- 1 Monaco vs Marseille: three straight wins at the Louis-II and eight goals scored, OM have landed in the wrong place
- 2 Monaco: a high press, a clean sheet and a transfer saga hanging over it
- 3 Marseille: a statement at the Velodrome, total emptiness on the road
- 4 Ligue 1 prediction Monaco vs Marseille
- 5 First, a word on our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information can change
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling comes first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Monaco vs Marseille: three straight wins at the Louis-II and eight goals scored, OM have landed in the wrong place 
Monaco have won their last three home meetings with Marseille in Ligue 1, scoring eight goals across those games. That sets the tone for Sunday, 30 August at 20:45 at Stade Louis-II.
This second round closes out a weekend in which both clubs have taken six points from six. Monaco went to Le Havre and won 1-0, while Marseille hammered Strasbourg 4-0 at the Velodrome.
Both dugouts changed this summer. Filipe Luis took charge in the Principality, Bruno Genesio arrived at Olympique de Marseille after his spell at Lille, and both started with a win.
A victory on Sunday would make Filipe Luis only the second Monaco coach of the last decade to win his first two Ligue 1 matches, after Adi Hutter. Genesio, meanwhile, would be chasing a double that OM have not managed since 2020-21.
Monaco come into this one with one extra competitive game in their legs, having already sealed qualification for the league phase of the Conference League. That extra sharpness shows up in the attacking numbers from matchday one.
The real imbalance is elsewhere: OM do not score away from home anymore. Seven straight league trips at one goal or fewer, and that does not get fixed in a week.
The fixture is the weekend’s final act, on Sunday night, with both clubs already aware of what their rivals have done. Nobody gets to hide behind a lack of information.
Both squads are also living through the last hours of the transfer window, with players who could be gone by Tuesday. That sort of backdrop always has a way of draining commitment from a game like this.
Monaco: a high press, a clean sheet and a transfer saga hanging over it 
Eric Dier’s 14th-minute goal was enough at Le Havre. Lukas Hradecky made five saves behind him to register his first clean sheet of the season.
That 1-0 says two things: Monaco score early and Monaco see it out. That is exactly the kind of side Filipe Luis has been building since he walked in.
The high press produced six big chances on opening weekend, the second-best total in the league. The attacking freedom he has given his players is showing in volume, not just in intent.
At home, the pattern is clear. Monaco can win their opening game at the Louis-II for the fourth straight season, and the previous three all came without conceding.
The injury list is still busy: Takumi Minamino and Mohammed Salisu are both recovering from ACL injuries, Matthis Abline is out with a foot problem and Ansu Fati is carrying calf discomfort. Folarin Balogun and Edan Diop are also missing, while Christian Mawissa is back from suspension and Jurrien Teze is available again.
The big issue is still off the pitch: Thiago Scuro still has sales to make before the deadline, and Lamine Camara is one of the names being floated. A midfielder thinking about a move on Sunday night can get punished very quickly against OM.
The European schedule has not yet bitten into Monaco’s rhythm, with the league phase of the Conference League only starting in September. Filipe Luis therefore gets this one without any forced rotation.
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Marseille: a statement at the Velodrome, total emptiness on the road 
The 4-0 win over Strasbourg was as clean as they come. Amine Gouiri scored twice, while Keyliane Abdallah and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg added the rest.
Genesio has already stamped his aggressive blueprint on this side: OM posted the second-highest total of balls won in the final third on opening weekend. Marseille’s press works, as long as they are at home.
Away from the Velodrome, the picture changes completely. Seven straight league matches on the road with one goal or fewer, including just one goal combined across the last two trips.
The late-window noise does not help. Igor Paixao played the full 90 minutes against Strasbourg, but Sunderland have already put an offer on Marseille’s desk, Quinten Timber is being linked with Crystal Palace and Gouiri himself is drawing interest.
OM have lost three of their last four league visits to the Louis-II and have not won there since 2022. They are also trying to avoid back-to-back defeats against Monaco in the same calendar year, something that has not happened to them since 2016.
This team has the tools to score; nobody is arguing that after last weekend. The question is whether they can do it when the stadium is not carrying them.
Genesio knows this kind of game well after spells at Lyon and Lille. His problem this weekend is not tactical, it is arithmetic: three starters could be gone within 48 hours.
Expected Monaco XI: Hradecky ; Teze, Kehrer, Dier, Nazinho ; Zakaria, Camara ; Detourbet, Golovin, Idumbo ; Biereth
Expected Marseille XI: De Lange ; Weah, Egan-Riley, Kondogbia, Palmieri ; Gomes ; Nnadi, Hojbjerg ; Harit, Gouiri, Maupay
Ligue 1 prediction Monaco vs Marseille
Our prediction: Monaco to win
Three straight wins at the Louis-II against this opponent, eight goals scored in that run: Monaco have the clearest edge in this fixture. They have also gone three home openers without conceding.
On the other side, OM’s away output has flatlined over seven league games, and the dressing room is being rattled by three potential exits with only hours left before the deadline. Genesio will be left juggling names, not certainty.
Filipe Luis’ press has already created six big chances in one matchday. Monaco win this one.
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