- 1 Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth: two power plays above 30% and a 5-4 first meeting
- 2 Toronto Maple Leafs: Matthews at 23 points, but Tavares and Marchenko are on injured reserve
- 3 Utah Mammoth: a 34% power play and two overtime wins in its last three games
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth: two power plays above 30% and a 5-4 first meeting 
Utah’s power play has scored on 16 of its 47 chances, a 34.04% conversion rate. Toronto’s isn’t far behind at 31.25%, with 15 goals from 48 opportunities.
They meet on Tuesday 3 November at Scotiabank Arena, puck drop 7pm ET. Utah is 9-5-0 with 18 points and second in the Central Division. Toronto is 7-6-2 with 16 points and sixth in the Atlantic, and it comes home from a West Coast trip that ended in Vancouver on Saturday.
The first meeting this season went to Utah, 5-4 in Salt Lake City on 13 October. Auston Matthews and John Tavares scored on the power play for Toronto, Mikhail Sergachev scored shorthanded for Utah, and the over on a 6.5-goal total was priced at 1.87 before that game.
Those totals are a pattern for both teams. Nine of Toronto’s 15 games have finished with seven goals or more, not counting shootout goals, and Utah has reached seven in eight of its 14. The Leafs have scored 56 and allowed 51, and the Mammoth have scored 51 and allowed 46.
Neither team has a goaltender above .910. Toronto’s Sergei Bobrovsky sits at .885 and Anthony Stolarz at .907, while Utah’s Karel Vejmelka is at .881 and Sebastian Cossa at .857.
The schedules are close to even. Utah plays at Philadelphia on Sunday, making this its third straight road game, with a day off before it. Toronto has two days at home after the Vancouver game.
Toronto Maple Leafs: Matthews at 23 points, but Tavares and Marchenko are on injured reserve 
Auston Matthews has 10 goals and 23 points in 15 games, and William Nylander has 9 goals and 19 points. Nylander scored twice in the 7-2 win at Edmonton on 24 October, the second of them his 300th NHL goal, in his 763rd game.
The trip went downhill after that. Toronto lost 5-2 in Calgary on 26 October and 5-4 in Seattle two nights later, which made it two straight defeats going into Vancouver.
The injury list has grown. Kirill Marchenko, who had 6 goals and 14 points, went on injured reserve on 29 October, and Miles Wood went on long-term injured reserve the same day. Tavares has been on injured reserve since 17 October and Max Domi has been on long-term injured reserve since the start of the season. Chris Tanev was upgraded to day-to-day on 28 October.
The penalty kill has been the strength of the team. It has stopped 92.31% of opposing power plays, which matters against a Utah unit converting at 34%. At even strength, Toronto has allowed four or more goals in eight of its 15 games.
Stolarz has been the better goaltender, at 4-1-0 with a 2.79 goals-against average. Bobrovsky is 3-5-2 at 3.29. Morgan Rielly has 10 assists from the blue line and no goals.
Matthews has been the best player in this matchup so far. He scored on the power play in Salt Lake City in October, and his 23 points are seven more than any Utah skater has managed this season.
no renewal
Free for 2 weeks.
Utah Mammoth: a 34% power play and two overtime wins in its last three games 
Utah’s last two wins both needed overtime. Dmitri Simashev scored the first two goals of his NHL career against Tampa Bay on 24 October, including the winner in a 5-4 game. Five days later in Pittsburgh, Logan Cooley completed a hat trick with one second left in regulation and Sergachev won it 4-3 at 3:27 of overtime.
Sergachev and Clayton Keller lead the team with 16 points each, both with 4 goals and 12 assists. Cooley has 7 goals and 15 points, Nick Schmaltz 7 goals and 14 points, and Dylan Guenther 10 points. All five play on the first power-play unit.
The penalty kill is the weak spot. It has stopped 68.09% of opposing chances, and it will face a Toronto power play converting at 31.25%.
Vejmelka has started most games, going 6-4-0 with a 3.13 goals-against average. Cossa made 31 saves in Pittsburgh and is 3-1-0, but his .857 save percentage is the lowest of the four goaltenders who could appear in this game.
Defenseman John Marino has been out since 24 October, Michael Carcone is on injured reserve with an upper-body injury and Maveric Lamoureux has been on injured reserve since September. Utah has scored four or more goals in nine of its 14 games.
Probable lineup Toronto Maple Leafs: McKenna-Matthews-Roslovic, Cowan-Paul-Nylander, Joshua-Sissons-Lettieri, Duhaime-Blueger-MacEwen; McCabe-Raddysh, Rielly-Tanev, Ekman-Larsson-Stecher; goaltender not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Utah Mammoth: Keller-Schmaltz-Guenther, Cooley-Trocheck-Crouse, Lee-Hayton-Yamamoto, McBain-Stenlund-But; Sergachev-Weegar, Schmidt-Peeke, Simashev-Duda; goaltender not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth
Our prediction: Over 6.5 goals
We’d play the over. Both power plays convert above 30%, all four goaltenders sit below .910, and the first meeting finished 5-4. Nine of Toronto’s games and eight of Utah’s have reached seven goals.
The case against is Toronto’s penalty kill at 92.31%, which could take some of the shine off Utah’s power play. Even so, the Leafs have allowed four or more in eight games, and Utah has scored four or more in nine of 14.
No line had been published when we wrote this. The over on 6.5 was priced at 1.87 for the October meeting, and we’d take it at a similar number. We don’t have a strong view on the winner.
in your pocket.
Real-time notifications & alerts
_________
About our free predictions
- What we publish on MathOdds are analyses, nothing more. We share a view, a reading of the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport remains what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a last-minute goal, and the script changes completely.
- Let’s be clear: there is no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when it looks “obvious”, nothing ever is. And yes, that means you can lose. It’s even inevitable at some point.
- The smartest approach is to stay reasonable. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Never use money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase your losses: that rarely ends well.
- A bet should remain a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts taking up too much space in your daily life, causes stress or frustration, take a break. And if needed, talk to a support organisation: that’s what they’re there for.
- Ultimately, responsibility lies with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never disappear, no matter how good the analysis.
- Essential reminder: gambling is prohibited for minors and must comply with the laws of your country. Need help? Visit begambleaware.org.
No commitment from us
Our predictions carry no contractual value. They have no legal standing. In short: you cannot rely on them to claim anything if a bet doesn’t come through.
Information changes
A prediction is always based on what we know at the time of writing. But between publication and kick-off, a lineup can change, a player picks up an injury, the weather turns, and the analysis can quickly be outdated. We cannot be held responsible for that.
Your responsibility
Before placing a bet, simply check that gambling is legal in your country. If it isn’t, that’s your responsibility, not ours.
Responsible gambling
We can’t say it enough: gamble responsibly. If you’re struggling to stay in control, don’t wait to seek help.
Legal age
MathOdds content is intended for adults only. By browsing here, you confirm you meet the legal age requirement for gambling in your jurisdiction.
About visuals
The images and logos of Toronto Maple Leafs and Utah Mammoth on MathOdds are used solely to illustrate our articles. They do not imply any official affiliation with a federation or sports organisation, and we claim no rights over them. Those rights belong to their original owners. If any visual raises a concern, contact us and it will be removed without delay.
Leave a Reply