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Malta vs Andorra prediction

Malta vs Andorra – Free Football Prediction – 04/10/2026

Malta vs Andorra: seven meetings and still no Andorran win UEFA Nations League

Malta welcome Andorra to the National Stadium in Ta’ Qali on Sunday 4 October in the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off is at 18:00 Paris time.

This is the return fixture of a game played less than a fortnight ago. Malta won the first meeting 2-1 in Andorra la Vella, coming from behind after Guillaume Lopez had opened the scoring.

The bigger picture is worth explaining. Because of the format change after the 2026-27 edition, every side in both League D groups will move up to League C, so the standings carry little sporting weight.

That does not mean the match is empty. Sports Mole notes that Malta have never lost to Andorra in seven recorded meetings, with three wins in the last four after three early draws.

Form adds to that history. Malta are unbeaten in four games across all competitions, while Andorra have not won in four and, according to Sportskeeda, have gone 25 competitive matches without a victory since September 2022.

Scoring is Andorra’s long-standing issue. They have found the net in only two of their last ten matches, which frames the whole afternoon in Ta’ Qali.

For the hosts, the aim is simple: extend an unbeaten run against this opponent and keep building under Emilio De Leo. For the visitors, a first-ever win over Malta would mean a great deal.

Football Whispers also flags over 2.5 goals at 2.55 and both teams to score at 2.50 as possible angles. Those prices show the market expects Malta to win, but not necessarily to keep a clean sheet.

Sports Mole predicts a 2-0 home win, pointing to Teuma and Cardona as the difference makers. Football Whispers expects a closer 2-1, with Andorra finding the net.

Both readings lead to the same winner. The only real debate is whether Andorra can score against a Malta side that has conceded in three of its last five games.

Malta Analysis Malta

Malta lost to Luxembourg in the promotion play-offs of the previous edition, so they know this campaign is a chance to rebuild momentum. They have started well, with a 2-1 win in Andorra and a 1-1 home draw with Gibraltar.

Between those two Nations League games, Malta also beat Liechtenstein 2-0. That run of results gives the squad confidence heading into a third home appearance in a short window.

Irvin Cardona and Teddy Teuma were the decisive figures in the reverse fixture. Both scored and both provided an assist, so the attack naturally runs through them.

Ylas Chouaref adds another threat on the flank. His directness can trouble an Andorra back line that will spend long spells defending deep.

Team news is good for De Leo, who has no injury concerns according to Sports Mole. A full squad means he can pick his strongest side at home.

The one caution is defensive. Malta have conceded in three of their last five matches, which suggests they can still give a goal away even when they control the game.

The Reds have scored two or more goals in three of their last four matches. Against a side that struggles to create chances, that attacking rhythm is a real advantage.

Henry Bonello is set to keep his place in goal, a few weeks after a spilled save gifted Andorra their opener in the reverse fixture. He will want a quieter afternoon at home.

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Andorra Analysis Andorra

Koldo Alvarez’s side have struggled for results for a long time. They have lost three of their last four matches across all competitions and won just once in their last ten.

Their Nations League campaign so far reads one defeat and one goalless draw. They lost 2-1 at home to Malta and then held Gibraltar to a 0-0.

The most recent outing was a heavy one. Andorra lost 3-0 to Lithuania in a friendly on 30 September, a result that confirmed how hard goals are to come by for this team.

Guillaume Lopez scored against Malta in the reverse fixture, but he has not scored since against Gibraltar or Lithuania. Albert Rosas and Jordi Alaez carry more international goals, with five and four respectively.

Andorra will likely set up compactly and try to keep the game tight for as long as possible. That approach has produced draws in the past, but it rarely leads to wins away from home.

The positive sign for the visitors is the reverse fixture itself. They led that game for a spell, which shows they can make Malta uncomfortable if they defend well early on.

The goalless draw with Gibraltar showed Andorra can still frustrate opponents. Keeping a clean sheet away from home against Malta’s attacking options is a much bigger challenge.

Alvarez is likely to set up with a back four protected by two holding midfielders. That shape limits space in front of goal but often leaves Lopez isolated up front.

Probable lineup Malta: Bonello; Corbalan, Shaw, Pepe, Camenzuli; Guillaumier, Satariano; Mbong, Teuma, Chouaref; Cardona
Probable lineup Andorra: Alvarez; Font, Llovera, Olivera, Nicolas; Planes, Muller; Alaez, Lopez, Rodrigo; Garcia

Free Football Prediction: Malta vs Andorra

Our prediction: Malta to win (odds around 1.67)

Malta are unbeaten in seven meetings with Andorra, are unbeaten in four games overall and have a full squad available at home. Andorra, meanwhile, have scored in only two of their last ten matches and have not won a competitive game since 2022.

The reverse fixture showed that Malta can come back when needed, and Teuma and Cardona give them a quality advantage in the final third. Playing at home should only increase the pressure they put on Andorra’s defence.

We back Malta to win, with odds of around 1.67 quoted by Football Whispers. A 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline fits the profile of this fixture best.

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Author

  • Louis Boulben

    Ex-NCAA D1 Athlete with a background in B2B/D2C technology, enterprise business development, finance, and management. Currently leading growth and strategy at MathODDS, expanding into broader European and US markets.


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