- 1 Elche vs Real Betis: five home games without a win, and a visitor who never loses here
- 2 Elche: unbeaten in four away games, winless in five at home
- 3 Real Betis: fourth in La Liga, three days after a defeat in Dortmund
- 4 Free La Liga Prediction: Elche vs Real Betis
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Elche vs Real Betis: five home games without a win, and a visitor who never loses here 
Elche have never beaten Real Betis at home in La Liga since 1997/98. In that time the fixture has finished in three draws and two Betis wins, and Elche’s last home victory over Betis in any competition goes back to November 2009.
The two meet again at the Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero on Sunday 8 November, kick-off 13:00 UK time, in gameweek 12. Elche are 17th on 10 points, one clear of Valencia in 18th. Betis are fourth on 23, four points behind Real Madrid in third.
Elche’s home form is worse than that history. Five league games at the Martinez Valero this season have brought one draw, four defeats and 12 goals conceded. On the road, Martin Anselmi’s side are unbeaten in four, with a 3-1 win at Espanyol and a 3-0 win at Rayo Vallecano among them.
The recent head-to-head points the same way. Betis won 2-1 against Elche in the Copa del Rey on 14 January and 2-1 again in La Liga on 12 May. Elche have lost four of the last five meetings, and their last win in the fixture was a 1-0 away win in April 2022.
Betis do arrive with a short turnaround. Manuel Pellegrini’s side lost 2-1 in Dortmund on Wednesday night, and they’ll be without Cucho Hernandez and the suspended Facundo Bernal. Even so, after 11 games this is their best start to a La Liga season in 26 campaigns since 1997/98.
I’d take a tired Betis over this Elche side at home, and I’m not convinced the away form changes that.
Elche: unbeaten in four away games, winless in five at home 
Elche’s last outing was a 1-0 home defeat to Valencia on 1 November, against the side directly below them in the table. Before that they’d gone 0-0 at Villarreal, won 3-0 at Rayo and beaten Pinatar 3-1 in the Copa del Rey.
Anselmi, the former Porto coach who replaced Eder Sarabia in the summer, has a side that defends better away from home than at it. They kept clean sheets at Villarreal and Rayo, while the home record reads 12 conceded in five, an average of 2.4 a game.
That run of five home league games without a win is Elche’s second-longest at the start of a season across their seven La Liga campaigns since 1997/98. The only home point came in a 0-0 draw with Celta Vigo on 11 October.
Fer Nino carries the goals. He has six of Elche’s 14 in the league, and German Valera is next with two. Nino has been listed as doubtful in one team-news report but is named in the expected starting XI.
Marc Aguado (ankle) and Thomas Lemar (muscle) are both out. Gonzalo Villar and Yago Santiago have been cleared to play, and Pedro Bigas is expected back in the squad.
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Real Betis: fourth in La Liga, three days after a defeat in Dortmund 
Betis lost 2-1 at Signal Iduna Park on Wednesday 4 November. Fabio Silva put Dortmund ahead on 49 minutes, Aitor Ruibal equalised on 67 from an Abde Ezzalzouli pass, and Karetsas won it five minutes later.
That was their first Champions League defeat of the league phase. They’d beaten Lille 3-2, Porto 3-2 and Feyenoord 1-0 before travelling to Germany, and went into the night fifth in the table on nine points.
In La Liga they’re seven wins, two draws and two defeats from 11, with 18 scored and 15 conceded. Both defeats were by 5-2: at Levante on 29 August and at home to Barcelona on 17 October. Since the Levante loss they’re unbeaten in three away games, drawing 1-1 at Deportivo and 0-0 at Celta Vigo.
The absences are real. Cucho Hernandez has a calf injury and isn’t expected back until mid-to-late November, and Bernal is serving a ban for a straight red card that covers gameweeks 10 to 13. Junior Firpo and Alvaro Fidalgo are both uncertain, and Antony’s availability wasn’t confirmed at the time of writing.
Abde is Betis’ top league scorer with three in eight appearances. Isco and Riquelme have two each, while Troy Parrott, also on two, hasn’t scored since early September. Betis won their last league game 2-1 at home to Malaga on 31 October.
Probable lineup Elche: Dituro; Sangare, Chust, Redondo, Revivo; Villar, Morcillo; Cepeda, Buonanotte, Valera; Fer Nino
Probable lineup Real Betis: Valles; Bellerin, Bartra, Natan, F. Garcia; Roca, Fornals; Antony, Isco, Abde; Parrott
Free La Liga Prediction: Elche vs Real Betis
Our prediction: Real Betis to win (odds 2.05)
Elche’s home numbers decide this for me. Four defeats in five at the Martinez Valero, 12 goals conceded there, and no home league win over Betis in the seven top-flight seasons the clubs have shared since 1997/98.
The argument against Betis is the Wednesday trip to Dortmund and the missing Cucho and Bernal. Elche have also improved since the international break, with eight points from their four away games. That’s why the price is above 2.00 rather than closer to evens.
Betis have won five of six at home and taken six points from five on the road, but they’ve also beaten Elche in the last two meetings, both by 2-1. Abde, Isco and Fornals are expected to start, and against a defence leaking 2.4 a game at home, Betis to win at 2.05 is the pick.
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