- 1 SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha Berlin: 37 goals conceded by the hosts, none lost by the 2. Bundesliga leaders
- 2 SSV Jeddeloh: one week under Burak Bahar and 16 goals conceded in five league games
- 3 Hertha Berlin: unbeaten all season, yet their cup run started with a shootout in Saarbrücken
- 4 Free Football Prediction: SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha Berlin
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha Berlin: 37 goals conceded by the hosts, none lost by the 2. Bundesliga leaders 
SSV Jeddeloh II have conceded 37 goals in 15 Regionalliga Nord matches this season. The fourth-tier club sacked Kristian Arambasic after a 7-2 defeat at SV Drochtersen/Assel on 3 October, with the side second from bottom and ten points from his twelve league games in charge.
The same squad knocked Heidenheim out of the DFB-Pokal in August, winning 5-2 against a club that had just been relegated from the Bundesliga. That result is why Hertha Berlin are travelling to the Marschweg-Stadion in Oldenburg for a second-round tie on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 17:00 UK time.
Hertha arrive as the runaway leaders of the 2. Bundesliga and haven’t lost a competitive match this season. Their most recent game was a 1-0 win over Arminia Bielefeld on Saturday, settled by Josip Brekalo’s penalty in the 93rd minute, and it gave them back-to-back clean sheets for the first time this term.
The 1X2 market has made up its mind. Hertha are around 1.05 to win, with Jeddeloh out at 29.50 at the best available price, so there’s nothing to work with in the straight result.
The more useful question is whether the hosts can score against a defence that has only just started keeping teams out. Jeddeloh found the net seven times in their last five league games, and Hertha’s own cup run began with a 1-1 draw at Saarbrücken that went to penalties.
I think the home side gets a goal. A crowd that watched five go in against Heidenheim will push them forward, and a cup tie on a small ground gives a team like Jeddeloh the licence to attack that league football rarely does.
SSV Jeddeloh: one week under Burak Bahar and 16 goals conceded in five league games 
Burak Bahar was appointed on 19 October and has had one match in charge, a 1-1 draw at Eimsbütteler TV on Saturday. It was a modest start, but it followed a run of three defeats in four league games.
The results before he arrived show the size of the job. Jeddeloh lost 4-0 to Eintracht Norderstedt on 26 September, 7-2 at Drochtersen/Assel a week later and 2-1 to Lübeck on 12 October, conceding 13 goals across those three matches. A 3-2 win over Werder Bremen II on 17 October was the only victory in that stretch.
That record cuts both ways. Over their last five league games Jeddeloh scored seven and conceded 16, and four of those five matches had goals at both ends. They play openly and they pay for it, which is exactly why their attack interests me more than their league position.
The Heidenheim game followed a similar script. Tom Kanowski hit the post after seven minutes, Heidenheim led five minutes later, and Jeddeloh still scored five times. Kanowski should start on the left of midfield again, with Kamer Krasniqi, who scored in the first round, playing behind Hyseni.
There’s one confirmed absence. Simon Brinkmann is out with a knee injury, and his twin brother Moritz is expected to take his place. Onken should start in goal behind a back three of Aschwege, Siala and Friedrichs, a shape that leaves space on the flanks for Hertha’s wide players.
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Hertha Berlin: unbeaten all season, yet their cup run started with a shootout in Saarbrücken 
Hertha’s last six results in all competitions read W, W, W, W, D, W. They won 2-1 at Dynamo Dresden on 19 September and 2-1 at home to Greuther Fürth on 11 October, drew 0-0 at Holstein Kiel on 16 October and then beat Bielefeld 1-0.
Those scores describe a side that wins by narrow margins rather than by volume. Their last three league games produced four goals in total, and the Bielefeld win needed a stoppage-time penalty from Brekalo to settle it.
The first round was tighter still. Hertha drew 1-1 at Saarbrücken of the 3. Liga and went through on penalties, a reminder that lower-division opposition on a small ground has already given them problems this season.
Three players are doubts. Gustaf Nilsson and Boris Lum are carrying knocks, and Marton Dardai has a groin problem. The rest of the squad is fit, and Brekalo, Paul Seguin and Gronning are all expected to start.
Some rotation is likely. Hertha lead the second tier and promotion matters more to them than a cup tie in Oldenburg, so changes in defence wouldn’t surprise me. A reshuffled back line facing a team that scored five against Heidenheim is the scenario in which a home goal becomes realistic.
Probable lineup SSV Jeddeloh: Onken; Aschwege, Siala, Friedrichs; Bothe, Krolikowski, Taguchi, Kanowski; M. Brinkmann, Krasniqi; Hyseni
Probable lineup Hertha Berlin: Gersbeck; Zeefuik, Gechter, Kolbe, Pedersen; Seguin, Sessa; Adewumi, Thorsteinsson, Brekalo; Gronning
Free Football Prediction: SSV Jeddeloh vs Hertha Berlin
Our prediction: Both teams to score – Yes (1.80)
Hertha should win this, and the 1.05 price on them says as much. The value lies elsewhere. Jeddeloh have scored in four of their last five league games and put five past Heidenheim in August, while Hertha’s two clean sheets in a row are the first they’ve managed all season.
Both teams to score at 1.80 asks for one goal from the hosts. Against a Hertha side likely to rotate, at a ground where the crowd drove Jeddeloh forward in the first round, I’d take it. The visitors’ goals should come easily enough, given that Jeddeloh have let in 37 in 15 league matches.
The risk is a Hertha side that keeps the ball and gives Jeddeloh nothing to counter, which is how they beat Bielefeld. But a cup tie against a fourth-tier club rarely stays that tidy for 90 minutes, and one set-piece or one mistake at the back is enough to land this bet.
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