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Torino vs AC Milan - Free Serie A Prediction - August 23, 2026

Torino vs AC Milan – Free Serie A Prediction – August 23, 2026

Torino vs AC Milan : two men take charge for the first time as Serie A kicks off Serie A

Six defeats in their last ten league games cost AC Milan a Champions League spot last season. The opening round of the 2026-27 Serie A campaign sends the Rossoneri to the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino this Sunday, 23 August, at 20:45.

The occasion brings a double debut. Ignazio Abate takes his first Serie A game as Torino boss, while Ruben Amorim is in the Milan dugout for the first time.

For Milan, it is a rebuild in full view. Massimiliano Allegri’s second spell ended after a year, followed by a complete overhaul of the staff, the squad and the boardroom.

In Piedmont, the starting point is different, but hardly any clearer. Torino finished 12th in 2025-26 with the second-worst defence in the division, and Roberto D’Aversa has left after steering them clear of trouble.

One stat tells you why the Granata are awkward at home: across their last six league matches on this ground, they are unbeaten, have picked up 14 points and have scored at least twice every time.

Milan, for their part, won 11 of their 19 away league matches last season despite that final collapse. They also came from behind to win 3-2 in Turin.

History at this stadium, though, is not exactly helpful for the visitors. Torino have lost only two of their last 13 home meetings with Milan, including that December game and a 7-0 hammering.

Torino : Abate inherits a defence to fix and a home ground to protect Torino

Torino finished 12th last season with the second leakiest defence in Serie A. That is the main job handed to Ignazio Abate, a former Milan defender who arrived from Catanzaro this summer.

The Granata’s contradiction is plain enough. After a miserable start at home, they strung together six unbeaten games at the Grande Torino, including a derby draw with Juventus on the final day.

Pre-season was mixed. A 1-0 win at Burnley in early August sat alongside a 1-0 loss to lower-league Cittadella.

Their first competitive outing went better: a 1-0 Coppa Italia win over Carrarese booked a tie with Monza in the next round. Abate stuck with the 3-4-2-1 shape he used for most of the summer.

Two players are expected to make their Serie A debuts on Sunday, former Ajax midfielder Kian Fitz-Jim and Swiss centre-back Eray Comert. Italy Under-21 international Alessio Cacciamani is also pushing into the rotation after an encouraging loan spell at Juve Stabia.

Up front, Giovanni Simeone still leads the way after his 11 league goals in 2025-26. Che Adams, Duvan Zapata and Sandro Kulenovic give Abate options, although Zapata remains a slight fitness doubt.

That pecking order was sharpened in the last two friendlies, both wins against Vado and Avellino. Abate has mainly been trying to bed in a side that has been heavily reshaped.

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AC Milan : Amorim brings his 3-4-2-1 to a squad trimmed down by design AC Milan

Milan beat Inter in both derby meetings last season for the first time since 2011, then fell apart. Six defeats in the final ten league matches pushed the Rossoneri out of the top four.

Ruben Amorim has been brought in to steady the ship, with his trademark 3-4-2-1 system. Pre-season has been uneven: a 2-2 draw with Celtic, a draw with Inter in Australia, a defeat to Chelsea and a win over Manchester United.

The summer 2026 window has been busy, with Goncalo Ramos arriving for a club-record fee. The Portuguese striker is expected to start at the point of attack.

The numbers back him up. Across three seasons at Paris Saint-Germain, Ramos averaged a goal every 120 minutes. Milan will want more from him than they got from Christopher Nkunku and Santiago Gimenez, with the latter currently injured.

Two other new arrivals, Diego Moreira and Mario Gila, are also available for this Serie A debut. Luka Modric, who has signed on for another season, will still set the tempo in midfield.

Even so, the squad looks thin for an opening-day trip. Rafael Leao, Milan’s top scorer last season with nine goals, has a muscle issue, and Christian Pulisic is also out.

There is at least one reason for Amorim to take heart. Mike Maignan has returned to sharp form after just one week back in full training and will keep goal on Sunday.

Predicted Torino XI: Mascardi; Ismajli, Coco, Comuzzo; Pedersen, Fitz-Jim, Gineitis, Cacciamani; Vlasic, Casadei; Simeone

Predicted AC Milan XI: Maignan; Gila, De Winter, Pavlovic; Chukwueze, Modric, Jashari, Estupiñan; Loftus-Cheek, Saelemaekers; Gonçalo Ramos

Serie A Prediction Torino vs AC Milan

Our prediction: Both teams to score

Torino have scored at least twice in each of their last six home league matches. That run has come with an attack that has hardly changed, led by Giovanni Simeone and his 11 goals.

Milan, meanwhile, won 11 of their 19 away league games last season, including a 3-2 success on this very pitch after going behind. Their issue last year was not in front of goal.

The warning lights are flashing at the back for both sides. Torino had the second-worst defence in the division, while Amorim is bedding in a back three with patterns that are still fresh.

Add in two managers making their Serie A home debuts on the same night, and a cagey stalemate looks unlikely. Back both teams to score, with Torino lively enough to make it interesting.

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