- 1 Egypt vs Malawi: Salah one short of the record, and Ali Maher’s first competitive game
- 2 Egypt: five goals in Juba, none against Angola, and four strikers in the squad
- 3 Malawi: three goals in two games, and one of them an Angola own goal
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Egypt vs Malawi
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Egypt vs Malawi: Salah one short of the record, and Ali Maher’s first competitive game 
Mohamed Salah has 68 goals for Egypt, one short of Hossam Hassan’s national record of 69. Hassan won’t be on the touchline if Salah gets there on Friday: he was replaced as head coach by Ali Maher on 7 November, and the visit of Malawi is Maher’s first competitive game in charge.
Egypt host Malawi on Friday 13 November at the Cairo International Stadium, kick-off 19:00 UK time, on matchday three of Group B in qualifying for the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations. The return leg is at the Bingu National Stadium in Lilongwe on Tuesday 17 November.
Egypt lead the group on four points, with five goals scored and none conceded. Angola also have four, Malawi three and South Sudan none, and the top two qualify for the finals in Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda.
Maher’s camp opened on 9 November and Salah, now at Trabzonspor, joined it a day later. He started the goalless draw with Angola in September and was rested for the 5-0 win in Juba, where the game was played on an artificial pitch.
Malawi arrived in Cairo at the start of the week so the players could get used to the weather. They’ve beaten Egypt once in the last four meetings, 1-0 in a World Cup qualifier in June 2008, and lost the two most recent games 2-0 and 4-0 in March 2023.
Egypt went through the last AFCON qualifying campaign unbeaten, with four wins and two draws from six games. Malawi travel without seven regulars, and Pasuwa has said the early flight was about the climate as much as the opponent.
Egypt: five goals in Juba, none against Angola, and four strikers in the squad 
The two September qualifiers looked nothing alike. Mostafa Zico had a first-half goal ruled out for offside against Angola in Cairo and the game ended 0-0. Four days later Egypt scored five in South Sudan: Zico on 36 minutes, Omar Marmoush twice, Ibrahim Adel on 75 and Hamza Abdelkarim in stoppage time.
Marmoush’s brace ended a run without a goal for the Tottenham forward, who’d come on after 40 minutes against Angola. He’s one of four strikers in Maher’s 26, alongside Salah, Abdelkarim of Barcelona and Mahmoud Mamdouh of Modern Sport, the Egyptian league’s top scorer with eight goals and a first call-up.
Egypt’s only match since was a 1-0 friendly defeat to South Africa in Cairo on 4 October, Puso Dithejane scoring on his debut. Before that came a World Cup in which they beat Australia on penalties in the round of 32 and lost 3-2 to Argentina in the last 16.
Maher has recalled Mohamed El Shenawy, Mahmoud Hamdy, Mohamed Shehata, Nasser Maher and Mahmoud Marei, and Trezeguet is back from injury. Emam Ashour has been left out for technical reasons and Hamdy Fathy is injured.
Mohamed Abdelmonem missed the Juba game on Nice’s medical advice about artificial turf, and he’s available on grass in Cairo. Celtic’s Haissem Hassan, who started against Angola, and Ibrahim Adel of Nordsjaelland are also in the group.
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Malawi: three goals in two games, and one of them an Angola own goal 
Babatunde Adepoju scored after about 20 minutes against South Sudan in Lilongwe on 25 September. Stephen Dhata equalised just after half-time and Lloyd Njaliwa won it 2-1 on 64 minutes.
Angola were a different level on 6 October. Milson scored after five minutes and Mabululu headed a second on 40, and Malawi’s only reply was a Kialonda Gaspar own goal on the stroke of half-time before Miro’s header on 70 minutes made it 3-1 in Luanda.
Kalisto Pasuwa says seven regulars are missing. Three have been named: Maele Malango of Sacramento Republic is in the USL Championship play-offs, Denis Chembezi is injured and goalkeeper William Thole hasn’t played enough club football. Chembezi and Thole both started against Angola.
Lanjesi Nkhoma of TP Mazembe is back after missing three squads. Charles Petro of Botoșani and Mwisho Mhango of Hannover 96 are the two players based in Europe, and Petro was among four who were due to reach Cairo on 10 or 11 November.
Malawi are 131st in the FIFA ranking. Their June friendlies were two games against Ethiopia, a 1-0 defeat and a 1-1 draw, so they’ve won one of their last four matches.
Probable lineup Egypt: El Shenawy; Hany, Rabia, Abdelmonem, Fatouh; Attia, Lasheen, Trezeguet; Salah, Mamdouh, Marmoush
Probable lineup Malawi: Not announced at time of publication
Free Football Prediction: Egypt vs Malawi
Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.65)
We’re taking over 2.5 goals at 1.65. Egypt are around 1.10 to win, which offers no value, and the goals market pays a far better price on the same reading of the game.
The 0-0 with Angola is the warning, a home qualifier in which Egypt had a goal disallowed and didn’t score. Malawi have conceded four in two qualifiers, though, and the last two meetings between these sides produced six goals, all of them Egyptian.
Maher has four strikers to choose from and Salah back on a grass pitch, with the record there for the taking. We expect 3-0 to Egypt.
Every bookmaker price we’ve seen has Egypt between 1.07 and 1.12, with Malawi out at 18.00 to 27.00. The last four meetings between the sides averaged 2.5 goals a game, and the two in 2023 both cleared the line.
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