- 1 Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants: 13 straight Giants defeats in Philadelphia, and six straight Eagles losses
- 2 Philadelphia Eagles: 265.3 yards a game and a 1-7 record against the spread
- 3 New York Giants: J.J. McCarthy is their third starter, and they still lead the NFC East
- 4 Free NFL Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants: 13 straight Giants defeats in Philadelphia, and six straight Eagles losses 
The New York Giants haven’t won in Philadelphia since October 2013. That’s 13 straight defeats at Lincoln Financial Field, a postseason game included, and it’s the only number in this fixture that favours the home side.
Philadelphia Eagles host the Giants on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 1pm ET. The Eagles are 2-6, fourth in the NFC East, and have lost six in a row since a 2-0 start. The Giants are 4-2-1 and top the division.
The market has made the road team a favourite: Giants -3.5, 1.59 on the moneyline, with the Eagles at 2.42. The total is 39.5, the lowest of the numbers I’ve seen for this week.
Both teams have lost their first-choice quarterback. Jaxson Dart is on injured reserve for New York, and Jalen Hurts isn’t cleared for contact while he’s treated for blood clots.
New York’s last win in this building came 13 years ago, and neither of these quarterbacks has anything to do with that record. The Giants are also fresh. They beat Houston 27-21 in overtime in Week 7 and had the bye in Week 8, while Philadelphia were losing 27-10 to Washington on Sunday night.
Philadelphia Eagles: 265.3 yards a game and a 1-7 record against the spread 
Philadelphia have scored 137 points and given up 202, a point differential of minus 65. Their last three defeats came by 11, 17 and 17 points.
The offence averages 265.3 yards a game. It’s getting 3.8 yards a rush and 5.8 a pass attempt, and it’s allowed 23 sacks in eight games.
Tanner McKee made his third straight start in place of Hurts against Washington. The club hadn’t formally named a Week 9 starter at the time of writing, but McKee is the man in place.
Saquon Barkley played through hamstring and back discomfort against Washington, so his practice reports this week carry weight. Without him at full speed, a run game already averaging 3.8 a carry has very little else behind it.
DeVonta Smith, Dontayvion Wicks, Britain Covey, Jonathan Jones, Jihaad Campbell and Michael Carter II are all questionable, which touches the receiving group and the defence at the same time.
Per game, Philadelphia score 17.1 points and allow 25.3, and they’ve been sacked close to three times a week. McKee has started each of the last three games behind that protection, and Washington held him to 10 points on Sunday night.
The betting record is the plainest measure of how far this has gone. The Eagles are 1-7 against the spread, and they’ve got a turnover differential of minus four.
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New York Giants: J.J. McCarthy is their third starter, and they still lead the NFC East 
J.J. McCarthy is the third different quarterback to start for the Giants this season. New York got him from Minnesota for a 2027 fifth-round pick, and John Harbaugh’s team has kept winning regardless.
The numbers aren’t spectacular. They’ve scored 163 points and allowed 161, a plus-two differential, and they’re averaging 346 yards a game with 41.2 per cent on third down. That’s still 80.7 yards a game more than Philadelphia.
Malik Nabers has 605 yards on 48 catches through seven games. He’s the player McCarthy will lean on, and a questionable Eagles secondary gives him room to work.
The backfield is the concern. Tyrone Tracy Jr. has gone on injured reserve with a hamstring injury, though GM Joe Schoen doesn’t expect it to end his season. Cam Skattebo is day-to-day, and the club signed Gregory Desrosiers to the active roster and Eric Gray to the practice squad this week.
Defensively, Brian Burns, Tremaine Edmunds and Chauncey Golston are all on reserve lists, and Abdul Carter missed practice with an illness. Theo Johnson, Marcus Mbow, Greg Newsome II and Jevon Holland are questionable as well.
The Giants are 5-2 against the spread, with their games going over five times out of seven. A turnover differential of minus two isn’t clean, but they’ve found ways to win with it.
Harbaugh, an assistant in Philadelphia earlier in his career, has called this a rivalry game the team is looking forward to. New York’s next assignment is Washington at home on the following Thursday, so a short week follows this trip.
The Giants score 23.3 points a game and allow 23.0, which is hardly dominant. Set beside Philadelphia’s 17.1 and 25.3, it’s a gap of more than eight points a game in net terms.
Probable lineup Philadelphia Eagles: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup New York Giants: Not announced at time of publication
Free NFL Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants
Our prediction: New York Giants to win (1.59)
I’d back the Giants on the moneyline at 1.59 rather than lay 3.5 points. They’ve got the better record, the better offence by 80.7 yards a game and a bye week behind them, against a team that’s lost six straight.
The streak in Philadelphia is the honest argument against, and 13 straight is a long time. The Giants are also missing a lot on defence and in the backfield. Most of those defeats, though, came against Eagles sides that were nothing like this 2-6 team.
A team averaging 3.8 yards a carry with a stand-in quarterback and 23 sacks allowed isn’t the side to protect a home record. The moneyline covers the risk of a three-point game, and I’m comfortable with that.
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