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Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils NHL prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils – Free NHL Prediction – Nov 08

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils: a top-seven power play against the league’s 29th penalty kill NHL

New Jersey kills 67.6% of its penalties, which ranks 29th in the NHL, and it’s still 10-5-0 and second in the Metropolitan. Toronto’s power play converts at 28.8%, seventh in the league, with 15 goals from 52 chances.

The teams meet at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday 8 November at 7:00pm ET. It’s their first game against each other this season, and both will be playing for the second time in two nights.

Toronto’s first leg is at home, against Montreal at 7:00pm ET on Saturday, after being idle from Wednesday to Friday. New Jersey plays on Long Island at 7:00pm ET on Saturday and has to cross the border overnight, after hosting St. Louis on Thursday.

The Maple Leafs are 8-7-2 and sixth in the Atlantic with 18 points, and they lost 3-2 to Utah on Tuesday when the Mammoth went 2-for-2 on the power play. Their 62 goals work out at 3.65 a game, and they allow 3.29.

The Devils won two of three meetings last season, 5-2 in Toronto on 21 October 2025 and 4-3 in a shootout on 4 March, while the Leafs won 4-0 at home on 30 December. No line had been posted at the time of writing.

Toronto Maple Leafs: Matthews has 26 points, and the blue line is thin Toronto Maple Leafs

Auston Matthews leads the team with 11 goals and 15 assists, and he’s plus-9. William Nylander has 21 points, Jack Roslovic 18, and Gavin McKenna has 11 in his first NHL season at 18.

Jim Hiller’s team kills 88.1% of its penalties, fourth in the NHL, a figure that offsets a lot of what the 3.29 goals against suggests. Rielly has 12 points from the blue line, all of them assists.

Roslovic scored twice against Utah and Matthews had two assists in that defeat. Toronto also has wins of 7-2 in Edmonton and 4-2 in Vancouver on the road trip that came before it, set against losses in Calgary (5-2) and Seattle (5-4).

The injury list is the main worry. Tavares (lower body) and Wood are listed until at least 7 November, Rifai until at least 8 November, Blankenburg until 12 November, Marchenko (14 points) until 17 November, Webber until 27 November, Villeneuve until 5 December and Domi (back) until 30 January. Four of those eight names are defensemen.

In goal, Stolarz is 5-1-0 with a 2.66 goals-against average and a .910 save percentage, while Bobrovsky is 3-6-2 with a 3.27 and an .889. He stopped 33 of 36 on Tuesday. With two games in two nights, each could start one, and Stolarz has the far better numbers.

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New Jersey Devils: Hellebuyck is 3-0-0, and Jack Hughes has 19 points New Jersey Devils

New Jersey traded for Connor Hellebuyck on 23 October, and he hasn’t lost yet. He’s 3-0-0 with a 1.95 goals-against average and a .900 save percentage, and the Devils are 8-2-0 over their last 10.

The split with Jake Allen is the question on a back-to-back. Allen is 5-3-0 with a 3.11 and an .887, and Daws is 2-2-0 with a 2.78 and an .872. Those numbers show how much of the recent run is down to the new starter.

Sheldon Keefe’s offense scores 3.47 a game. Jack Hughes has eight goals and 11 assists, Bratt 13 points, Gritsyuk eight goals and 12 points, and Hischier 10 points, and the Devils have beaten Dallas 5-1 and Vegas 5-2 on the road in the last two weeks.

The home and road split is wide. New Jersey is 7-2-0 at Prudential Center and 3-3-0 away from it, and the power play has managed nine goals on 47 chances, 19.1%, which ranks 21st.

Only one Devil is on the injury report: Casey (knee), on injured reserve until at least 21 November. They beat Edmonton 4-3 in a shootout on Tuesday, and 11 of their 15 games have gone over the total.

Probable lineup Toronto Maple Leafs: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup New Jersey Devils: Not announced at time of publication

Free NHL Prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs vs New Jersey Devils

Our prediction: Toronto Maple Leafs to win

Special teams decide this pick. Toronto is more than 20 percentage points better on the penalty kill (88.1% to 67.6%) and nearly 10 better on the power play (28.8% to 19.1%). New Jersey has also given up 2.87 goals a game with a road record of 3-3-0, and it plays Saturday night on Long Island before traveling.

New Jersey has the better record, the hotter run and the healthier roster, and Toronto is only 4-4-1 at home. If Hellebuyck starts, that edge narrows. We’d still take the home team, because both benches are on no rest and only New Jersey has to change cities.

The goaltending choice on each bench will shape the price. We’d check it on Sunday, and if Hellebuyck is confirmed against Bobrovsky we’d want the Leafs at a price of at least 1.45 before committing.

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