- 1 Fritz vs Sonego: brace yourself for a long battle
- 2 Fritz has hit top gear
- 3 Sonego, one more fight before the lights go out?
- 4 Tennis Prediction Fritz vs Sonego
- 5 First, a word on our picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images
Fritz vs Sonego: brace yourself for a long battle 
Taylor Fritz and Lorenzo Sonego know each other well. Very well, in fact. On Saturday, the pair meet for the 10th time in their careers, with the American holding a clear 7-2 edge in the head-to-head. But don’t get too carried away with the easy read. When these two get together, it is rarely a stroll.
On the Wimbledon grass, this one could easily go the distance again. Fritz comes in with the confidence of a man winning matches for fun, and he owns one of the hardest serves to read on tour. Sonego, meanwhile, is fresh off a huge five-set scrap with Gabriel Diallo. The legs may be heavy, but the Italian thrives in exactly this kind of fight, where every point has to be earned.
Fritz has hit top gear 
When Taylor Fritz is serving like this, his opponent’s options shrink fast. The American is averaging close to 18 aces a match and wins more than 80% of his service games. On grass, it is about as good a foundation as you can ask for.
His recent form has made it clear he is a serious threat at Wimbledon. Fritz has won eight of his last ten matches and was only beaten in the Halle final by Frances Tiafoe before heading to London. So far in this tournament, he has not left much room for doubt.
Patrick Kypson and Dusan Lajovic both had a go, but neither could knock the American off track. Fritz is landing 67% of his first serves and is taking two sets out of three on average. Once the serve is firing, he can take more chances from the back of the court and control rallies with his forehand.
It is not always that straightforward, though. Fritz can still drift through the odd patch where the level dips, especially when his opponent forces him to hit one more ball. And Sonego knows enough about his own tennis to target those small cracks.
The head-to-head still favours the American heavily, with seven wins in nine meetings. But the final score does not always tell the full story. The Italian has often stayed in the sets, hanging on to serve and dragging Fritz into tight finishes.
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Sonego, one more fight before the lights go out? 
With Lorenzo Sonego, calm matches are almost the exception. The Italian plays with heart, talks plenty, celebrates everything and never really looks beaten until the last ball has dropped. At Wimbledon, his run already fits him to a tee.
After beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry, Sonego then had to drag himself through a five-set marathon against Gabriel Diallo. That kind of effort takes a toll, especially before facing a player of Fritz’s level.
That is the big question ahead of this third-round clash. How much is left in the tank? The Italian has won only five of his last ten matches and his recent form has lacked consistency. But in one match, and even more so on grass, his serve keeps him dangerous.
Sonego also holds more than 80% of his service games. His first serve lands close to seven times out of 10 and often gets him through the rough patches without losing a set. Even against the best, he has the knack for hanging around until a tie-break, or pouncing on a sloppy return game.
Against Fritz, every opening matters. The American is unlikely to cough up many break points, so Sonego will need to make the most of whatever scraps come his way. But if he recovers properly from that second-round epic, his serve and experience should be enough to keep this one going well into the evening.
[bet365_cta]
Tennis Prediction Fritz vs Sonego
More than 3.5 sets in the match
Taylor Fritz is the clear favourite here. He is in better form, has more to lean on over the long haul and leads the head-to-head comfortably. But it would be a stretch to imagine Sonego leaving Wimbledon without nicking a set.
Both men hold more than 80% of their service games and know each other’s tennis inside out. In that sort of matchup, a set decided by a few points or a tie-break can very quickly fall the Italian’s way. Fritz should have the final say over the distance, especially with Sonego coming off a five-setter in the previous round, but the road to the last 16 could easily take at least four sets.
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