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Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield EFL Trophy prediction

Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield – Free Football Prediction – Nov 10

Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield: no points for the hosts, first place on offer for the visitors

Chesterfield scored five against Manchester City Under-21s in their first EFL Trophy group game. Mansfield Town lost to the same side, conceding four, and they’ve lost both of their group matches.

That’s the gap these neighbours bring to the One Call Stadium on Tuesday 10 November, kick-off 19:00 UK time. Mansfield are bottom of Northern Group D with no points and a goal difference of minus five, and they’re already out. Chesterfield have five points from two games and are guaranteed a top-two finish.

There’s still something to play for, and it belongs to the visitors. Port Vale have finished their group games on seven points. A Chesterfield win takes them to eight and top of the group, which matters when the knockout draw comes round.

The weekend gave both sides a cup win. Mansfield beat Macclesfield 3-0 in the FA Cup and Chesterfield got past Yeovil Town 4-3, and both managers are expected to make as many changes as the EFL rules allow.

Chesterfield got their five points the hard way. They beat City’s Under-21s 5-3, then drew 1-1 with Port Vale and won the shootout for the bonus point. Mansfield lost to City and to Port Vale and conceded six goals across the two games.

The bookmakers still make Mansfield the favourites at 2.15, with Chesterfield at 2.82 and the draw at 3.58. That’s a League One home side priced against a League Two visitor. In this competition, with this table, I think the market has it the wrong way round.

Mansfield Town: out of the Trophy, but 11 points from six in League One Mansfield Town

Nigel Clough’s side have taken 11 points from their last six League One games. That run has them 11th, seven points off second place, and it’s where his attention will be.

Mansfield lost to Notts County and then drew 0-0 at Wigan on 3 November, two league games in a row without a goal. Saturday’s 3-0 win over Macclesfield in the FA Cup ended that, against a National League North side that had been tipped for an upset.

The Trophy has gone badly from the start. Six goals conceded in two games, four of them to City’s Under-21s, isn’t the record of a side taking the competition seriously. With elimination confirmed, there’s no reason for Clough to change that approach now.

Clough has fringe players to give minutes to. Harry Lewis, Owen Dodgson, Elliott Hewitt, Kyle Knoyle, Luke Bolton, Ollie Taylor and Tyler Roberts could all come into the starting eleven. Deji Oshilaja is expected to stay out injured, and Clough has used a different formation in each of his two Trophy games.

History is the one thing on Mansfield’s side. They’re unbeaten in their last four meetings with Chesterfield and won the two most recent, though Tuesday’s line-ups will look very different from the ones in those games.

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Chesterfield: 18 goals in three games and first place within reach Chesterfield

Paul Cook’s side have been involved in 18 goals across their last three matches. They beat Crewe Alexandra 5-1 on 24 October, lost 4-1 at Newport County six days later and won 4-3 against Yeovil Town in the FA Cup on Saturday.

That’s a team that scores and concedes in bunches. It also suits the way this game is likely to be played, with two rotated sides and a home team that has let in three a game in the competition.

Chesterfield finished sixth in League Two last season and went out of the play-offs against Notts County. They’ve carried roughly the same level into this campaign: inconsistent in the league, dangerous going forward.

International call-ups take three young Chesterfield players out: Victor Huart, Gunner Elliott and Jaylen Zarb are all away with their countries. Ryan Boot, Junior Eccleston, Tom Naylor, George McEachran, Dilan Markanday, Dylan Duffy, Joel Randall and Fraser Bryden are all in contention to start.

Naylor and McEachran are expected to pair up in midfield, and Cook has a clear reason to pick a strong side: a win means top spot, while Mansfield can only finish bottom whatever happens.

Probable lineup Mansfield Town: Lewis; Knoyle, Hewitt, Bowery; Bolton, Hendry, Oates, Dodgson; Maris, Taylor; Roberts
Probable lineup Chesterfield: Boot; Hutton, Pond, Eccleston, Gordon; Naylor, McEachran; Markanday, Randall, Duffy; Bryden

Free Football Prediction: Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win at 2.82

Chesterfield have the only meaningful target on the night, five points in the group to Mansfield’s none, and ten goals scored in their last three matches. Mansfield are out, have conceded six in two Trophy games and have a League One season to protect.

Mansfield are a division higher, they beat Macclesfield 3-0 on Saturday and they haven’t lost to Chesterfield in four meetings. Chesterfield also shipped four at Newport less than a fortnight ago.

I’ll take the visitors anyway. At 2.82, the price treats this as a normal derby between a League One side and a League Two side, and the group table says it isn’t one.

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  • Photo Pierre Boulben - Editor in chief - Sports

    Former journalist for French newspaper L’équipe and ESPN, I have been the News Editor for MathOdds for the past two years. Mainly in charge of the news and previews coverage as well as our data powered sports trends and cheat-sheets.


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