- 1 Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain: bottom against top, and a Paris week with three games in it
- 2 Le Havre: three goals in 13 minutes at the Vélodrome, one point from four home games
- 3 Paris Saint-Germain: six straight wins without four regulars
- 4 Free Ligue 1 Prediction: Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain: bottom against top, and a Paris week with three games in it 
Le Havre are the only side in Ligue 1 still looking for a league win this season. Eight games have brought two draws, six defeats and two points, which leaves Didier Digard’s team 18th and bottom, three points behind Troyes.
Paris Saint-Germain come to the Stade Océane on Friday 30 October, kick-off 18:00 UK time, as leaders. Monday’s 2-0 win over Lyon took them to 17 points from eight games, and it was their sixth straight win in all competitions.
That run explains more than the table does. Luis Enrique’s side took eight points from their first five league games, losing at Lens and at home to Monaco, and the turnaround since mid-September has included wins at Marseille, Manchester City and Strasbourg, plus a 4-2 against Barcelona at the Parc des Princes.
The schedule is the complication. PSG played Lyon on Monday night, play here on Friday and travel to Villarreal in the Champions League on Tuesday 3 November, so this is the middle game of three in eight days. The squad is already without Kvaratskhelia, Dembélé, Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes.
Bookmakers price PSG at 1.22 and Le Havre at 11.00, so the result market offers very little. The more useful question is whether Le Havre can score, and Sunday’s 4-3 defeat at Marseille suggests they can, even if it took them 77 minutes to get going.
Le Havre: three goals in 13 minutes at the Vélodrome, one point from four home games 
Le Havre were 4-0 down at Marseille after 55 minutes on Sunday. Josh Maja converted a penalty on 77 minutes, Lamine N’Diaye scored on 86 and Maja added his second on 89, and the game finished 4-3.
Both of Maja’s goals came off the bench, and they make him the club’s top league scorer with three. Ally Samatta and Rayan Fofana have two each, so no single player has carried an attack that has scored eight times in eight games.
The home record is the bigger problem. Le Havre have played four league games at the Stade Océane and lost three of them: 1-0 to Monaco, 2-1 to Brest and 3-1 to Auxerre on 18 October. Their only home point came from a 0-0 with Angers on 12 September.
Digard usually sets the side up in a 3-4-2-1. At Marseille that meant Gallon in goal behind Touba, Seko and Ouziad, with Ebonog, Mwanga, R. Ndiaye and Richardson across midfield and Samatta, Koffi and Fofana in attack.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported ahead of Friday. Over their last ten games, though, Le Havre have failed to score in four, and that’s the figure to set against Sunday’s late burst.
History doesn’t help them either. Le Havre haven’t beaten PSG since March 2000, and the last seven meetings have produced six PSG wins and a 3-3 draw in April 2024. The most recent game at this ground, in February, finished 1-0 to PSG through a Barcola goal on 37 minutes.
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Paris Saint-Germain: six straight wins without four regulars 
Since 20 September PSG have won 2-1 at Marseille, beaten Le Mans 3-1, won 4-2 at Manchester City and 3-1 at Strasbourg, beaten Barcelona 4-2 and then Lyon 2-0 on Monday. That’s 18 goals in six games, and they’ve reached at least three in four of them.
The Lyon game is the one worth studying, because it was the clearest picture yet of the side without its injured players. Kvaratskhelia tore a cruciate ligament against Barcelona on 20 October and needs surgery. Dembélé and Marquinhos both have thigh tears and are out for several weeks, and Nuno Mendes hurt his thigh at Strasbourg three days earlier.
Lyon held out until the 72nd minute. Senny Mayulu scored first, Godts added the second on 84 minutes, and that clean sheet was the first in the six-game run.
Ferran Torres has filled the gap in attack. He has seven goals in all competitions and four in Ligue 1, more than anyone else at the club, and Fabián Ruiz has added two league assists from midfield.
Rotation is likely on Friday. With Villarreal away on Tuesday and Troyes at home on 7 November, Luis Enrique has every reason to share the minutes, and a bench against Lyon that included Digne, Lucas Hernández and Beraldo gives him the players to do it.
Changing personnel hasn’t slowed the scoring. PSG’s last ten matches have averaged 4.2 goals, and both teams have scored in nine of them.
Probable lineup Le Havre: Gallon; Touba, Seko, Ouziad; Ebonog, Mwanga, R. Ndiaye, Richardson; Samatta, Koffi, Fofana
Probable lineup Paris Saint-Germain: Not announced at time of publication
Free Ligue 1 Prediction: Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain
Our prediction: Both teams to score (1.67)
PSG at 1.22 is too short, and over 2.5 goals at 1.33 isn’t much better, so I’d look at both teams scoring at 1.67. PSG have kept one clean sheet in their last six games, and both sides have found the net in nine of their last ten matches.
Le Havre’s case rests on Sunday’s three goals at the Vélodrome and on the fact that they’ve scored in four of their last six league games. A PSG back line reshuffled between Lyon and Villarreal, without Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes, isn’t one I’d trust to keep a second clean sheet in five days.
The risk is obvious: Le Havre failed to score in four of their last ten and lost 1-0 at home to PSG in February. I still think PSG’s rotation and the hosts’ finish at Marseille point to a goal at each end, with PSG winning the match.
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