- 1 San Jose Sharks vs Calgary Flames: 14 wins in 16 meetings, and a third game in four nights
- 2 San Jose Sharks: Celebrini’s 16 points and a power play at 24.5%
- 3 Calgary Flames: six wins in eight, but Cooley is out and Wolf is at .839
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: San Jose Sharks vs Calgary Flames
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
San Jose Sharks vs Calgary Flames: 14 wins in 16 meetings, and a third game in four nights 
Calgary has won 14 of its last 16 games against San Jose and seven of its last eight at SAP Center. Last season the Flames took three of the four meetings, including a 2-0 shutout in November and a 4-1 win in San Jose on February 26, the most recent time the teams met.
Monday’s game, at 9:00pm ET on 2 November, comes with a very different schedule attached. Calgary beat Seattle 6-2 at home on Friday, plays in Colorado on Saturday night, then travels to San Jose on Sunday. That’s three games in four nights, with the last two on the road.
San Jose has it far easier. The Sharks host Ottawa in a Saturday matinee, take Sunday off and stay at home for Monday, with no travel at all between the two games.
The standings put them close together. Before Saturday’s games San Jose was 7-6-1 with 15 points, fourth in the Pacific, and Calgary was 6-7-0 with 12 points after a run of six wins in eight games that followed an 0-5 start.
The goaltending situation is the other part of the context. Devin Cooley, Calgary’s best goalie so far, went on injured reserve on October 30 after a collision at Edmonton two days earlier and is week-to-week, which leaves Dustin Wolf and recent call-up Arsenii Sergeev to cover the Colorado game and this one.
San Jose Sharks: Celebrini’s 16 points and a power play at 24.5% 
Macklin Celebrini leads the Sharks with 16 points, 5 goals and 11 assists, in 12 games. Will Smith has a team-high 6 goals and scored twice in Thursday’s 3-2 win over Vancouver, and Tyler Toffoli and Michael Misa have added 4 goals apiece under Ryan Warsofsky.
The power play has been San Jose’s most reliable weapon. It’s converted 12 of 49 chances, 24.5%, 10th in the league, with Celebrini, Smith, Orlov, Stenberg and Marchment on the top unit. The penalty kill sits 10th as well, at 83.0%.
Five-on-five is a harder story. The Sharks are getting outshot 30.7 to 27.4 per game, and only two teams allow more shots, while they win 47.1% of faceoffs. They’ve scored 2.79 goals a game and allowed 3.29, and they were shut out 2-0 at home by Buffalo on October 27 on just 23 shots.
In goal, Yaroslav Askarov has handled most of the work and is 4-5-0 with a 3.01 average and a .900 save percentage. Alex Nedeljkovic has the slightly better line at 3-1-1, 2.89 and .903, and with a game on Saturday it’s possible the two split this weekend, though nothing has been confirmed.
Injuries have thinned the middle of the lineup. Alexander Wennberg (upper body) went on injured reserve on October 28 along with Igor Chernyshov, who blocked a shot in Ottawa on October 22, and Logan Couture, Quentin Musty and Kyle Keyser are also on IR. San Jose’s home record is only 3-3-0.
no renewal
Free for 2 weeks.
Calgary Flames: six wins in eight, but Cooley is out and Wolf is at .839 
Calgary’s turnaround has come almost entirely at the Scotiabank Saddledome. Ryan Huska’s team is 5-3 at home and 1-4 on the road, and its last road game was a 4-0 loss at Edmonton on October 28, the night Cooley went down. The only road win came at Anaheim on October 13.
Friday’s 6-2 win over Seattle showed what the attack can do when the power play clicks. Matt Coronato had a goal and three assists, Joel Farabee a goal and two assists, and Calgary’s power play, at 29.0% before that game, ranks among the five best in the league.
Five-on-five scoring has been the problem all season. Through October 28 the Flames had 28 goals, 2.33 per game and 30th in the league, on an 8.1% shooting percentage that ranked last. They’re also taking 12.7 penalty minutes a game, 30th, which hands San Jose’s power play extra chances.
Wolf is the bigger concern. He’s 2-4-0 after Friday’s win with a goals-against average near 4.80 and an .839 save percentage through his first six starts, against Cooley’s 4-3-0, 2.69 and .914. If Wolf plays in Colorado on Saturday, Sergeev, recalled from the AHL on October 30, becomes the likely option for Monday.
The injury list goes beyond the net. Jonathan Huberdeau (hip) isn’t close to returning, Samuel Honzek has been on IR since October 19 and Brennan Othmann missed Friday’s game with an upper-body injury.
Probable lineup San Jose Sharks: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Calgary Flames: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: San Jose Sharks vs Calgary Flames
Our prediction: San Jose Sharks to win (moneyline)
The head-to-head record is the strongest argument for Calgary, and I don’t dismiss a 14-2 run over 16 games. But most of that came with a settled goaltender, and on Monday the Flames will be on their third game in four nights, with Cooley out and either Wolf at .839 or a goalie just up from the AHL.
San Jose doesn’t need to dominate at five-on-five to win this. Its power play converts 24.5% and Calgary takes more penalties than almost anyone, and the Sharks will be the rested team in their own building after a day off.
Calgary’s 1-4 road record points the same way as the schedule. No lines had been posted at the time of writing, and we’d take San Jose to win at a price of 1.55 or longer.
in your pocket.
Real-time notifications & alerts
_________
About our free predictions
- What we publish on MathOdds are analyses, nothing more. We share a view, a reading of the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport remains what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a last-minute goal, and the script changes completely.
- Let’s be clear: there is no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when it looks “obvious”, nothing ever is. And yes, that means you can lose. It’s even inevitable at some point.
- The smartest approach is to stay reasonable. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Never use money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase your losses: that rarely ends well.
- A bet should remain a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts taking up too much space in your daily life, causes stress or frustration, take a break. And if needed, talk to a support organisation: that’s what they’re there for.
- Ultimately, responsibility lies with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never disappear, no matter how good the analysis.
- Essential reminder: gambling is prohibited for minors and must comply with the laws of your country. Need help? Visit begambleaware.org.
No commitment from us
Our predictions carry no contractual value. They have no legal standing. In short: you cannot rely on them to claim anything if a bet doesn’t come through.
Information changes
A prediction is always based on what we know at the time of writing. But between publication and kick-off, a lineup can change, a player picks up an injury, the weather turns, and the analysis can quickly be outdated. We cannot be held responsible for that.
Your responsibility
Before placing a bet, simply check that gambling is legal in your country. If it isn’t, that’s your responsibility, not ours.
Responsible gambling
We can’t say it enough: gamble responsibly. If you’re struggling to stay in control, don’t wait to seek help.
Legal age
MathOdds content is intended for adults only. By browsing here, you confirm you meet the legal age requirement for gambling in your jurisdiction.
About visuals
The images and logos of San Jose Sharks and Calgary Flames on MathOdds are used solely to illustrate our articles. They do not imply any official affiliation with a federation or sports organisation, and we claim no rights over them. Those rights belong to their original owners. If any visual raises a concern, contact us and it will be removed without delay.
Leave a Reply