- 1 Galatasaray vs Barcelona: bottom of the league phase against a side scoring for fun
- 2 Galatasaray: a defence that has leaked goals in three of its last five
- 3 Barcelona: eight from eight in La Liga, and Gabriel Jesus already covering for Raphinha
- 4 Free Champions League Prediction: Galatasaray vs Barcelona
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Galatasaray vs Barcelona: bottom of the league phase against a side scoring for fun 
Seventeen goals in five matches. That’s Barcelona’s output heading to Istanbul, more than double Galatasaray’s seven over the same span. It’s the number that frames Tuesday night at Rams Park, kick-off 21:00 Paris time.
The table backs it up. Galatasaray sit last in the league phase after losing 3-1 to Sporting on matchday one. Barcelona are fourth after a 5-1 demolition of Feyenoord.
Domestically, the gap is even starker. Barcelona have won all eight La Liga games, equalling the club’s best-ever start to a league season, and they’ve kept three straight clean sheets. Galatasaray were beaten 4-0 by Trabzonspor two matchdays ago.
There’s one wrinkle. Raphinha, Barcelona’s captain and leading scorer with 14 goals this season, is out with a thigh problem. Does that change the picture? Not much, judging by Saturday.
The market prices Barcelona at 1.27, the draw at 6.47 and Galatasaray at 7.90. The straight away win is too short to be worth backing. The value lies in the margin.
Galatasaray: a defence that has leaked goals in three of its last five 
Okan Buruk’s side did beat Kasimpasa 3-1 on Friday. They conceded first, though, and that’s become a pattern. Two wins, a draw and a defeat from the last four tells you this team isn’t settled.
The 4-0 loss at Trabzonspor is the result that should worry Buruk most. Pace in behind undid them repeatedly, and Barcelona’s front line is built on exactly that.
Galatasaray tend to respond with aggression. They’ve committed 51 fouls and picked up two red cards across their last five matches. That’s a side trying to break rhythm rather than control the ball, and against Barcelona it’s a dangerous game to play.
There’s quality going forward. Baris Alper Yilmaz has scored in his last three outings and keeps getting shots away despite limited service. Leroy Sane gives them a genuine outlet on the break, and Ilkay Gundogan knows Barcelona’s patterns better than most.
But a Galatasaray goal and a Galatasaray result are two different things. They’ll probably score. Holding Barcelona to a one-goal margin is the harder ask.
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Barcelona: eight from eight in La Liga, and Gabriel Jesus already covering for Raphinha 
Barcelona beat Getafe 3-0 on Saturday without Raphinha. Anthony Gordon scored inside two minutes, Gabriel Jesus added the second on the half-hour and Jules Kounde finished it after the break. Ten matches unbeaten across all competitions.
Jesus is the story. He joined from Arsenal just over a month ago for 8.6 million pounds, made four substitute appearances and then scored on his first start. His first three shots on target for the club have all gone in. More importantly for Hansi Flick, he pressed like Raphinha does.
Raphinha also misses the trip to Istanbul, so Jesus should keep his place. That’s not a downgrade in the pressing structure, which is what makes this Barcelona side so hard to play through.
Then there’s Lamine Yamal. Three goals and five assists in his last four appearances. Eight goal involvements in four games. No defence in Turkey has handled that kind of form, and Galatasaray’s doesn’t look like the one to start.
A 7-2 win over Racing Santander, a 5-1 over Feyenoord, a 3-0 over Getafe. The pattern is consistent, and it doesn’t depend on one player.
Probable lineup Galatasaray: Cakir; Sanchez, Bardakci, Elmali, Jakobs; Torreira, Gabriel, Gundogan; Akgun, Sane, Baris Alper Yilmaz
Probable lineup Barcelona: Joan Garcia; Kounde, Cubarsi, Eric Garcia, Balde; Pedri, Rodri, Gavi; Lamine Yamal, Gabriel Jesus, Ferran Torres
Free Champions League Prediction: Galatasaray vs Barcelona
Our prediction: Barcelona to win by two or more goals (Asian handicap -1.5)
Barcelona at 1.27 is the likeliest outcome but offers almost nothing. The handicap route captures the same read with a meaningful price: a side scoring 17 in five against a defence that’s leaked goals in three of its last five.
Raphinha’s absence was tested on Saturday and Barcelona still won 3-0 with a clean sheet. Galatasaray’s physical approach may slow the game down, but it also invites cards, and cards against this attack tend to cost goals.
We expect Galatasaray to find the net once. We expect Barcelona to find it three times. Check the handicap price before kick-off and stake sensibly.
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Information changes
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