- 1 Los Angeles Kings vs Calgary Flames: a 31st-ranked penalty kill faces a top-five power play
- 2 Los Angeles Kings: Panarin’s 18 points and a 2-5-0 home record
- 3 Calgary Flames: six wins in ten and the league’s fifth-best power play
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Los Angeles Kings vs Calgary Flames
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Los Angeles Kings vs Calgary Flames: a 31st-ranked penalty kill faces a top-five power play 
Los Angeles have killed 63.3% of the penalties they’ve taken this season, 31st in the NHL. Calgary’s power play scores on 28.6% of its chances, tied for fifth.
That’s the matchup I keep coming back to for Saturday November 14 at Crypto.com Arena, puck drop 10pm ET. Without it, these are two teams in the bottom half of the Pacific with little to separate them.
The Kings are 5-8-2 with 12 points, seventh in the division. They’ve been worse at home than away: 2-5-0 in Los Angeles, 3-3-2 on the road. They lost 5-2 to Pittsburgh on November 7 as home favourites at 1.82.
Calgary are 8-9-1 with 17 points. They beat Philadelphia 4-3 in overtime on November 8, Matt Coronato scoring the winner, and have taken six of their last ten. Away from home they’re 2-5-1.
The Kings play Nashville on Tuesday and the Islanders on Thursday, all at home, so Saturday is their third game in five nights. Calgary host the Rangers on Wednesday, get two days off, then visit Anaheim on Sunday.
This is the first meeting of the season. Calgary won three of four last season, including a 2-1 win in Los Angeles on December 13. The Kings’ only win in the series was a 2-0 shutout on February 28, and the Flames closed it with a 3-1 home win on April 16.
Los Angeles Kings: Panarin’s 18 points and a 2-5-0 home record 
Artemi Panarin, acquired from the Rangers on February 4, leads the Kings with 8 goals and 18 points. Adrian Kempe has 13 points, and Alex Laferriere and Brandt Clarke have 11 each.
This is the first Kings season without Anze Kopitar, who has retired. The offence has still produced 3.00 goals a game, and the power play runs at 22.6%, tied for 12th.
The trouble is at the other end. Los Angeles allow 3.47 goals per game, 23rd, and the penalty kill has been the worst in the league bar one.
Darcy Kuemper has started 10 times with a 5-4-1 record, a 3.53 goals-against average and an .878 save percentage. Anton Forsberg’s numbers are better, 2.51 and .902, yet he’s 0-4-1.
Kevin Fiala is on injured reserve with a leg injury and was skating in a non-contact jersey as of late October. Mats Zuccarello is out week-to-week with an upper-body injury, and Erik Gustafsson has been day-to-day since November 9. Both were among six July 1 signings, along with Haula, Perry, Perunovich and Pederson.
The form swings from week to week. A 7-2 win over San Jose on November 4 was followed by the loss to Pittsburgh, and the last ten games split 5-5.
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Calgary Flames: six wins in ten and the league’s fifth-best power play 
Calgary’s scoring is thin. They average 2.56 goals, 28th in the league, and concede 3.50.
The power play makes up for a lot of that. It converts 28.6% of the time, and the penalty kill sits ninth at 82.1%. Joel Farabee also scored short-handed against the Flyers on Sunday.
Farabee leads the team with 16 points through November 6, plus his goal on Sunday. Coronato had 14 points before his overtime winner, Morgan Frost has 12 and Matvei Gridin 10. Zayne Parekh, who opened the scoring against Philadelphia, has 7 points from the blue line.
Devin Cooley returned from injured reserve on November 5 and made 32 saves against the Flyers. He was 4-3-0 with a .914 save percentage before that game. Dustin Wolf has a 3.75 goals-against average and an .869, and with Anaheim waiting on Sunday the two are likely to split the weekend.
Jonathan Huberdeau is on injured reserve with a hip problem and no timeline. Samuel Honzek has been out since October 19, Connor Zary is out, and Brennan Othmann is day-to-day. Kevin Bahl missed the November 6 loss to Anaheim with a lower-body injury.
The road record, 2-5-1, is the reason for caution. One of those two road wins was a 2-1 game in San Jose on November 2.
Probable lineup Los Angeles Kings: Not announced at time of publication. Up front: Panarin, Kempe, Laferriere; Clarke on defence. In goal: Kuemper or Forsberg.
Probable lineup Calgary Flames: Not announced at time of publication. Up front: Farabee, Coronato, Frost, Gridin; Parekh on defence. In goal: Cooley or Wolf.
Free NHL Prediction: Los Angeles Kings vs Calgary Flames
Our prediction: Calgary Flames to win
I’m taking Calgary. The Kings’ penalty kill has stopped fewer than two thirds of power plays, and the Flames have one of the five best power plays in the league. Los Angeles have also won only twice in seven home games.
The Flames’ road form is poor and their scoring rate is 28th in the league, which is the honest case for the Kings. Panarin can win a game on his own. But Calgary took three of four from Los Angeles last season, and they’ll have had two days off while the Kings play their third game in five nights.
No line was posted for Saturday at the time of writing. I’d still take the Flames on the moneyline rather than any handicap, given how few goals they score.
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