread of the run. They’ve scored two goals or fewer in four of the five defeats.
The goaltending has kept Winnipeg within a goal in every game of the losing run. Stuart Skinner’s .911 save percentage is higher than Markstrom’s .898, and the Jets rank ninth in the league at .894 as a team. He stopped 19 of 21 on Sunday.
Two defensemen are missing from the Winnipeg blue line. Josh Morrissey is out with an upper-body injury and fellow defenseman Brown with a lower-body problem, and up front Nick Bjugstad (pectoral) and Vladislav Namestnikov are also listed out.
The Jets take few penalties, 6.8 minutes per game, the third-lowest figure in the league. Fewer penalties mean fewer power plays for opponents, and none of Winnipeg’s last five opponents scored more than four.
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Florida Panthers: the most penalized team in the league, without three regulars 
Brady Tkachuk leads Florida with 10 goals, and Matthew Tkachuk has 13 assists. The Tkachuk brothers have carried an attack that has been feast or famine: 7-3 in Columbus and 8-3 against Seattle earlier in October, then one goal in two games at Ottawa and Pittsburgh.
Florida spend more time in the box than any team in the league, 15.1 penalty minutes per game. Their penalty kill ranks sixth at 84.9%, which has limited the damage, and the Jets’ power play converts 19.4%, 19th in the league.
Markstrom’s upper-body injury has put Akira Schmid in net. He was named the starter for Sunday’s win in Chicago by the team before puck drop. As a team the Panthers are saving .881, 18th in the league, and they’ve allowed 2.8 goals per game.
Barkov (lower body) and Marchand (leg) are both out, along with Jonah Gadjovich (upper body). Barkov’s absence leaves Florida thin down the middle, and the Panthers rank 27th in faceoffs at 46.2%. The Jets are 29th at 45.4%, so neither team will have the puck off the draw often.
Florida have played nine of their 12 games away from home, with stops in Ottawa, Pittsburgh and Chicago in the past week alone. They’re 4-3-2 away from Sunrise, including the overtime win in Carolina on opening night.
Probable lineup Winnipeg Jets: Stuart Skinner in goal; Connor, Scheifele, Vilardi, Rosen up front (Morrissey, Brown, Bjugstad, Namestnikov out)
Probable lineup Florida Panthers: Akira Schmid in goal; Brady Tkachuk, Matthew Tkachuk up front (Barkov, Marchand, Markstrom out)
Free NHL Prediction: Winnipeg Jets vs Florida Panthers
Our prediction: Under 5.5 goals
Four of Winnipeg’s last five games finished with five goals or fewer, and the Jets haven’t scored more than three in any of them. Their 2.5 goals per game ranks 27th in the league, and they’ve been held to one goal in two of their last three games. Florida’s 2.8 ranks 23rd, and they arrive without their best centre.
The risk to this pick is Florida’s penalty count. A team taking 15.1 minutes a night hands opponents plenty of power plays, and that’s how a game like this goes over. We’d set that against an 84.9% Florida kill and a Winnipeg power play that sits 19th.
The total wasn’t available when we wrote this. If it opens at 5.5 at a price of 1.45 or longer, Under is our pick; if it opens at 6.5, Under 6.5 becomes the safer version of the same view.
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