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Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards NBA prediction

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards – Free NBA Prediction – Nov 09

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards: a 103.6 defensive rating and a home back-to-back NBA

Detroit’s defensive rating stands at 103.6, the best in the NBA through eight games. The Pistons allow 101.8 points a night, and before Philadelphia won 112-106 at Little Caesars Arena on Wednesday, they’d held four straight opponents under 95.

Washington visits on Monday 9 November at 7:00pm ET for the first meeting of the season. The Wizards are 4-4 and seventh in the East, two games behind a Detroit team that’s 6-2 and second.

The schedule pulls at both rosters. Detroit hosts the Lakers at 6:00pm ET on Sunday, which makes Monday the second night of a home back-to-back, while Washington plays in Atlanta on Friday and in Oklahoma City on Saturday before a single day off.

We’d weigh Detroit’s rest less heavily than usual because the Pistons get three idle days first, from Thursday through Saturday. They’ve also been better away from home, 4-1 on the road against 2-1 at Little Caesars Arena, though three home games is a thin sample.

Detroit won three of four meetings last season: 137-135 in overtime on 10 November, 130-117 on 17 March and 117-95 two nights later. Washington’s win came at Little Caesars Arena, 126-117 on 5 February. No line had been posted at the time of writing.

Detroit Pistons: first in defense, 18th in offense and waiting on Duren Detroit Pistons

J.B. Bickerstaff’s team has a net rating of plus-9.5, fifth in the league, and almost all of that comes from one end of the floor. The offense ranks 18th at 113.1 points per 100 possessions and scores 111.1 a game.

Cade Cunningham carries most of it, at 24.0 points and 7.6 assists. His best game came on 2 November in Charlotte, a 124-91 win in which he scored a season-high 33 on 13-of-20 shooting with seven assists and five steals.

Robinson is second on the team at 19.0 points, and he made six threes that night on his way to 24. Paul Reed gives Detroit 12.8 points and 6.8 rebounds, Thompson adds 9.9 points and 8.6 rebounds, and Collins and Jenkins fill the next tier at 9.4 and 9.3.

Duren has played two games. His hamstring has him listed out until at least 9 November, and his return would change the frontcourt minutes that Reed and Thompson have absorbed. Isaiah Joe (hip) is listed until at least 8 November.

The recent run before Wednesday was 97-89 over Charlotte, 110-94 in Brooklyn and that 33-point win in Charlotte. Those three opponents scored 89, 94 and 91, and Detroit’s only two defeats have come against New York, 111-97, and Philadelphia.

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Washington Wizards: Davis at 23.4 and the third game in four nights Washington Wizards

Atlanta scored 120 at Capital One Arena on Wednesday and won by 15, the latest swing in a team that’s alternated good nights with bad ones. The two games before that were a 95-79 win over Charlotte and a 103-94 win in Orlando.

Brian Keefe’s defense still rates 11th at 111.0, a long way from the 124.9 points a game this franchise allowed last season. The offense has gone the other way, ranked 21st at 110.9, and the net rating of minus-0.1 is 19th.

Anthony Davis leads at 23.4 points and 9.3 rebounds, and he was 12-of-17 from the field in Orlando for 29 points, eight rebounds and three steals. Trae Young averages 19.6 points and 9.5 assists, and Paul George adds 17.3.

AJ Dybantsa missed the opening stretch with an ankle injury and has played four games, averaging 16.5. He scored 19 on debut in Cleveland, 17 against Charlotte and 21 in Orlando, and Tre Johnson (8.4) and Coulibaly (7.9) sit behind him in the scoring order.

The injury list runs long at the back end of the roster. Justin Champagnie had foot surgery and is listed until at least 25 February, Beekman (shoulder) until at least 3 December, Watkins (knee) until at least 2 April and Vukcevic (hip) until at least 9 November. Sarr sat on 2 November with a knee problem and came back two nights later.

Probable lineup Detroit Pistons: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Washington Wizards: Not announced at time of publication

Free NBA Prediction: Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards

Our prediction: Detroit Pistons to win

We’re siding with the best defense in the league against an offense ranked 21st. Washington scored 103 and 95 in its two most recent wins, and it’ll arrive after playing Friday in Atlanta and Saturday in Oklahoma City, while Detroit’s only game in five days is the one on Sunday.

The back-to-back is the honest case against this pick, and Washington won here 126-117 in February. Davis and Young are also capable of 50 points between them on any night. We still rate Detroit’s two-way net rating, nearly 10 points better than Washington’s, as the larger factor.

Duren’s status matters to the size of the win more than to the pick itself. If the moneyline comes in under our 1.45 floor, we’d take Detroit on the spread once a number is posted.

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