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La Rochelle vs Stade Francais – Top 14 Prediction – June 6, 2026

La Rochelle vs Stade Francais – Top 14 Prediction – June 6, 2026

La Rochelle – Stade Francais : Ambition on the line in the run-in

This is a straight-up final for La Rochelle on the last day of the regular season. They host Stade Francais on Saturday at a Marcel-Deflandre ground that should be rocking. For La Rochelle, the equation is simple: win or their season could slip through their fingers. As for Stade Francais, they are still trying to nip in ahead of their rivals and grab a direct ticket to the semi-finals. Both sides have plenty to play for, and this one should be fierce from the first whistle.

La Rochelle aim to finish the job at Marcel-Deflandre

After a sluggish start to the season, La Rochelle have found another gear in recent weeks and surged up the table. Ronan O’Gara’s men have won seven of their last eight Top 14 matches. Freed from European duty after their Challenge Cup exit, they have looked ruthless in the league, none more so than the hammering they handed to Montauban last weekend. For this huge home game, though, they are still dealing with a packed treatment room, with names like Will Skelton, Jonathan Danty and Oscar Jegou all out.

The good news is that La Rochelle get key boosts in the pack with Levani Botia, Judicael Cancoriet and Reda Wardi back in the mix to add plenty of punch up front. Behind them, the half-back pairing of Antoine Hastoy and Nolann Le Garrec looks serious. Davit Niniashvili and Jules Favre also come in from the start to stretch a defence that will already be under pressure. Captain Gregory Alldritt will lead a side that has been lifted by the occasion and knows a win in front of their own crowd would seal a place in the playoffs and cap a remarkable recovery.

Stade Francais are chasing a direct route to the last four

On the other side, Stade Francais have put together a very strong campaign and have already booked a playoff spot and at least a home barrage at Jean-Bouin. Third in the table, level on points with second, the Parisians still have a real shot at grabbing direct passage to the semi-finals without going through the knockout round. Paul Gustard’s team arrive in good form after winning seven of their last eight games. With playmaker Louis Carbonel unavailable, the Paris staff turn to Louis Foursans-Bourdette at fly-half alongside former Charentais Tawera Kerr-Barlow. Their back line looks dangerous with Leo Barre, Peniasi Dakuwaqa and Jeremy Ward, while Tani Vili keeps his place in the unusual role of blindside flanker.

Probable line-ups

La Rochelle : Niniashvili ; Favre, Thomas, West, Leyds ; Hastoy, Le Garrec ; Alldritt, Botia, Boudehent ; Lavault, Fromont ; Atonio, Latu, Wardi

Stade Francais : Barre ; Dakuwaqa, Ward, Marchant, Nene ; Foursans-Bourdette, Kerr-Barlow ; Vili, Briatte, Chapuis ; Pesenti, Gabrillagues ; Gomez Kodela, Panis, Abramishvili

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Rugby prediction La Rochelle vs Stade Francais

Stade Francais win or lose by fewer than 13 points

This top-of-the-table clash should be fiercely contested between two of the league’s best sides, and the final margin looks likely to be tight. La Rochelle are in excellent form and have home advantage in their Marcel-Deflandre fortress. But Stade Francais arrive with a strong squad and a defence built to take the punishment over the full 80 minutes.

The Parisians, with the pressure of qualification already off their backs, head into this one looking to sharpen themselves for what comes next. Even if the home crowd and the must-win setting push La Rochelle towards victory, Stade Francais have enough in the tank, thanks to their power up front and sharp work in the backs, to keep this close and avoid a collapse. A Paris win, or a respectable defeat by fewer than 13 points, looks the most likely outcome.
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Author

  • Jayann Lebecq

    My name is Jayann Lebecq, i’m 18 and i live in the South West of France in Anglet. I’m student in Sports Management in Montpellier. To conclude, I’m a sports fan since my 4 years old.


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