St. Louis Cardinals – Chicago Cubs : A top-of-the-division clash 
This one should be fiery in the Central Division. Chicago head to Missouri with the better record and some solid numbers in recent head-to-head meetings. Our read leans toward the visitors’ offence, the kind that can flip a game in a heartbeat. Home-field advantage still matters for St. Louis, sure, but the form lines suggest caution when it comes to trusting them to keep Chicago quiet.
St. Louis looking for a spark at home 
At 29 wins and 25 losses, the hosts are a perfectly middling 13-13 at home. They have some fight in them, no question, but this side is in a rough patch with just three wins in their last 10 outings. They are averaging 4.35 runs a game and allowing 4.54, while the bullpen has looked shakier this season than Chicago’s. Falling behind early would make life a whole lot harder for St. Louis.
Chicago banking on their batting depth 
Chicago come in at 31 wins and 26 losses and are putting up a strong 4.77 runs per game. Their road form can still be patchy at times, but they sent a clear message before this trip with a convincing 7-2 win in Pittsburgh. This lineup has a bit of everything: pop over the fence, timely contact and enough patience to drag opposing pitchers into trouble. That range of options should be the difference.
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MLB Pick St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs
Chicago to win
Imanaga on the mound makes this one worth a close look, but the edge still sits with the visitors. Over the course of the season, Chicago have been the more reliable side, and they bring the bigger punch into this matchup. St. Louis have been stuck in the mud lately, and home support will not hide the cracks in the rotation. Leahy could be in for a long night against a Chicago offence fresh from a statement road performance. We are backing the visitors.
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