- 1 Dolphins vs Broncos: Brisbane derby has a new boss
- 2 The Dolphins are timing it right
- 3 The Broncos are in the mud
- 4 NRL Preview Dolphins vs Broncos
- 5 First, a word on our free picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes fast
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Dolphins vs Broncos: Brisbane derby has a new boss 
Ten defeats in their last 11 matches. The Broncos roll into this Brisbane derby completely off the rails.
The Dolphins, by contrast, are riding a two-game winning streak and sit fifth. The balance of power has clearly swung to the other side of the river.
This Battle of Brisbane kicks off Saturday’s action in round 23 at Suncorp Stadium. Finals are closing in, and one of these teams is playing for its season right here.
The Dolphins are timing it right 
Fifth place, back-to-back wins, and a squad brimming with belief. The Dolphins arrive in this derby with a real head of steam.
That spot in the top 8 is no fluke: this team breaks the line more often and keeps the ball alive when the defence digs in. That’s the sort of trait that matters when the season tightens up.
At home at Suncorp Stadium, they carry stronger runners and a sharper attack than their neighbours. The momentum is very real.
Thomas Flegler has stood out in recent weeks with a few tries to his name. A useful bruiser in the middle and a real threat close to the line.
The biggest edge, though, is mental freshness: less pressure, fewer doubts, more freedom in the way they play. Against Broncos still haunted by their results, that could be decisive.
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The Broncos are in the mud 
Fifteenth, a points difference deep in the red, and a season from hell. Brisbane barely recognises itself.
Ten losses in their last 11 outings is the sign of a side that has lost its way. At this point, that kind of spiral is hard to stop.
There is still derby pride, though, and the recent record helps: six of the last seven meetings have gone Brisbane’s way against the Dolphins. Pride can wake a team up for one night.
Selwyn Cobbo can still flip a game on his wing. A finisher worth watching for an outside break and a try.
But one player won’t hide the flaws in a team that’s falling apart. If they want to stay in the fight for 80 minutes, they’ll need a lot more than a moment of brilliance.
Even with the short trip, this comes at the worst possible time for a side running on empty. A full turnaround feels hard to see in this kind of form.
NRL Preview Dolphins vs Broncos
Dolphins to win with -7.5 handicap
A 7.5-point line looks reachable given the gap in form and Brisbane’s shaky defence.
The Dolphins have the tools to put points on the board. Chasing a top-four spot and the chance to bury a rival a little deeper should give them plenty of incentive, and they should show no mercy to the reigning champions.
Hard to back against the side with more energy and more certainty in its game in a derby where momentum counts twice.
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