- 1 Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans: Knights still have top-four dreams alive
- 2 The Knights have the tools and the hunger
- 3 Gold Coast are flying blind
- 4 NRL Pick Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans
- 5 First, a word on our free picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your job
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the visuals…
Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans: Knights still have top-four dreams alive 
The Knights are at home to a side with nothing left to chase and nowhere to hide. Newcastle still have a top-four finish in their sights.
Sixth with 30 points, they have four rounds to lock in a home finals campaign. Every point matters now.
The Titans sit 15th and are effectively playing for pride. Their season has drifted away, as the 30-8 hammering by the Cowboys made plain.
At McDonald Jones Stadium, the contrast is obvious. One side is fighting for its season; the other is just trying to see it out.
One stat tells the story: Dominic Young has scored 11 tries in six games against the Titans. Newcastle know exactly where the weakness is.
The Knights have the tools and the hunger 
Newcastle come into this with one of their strongest squads of the season. Kalyn Ponga at fullback remains their biggest threat.
Bradman Best and Phoenix Crossland return after missing the win over Canberra with calf issues. Two big boosts that add real punch to the side.
Out wide, Dominic Young is a nightmare for this defence. Eleven tries in six games against Gold Coast says plenty.
Tyson Frizell brings experience off the bench, while Pasami Saulo is back from a foot injury. The rotation looks solid.
The Knights have depth, home advantage and far more to play for. The signs are all pointing Newcastle’s way.
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Gold Coast are flying blind 
Gold Coast arrive with no ladder pressure on them, which makes them hard to trust. A free-swinging side can spring a surprise, but usually not away from home.
That 30-8 hiding from the Cowboys underlined how fragile they are defensively. The season has left scars.
Lachlan Ilias is back in the halves for the first time since Round 9. It is never ideal trying to kick-start an attack with a playmaker short of rhythm.
AJ Brimson shifts back to centre after filling in at halfback last week, his first run at that position since 2019. It says plenty about a squad being patched together.
Tino Fa’asuamaleaui and Moeaki Fotuaika are propping up the pack. Without a huge effort from their leaders, the Titans do not have the firepower to keep pace.
NRL Pick Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans
Knights to win with handicap (-8.5)
Newcastle are chasing the top four and face a side with nothing on the line. At McDonald Jones, with Ponga and a Dominic Young who loves playing Gold Coast, the gap should open up.
The Titans are leaking points, and the 30 they shipped against the Cowboys was another reminder. With a halfback returning after four months out, their attack may struggle to get going.
The Knights should not just win this one, they should do it properly. The 8.5-point handicap looks the play.
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