- 1 Philadelphia Flyers vs Utah Mammoth: 29th in the league against a Utah team that scores 3.6 a night
- 2 Philadelphia Flyers: 1.93 goals a game and three forwards missing
- 3 Utah Mammoth: a 34.8% power play and Cooley’s hat trick in Pittsburgh
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers vs Utah Mammoth
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Philadelphia Flyers vs Utah Mammoth: 29th in the league against a Utah team that scores 3.6 a night 
Philadelphia are last in the Metropolitan Division. At 3-8-4 with 10 points from 15 games, the Flyers sit 16th in the Eastern Conference and 29th in the league, and their goal difference of minus 22 is built on 29 goals scored and 51 conceded.
Utah arrive at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday 1 November, puck drop at 4:00pm ET, second in the Central at 9-5-0. The Mammoth have scored 51 goals in 14 games, and they’ve won five of their eight road games.
The Flyers’ season has come in streaks. They won three straight between 17 and 21 October, beating Ottawa, Colorado and Buffalo, then lost three in a row: 5-4 to Anaheim, 4-3 in overtime to Columbus and 5-2 in Washington on Wednesday. At this point last season they were 8-5-2.
Philadelphia will have had three days off since that loss in Washington. Utah played on Thursday in Pittsburgh, winning 4-3 in overtime after Logan Cooley tied it with one second left in regulation, so they get two days. Neither team is on a back-to-back.
Utah won both meetings last season, 5-4 in overtime at home on 21 January and 3-0 in Philadelphia on 5 March, when Vanecek made 16 saves for the shutout. Sunday starts a five-game road trip for the Mammoth.
Philadelphia Flyers: 1.93 goals a game and three forwards missing 
The Flyers score 1.93 goals per game and take 23.5 shots to get there. They allow 30.3 shots a night, which means they’re spending most of their games defending, and their power play converts 16.3%, 24th in the league.
Three regulars are on the injury list. Travis Konecny has missed the last 10 games with a lower-body injury, Owen Tippett has missed six with an upper-body problem, and Rasmus Ristolainen has been out for 11 with a hand injury.
Michkov has carried what scoring there is. He has nine goals, five on the power play, and he’s the second Flyer in 20 years to score nine or more in October; Sean Couturier did it in 2017. Zegras leads the team in points with 13 and has a six-game point streak, with three goals and seven assists in that run.
Joseph Woll is 1-5-2 with a 3.13 GAA and an .899 save percentage across eight starts, and Dan Vladar is 2-3-2 with a 3.26 GAA and .888 in seven.
Rick Tocchet called the group inconsistent after Wednesday’s loss, and Couturier admitted the team has been soft at times this year. The home record is 2-3-3, with three of the losses coming after regulation.
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Utah Mammoth: a 34.8% power play and Cooley’s hat trick in Pittsburgh 
Cooley scored three times in Pittsburgh on Thursday, the fourth hat trick of his career and his seventh goal of the season, and Sergachev won it in overtime. Sebastian Cossa made 31 saves in that game.
Utah’s power play converts 34.8%, second in the NHL. Schmaltz has five power-play goals and Guenther four, and the team takes 30.2 shots a game while allowing 24.1.
Keller and Sergachev have 16 points each, Cooley has 15 and Schmaltz 14, so Philadelphia can’t focus on one line. Sergachev also had a five-game point streak going into Thursday.
The weakness is the penalty kill, which works at 66.7%, 29th in the league. Philadelphia’s power play is 24th, so it’s the matchup where the Flyers would most likely find a goal or two, but it’s also their least productive unit.
Utah have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games, going 4-3. Karel Vejmelka has made 10 starts and is 6-4-0 with a 3.13 GAA and an .881 save percentage. John Marino is out on defence, and Artem Duda made his NHL debut on Thursday.
Probable lineup Philadelphia Flyers: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Utah Mammoth: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers vs Utah Mammoth
Our prediction: Utah Mammoth to win (moneyline)
We’re backing Utah. The Mammoth score 3.64 goals a game to Philadelphia’s 1.93, outshoot opponents by six a night while the Flyers get outshot by nearly seven, and they’ve won 5 of 8 on the road. Utah also won both meetings last season, one of them 3-0 in Philadelphia.
Utah’s 66.7% penalty kill is the one number that worries us. The Flyers rank 24th on the power play, though, and with Konecny and Tippett both out, there isn’t much to suggest they’ll be the team that finally exploits it.
No lines for Sunday were available when we filed. Utah were priced around 1.77 as road favourites in Pittsburgh on Thursday, and we’d expect a similar figure here, above our 1.45 floor.
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