- 1 Wawrinka vs Berrettini : Stan’s final Wimbledon hurrah
- 2 Wawrinka against the clock, and his own body
- 3 Berrettini wants to be a force on grass again
- 4 Tennis Pick Wawrinka vs Berrettini
- 5 First, a word on our picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images
Wawrinka vs Berrettini : Stan’s final Wimbledon hurrah 
This is the kind of match-up that makes you reach for the remote. On Tuesday, the opening round at Wimbledon serves up a fresh and highly charged showdown : Stanislas Wawrinka against Matteo Berrettini. And it is about more than tennis. This one has a touch of history about it, with the 2026 tournament set to be the Swiss star’s last chance to step out on the London grass.
Wawrinka, three-time Grand Slam champion wants one last proper send-off at the one Major that still eludes him, having already reached the quarter-finals here twice. Across the net, Berrettini is chasing his own memories of past glory at the All England Club, five years on from his run to the 2021 final.
Wawrinka against the clock, and his own body 
At 41, Stan Wawrinka knows time is not on his side. The Swiss veteran is no longer close to the consistency he once had, having fallen at the first hurdle in four of his last five Grand Slam events. His recent level has been patchy at best : in his last seven matches on tour, he has made it through the opening round just twice, including a straight-sets win over Alex Michelsen in Geneva last month.
Even so, the English grass has usually treated him pretty well early on. He missed last year’s edition, but he has still won four of his last five opening matches at Wimbledon. The real issue for Wawrinka lately is how often he starts slowly. Weighed down by recurring injuries, he has not taken the first set in a major since his very first match at Roland Garros in 2024.
Now down at No. 110 in the world, Wawrinka returns after a month out, his last appearance coming on 25 May in Paris, where Jesper de Jong beat him in the first round (3-6, 6-3, 3-6, 4-6). With a 8 wins and 14 losses record in 2026, he arrives on grass without a warm-up match in his legs. Career-wise on this surface, he sits perfectly level: 35 wins and 35 losses. If he is to cause trouble, he will need the serve to do the heavy lifting, and he has had plenty of success there this year, winning more than 80% of his service games and 75% of points behind his first serve.
Berrettini wants to be a force on grass again 
On the other side, Matteo Berrettini brings far more certainty on this surface. Ranked No. 49 in the ATP standings, the Italian powerhouse owns an excellent career record on grass with 45 wins and just 13 defeats. He became the first player from his country to reach at least the quarter-finals in all four Grand Slam tournaments, and he would love to follow in the footsteps of compatriot Jannik Sinner, who won the title last year.
It is not all plain sailing for the Roman in London, though. He has made it through the first round in two of his last three visits, but he was surprisingly knocked out at the first stage in 2025 by Kamil Majchrzak in five sets. That was a rare slip, as it was one of only two opening-round exits he has suffered in Grand Slams over the whole decade. Unlike Wawrinka, the Italian often starts fast, having won the first set in three of his five major outings this season.
Berrettini is also back after a setback at Roland Garros, where he retired in the quarter-finals against Matteo Arnaldi on 3 June while trailing (7-5, 5-2 ret.). His 2026 record stands at 15 wins and 12 defeats, and he too has not played on grass yet this year. His weapons remain dangerous even agains : he wins more than 80% of his service games and saves 67% of the break points he faces. He tends to handle opening matches well too, reaching the second round in three of his last four tournaments, with his only stumble coming in Madrid against Dino Prizmic.
on MathODDS
Tennis Pick Wawrinka vs Berrettini
More than 3.5 sets in the match
Matteo Berrettini’s firepower and younger legs should tilt this one his way against a 41-year-old Wawrinka who may simply be running on fumes. But the Swiss is not heading to Wimbledon for a polite farewell. He will scrap for every point. Both men have posted strong serving numbers this year, with each winning more than 80% of their service games, so this has the makings of a tight, serve-dominated battle with very few breaks. Wawrinka nicking at least one set before fading physically against the Italian feels like a live call.
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