Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo – Free football prediction and picks – Liga – May 14, 2026

Real Madrid – Real Oviedo : pride on the line at the Bernabeu

The home side have to shake off the frustration of a season that has brought no silverware. Real Oviedo arrive in the capital with the grim label of relegated. On paper, this looks like a total mismatch.

Madrid’s frustration

That recent defeat to arch-rivals Barcelona ended the title race. Alvaro Arbeloa now leads a bruised squad into a second straight season without a trophy. Even so, the home attack has been piling up the numbers, with 70 goals. But the defensive wobble has cost them too many big points in the key clashes. At home, though, Madrid are still a fortress. 14 wins from 17 games on their own turf. The players will be desperate to answer their critics in front of a demanding crowd.

The ordeal of Real Oviedo

The verdict was delivered last weekend. Real Oviedo are going back down to the second division next season. The numbers are brutal. Just 29 points from a nightmare campaign. Chronic bluntness in front of goal has dragged them down since August. Away from the Asturian principality, results have usually been ugly. Only two wins on the road. The recent draw with Getafe also left its mark physically and disciplinarily. Guillermo Almada will have to reshuffle his XI after two needless red cards. The head-to-head record stacks the deck heavily against Oviedo.

Likely line-ups

Real Madrid : Courtois ; Trent, Asencio, Rudiger, Garcia ; Diaz, Camavinga, Tchouameni, Bellingham ; Garcia, Vinicus

Real Oviedo : Escandell ; Alhassane, Calvo, Costas, Vidal ; Fernandez, Reina, Cazorla, Hassan ; Vinas, Chaira

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Football prediction Real Madrid vs Real Oviedo

Real Madrid to win by at least two goals

The wounded pride of the hosts should come down hard on the bottom side. Madrid’s technical quality ought to suffocate a visiting defence that looks completely flat.

That huge gap in class should show on the scoreboard. The net should rattle more than once as the hosts wrap up a convincing, dominant win in normal time.

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