- 1 Rennes vs Olympiacos: nine straight wins arrive at Roazhon Park
- 2 Rennes: second in Ligue 1, but nine goals conceded in two games
- 3 Olympiacos: six of nine straight wins settled by one goal
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Rennes vs Olympiacos
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Rennes vs Olympiacos: nine straight wins arrive at Roazhon Park 
Olympiacos haven’t lost since 12 September, when OFI Crete won 1-0 in Piraeus. They’ve played nine times since then across the league, the cup and Europe, and won all nine, most recently 3-2 at Kifisia on Saturday.
That run includes all three of their Europa League games. Imanol Alguacil’s side beat Jagiellonia 2-1 at home, won 1-0 at Marseille and then beat Sparta Prague 1-0, so they arrive in Brittany with nine points, four goals scored and one conceded, fifth in the league phase.
Rennes are on five points and sit 13th, two points off the top eight. They drew 0-0 at Sturm Graz, beat OFI 2-1 at home and then came away from Turin with a 2-2 draw against Juventus, a result Franck Haise described as fully deserved.
The game itself has been moved. It was due on Thursday, but French authorities told UEFA they couldn’t guarantee security because of strikes and demonstrations planned across the country that day, so it now kicks off on Wednesday 4 November at 15:30 UK time.
The market makes Rennes favourites at 2.10, with the draw at 3.50 and Olympiacos at 3.10. I think that price on the home side owes more to Rennes’ place near the top of Ligue 1 than to what has happened in their last two league matches.
Those two matches are where the analysis has to start, because they sit awkwardly next to an away side that has spent seven weeks winning tight games.
Rennes: second in Ligue 1, but nine goals conceded in two games 
On the table, Rennes are having a good season. They have 16 points from nine league games, enough to sit provisionally second after Friday night, and they’re still unbeaten in Europe.
The defence tells a different story. Before the trip to Turin, Rennes lost 4-3 at Paris FC to a goal in added time. On Friday they went to the Allianz Riviera and lost 5-2 to Nice, with Wahi scoring a hat-trick that included two penalties, and Clauss and Amoura adding the others.
That’s nine goals conceded in two league games, and three of the five in Nice came before half-time. Szymański had cancelled out the first penalty on 15 minutes, and Dia scored another from the spot after the break, but Rennes were 3-1 down at the interval and never got close.
Two absences matter here. Brice Samba missed the Nice game, which meant a change in goal, and Estéban Lepaul, who was also missing in Turin, still hasn’t returned. Without Lepaul, the goals have had to come from elsewhere: Al-Tamari and Dia scored against Juventus, and Dia’s penalty was his second in two away games.
The Juventus draw showed what this side can still do. Rennes led at half-time in Turin, conceded a second penalty after the break and needed VAR to rescue them at the very end. Haise refused to talk about a crisis after the Paris FC defeat, and the point in Italy backed him up.
The schedule adds another problem. Rennes played in Nice on Friday evening, face Olympiacos on Wednesday afternoon and host Lille on Sunday, with a squad that’s already short of its first-choice goalkeeper and centre-forward.
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Olympiacos: six of nine straight wins settled by one goal 
The streak looks dominant until the scorelines are laid out. Olympiacos beat Levadiakos 1-0, Panathinaikos 1-0, Marseille 1-0 and Sparta 1-0, then won 2-1 against Jagiellonia and 3-2 at Kifisia. Six of the nine wins came by a single goal.
The way they win those games is consistent. Against Sparta on 22 October they had 60% of the ball, 23 shots and 14 corners, and the expected goals finished 2.24 to 0.73 in their favour. The goal still didn’t come until the 78th minute, when Armando González scored from Marcus Holmgren Pedersen’s pass.
The one big margin in the run came at home against Kalamata, beaten 5-0 on 25 October, before a 2-0 cup win at GS Marko three days later. Away from Piraeus, the pattern is control first and goals later.
Alguacil has settled on a 4-2-3-1. Stefan Ortega started in goal against Sparta behind Saliakas, Retsos, Pirola and Onyemaechi, with Remo Freuler, a free transfer from Bologna in August, alongside Santiago Hezze in midfield.
The front four was Jota Silva, Chiquinho and Gelson Martins behind Roman Yaremchuk. That’s a lot of experience in wide areas for a Rennes back line that has just conceded five.
The one caution is the weekend schedule. Olympiacos played at Kifisia on Saturday and host PAOK on 8 November, so some rotation is possible. Even so, the side has kept winning through midweek and weekend fixtures since mid-September, cup games included.
Probable lineup Rennes: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Olympiacos: Not announced at time of publication
Free Football Prediction: Rennes vs Olympiacos
Our prediction: Olympiacos to win (3.10)
Rennes are favourites because of their league position, but the evidence from the last fortnight points the other way. They’ve conceded nine goals in their last two Ligue 1 games, they’re missing Samba and Lepaul, and this game sits between a Friday trip to Nice and a home match against Lille.
Olympiacos have won nine in a row and conceded once in three European games. Their habit of winning by a single goal means they rarely blow teams away, but against a defence in this state, one goal could well be enough, and the 3.10 price looks too generous for a side in this run.
The risk is clear: Rennes are unbeaten in Europe and scored twice in Turin. I still trust the away side’s structure more than the home side’s form, and I’m backing Olympiacos to make it ten straight wins.
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