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F1 : Ferrari threatens Mercedes heading into the Austrian Grand Prix

Ferrari: the aero machine still waiting for an engine to match it

The Spanish Grand Prix confirmed a worrying trend for Ferrari’s rivals: the Scuderia now has the fastest car through the corners. Kimi Antonetti qualified just 0.064 seconds off George Russell’s pole time at Barcelona, one of the toughest tracks on the calendar. The SF-26 is right on the pace, even with a stubborn power deficit to Mercedes.

According to The Race analyst Mark Hughes, Ferrari built its design around a unique reading of the technical rules: the positioning of the differential has allowed extra bodywork volume behind the diffuser, improving airflow to the rear wing. The result? Ferrari turns in faster than anyone else on the grid. Lando Norris said it himself, bluntly enough: “If Ferrari had a better engine, they’d be dominant. If the engine improves, they’ll embarrass everyone.”

Engine upgrades in Austria could decide the title

And that’s the key point — a major power unit upgrade is reportedly due at the next Grand Prix in Austria, with a second step planned for Zandvoort or Monza, possibly including a stronger turbo. Ferrari is hoping to draw level with Mercedes on that front.

If that happens, the 41-point gap in the championship between Kimi Antonetti and Lewis Hamilton could soon be cut down. The constructors’ title would then be fought on equal terms between the two manufacturers.

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What it means for the F1 title odds

The sporting picture is turning into a bettor’s dream: if Ferrari matches Mercedes for engine performance in the coming races, Antonetti’s odds for the drivers’ title could tighten sharply against Lewis Hamilton’s. Keep a close eye on this before and after the Austrian Grand Prix to catch the best betting windows.

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    The MathODDS editorial team brings together passionate experts in sports, statistics, and sports betting.

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