- 1 Crewe Alexandra vs Wigan Athletic: Crewe need a point, Wigan need nothing
- 2 Crewe Alexandra: top four in League Two and a point from the knockout rounds
- 3 Wigan Athletic: through already, and in the League One relegation zone
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Crewe Alexandra vs Wigan Athletic
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Crewe Alexandra vs Wigan Athletic: Crewe need a point, Wigan need nothing
Wigan Athletic hadn’t won an away game all season until Saturday. The first one came at Boreham Wood, 3-0 in the FA Cup, against a side from the National League.
That’s the record they take to Gresty Road on Tuesday 10 November, kick-off 19:00 UK time, for the last round of Northern Group B in the EFL Trophy. Wigan top the group on six points from two games and are already through. Crewe have four points and need at least a draw to be sure of joining them, after Blackpool finished their fixtures on five.
Crewe are playing for a place in the knockout rounds for the third season running. Wigan are playing for top spot and very little else, and this is their second cup tie in four days.
The Trophy itself has been loud for both. Crewe beat Aston Villa Under-21s 4-1 and drew 2-2 with Blackpool before losing the shootout 4-2. Wigan beat both of those opponents 3-2, which makes 19 goals across the four group games involving these two sides.
The last competitive meeting was in League One in March 2022, a 2-0 Wigan win at Crewe. Wigan have won five of the last eight between the clubs. I don’t think that history counts for much on a night when one side has something on it and the other has a League One relegation fight to worry about.
Crewe Alexandra: top four in League Two and a point from the knockout rounds 
Lee Bell marked four years in charge last week, and his side are in the League Two top four after 14 games. Five wins, seven draws and two defeats have given them 22 points.
Crewe lost 2-0 at Exeter City on 20 October and then 5-1 at Chesterfield four days later. A 1-1 home draw with Barnet followed, and leaders Salford City have used that wobble to go nine points clear.
Crewe beat AFC Wimbledon 2-1 in the FA Cup, a League Two side seeing off League One opposition. It came three days before this game, and it says more about Crewe’s current level than the League Two table does.
Bell is expected to make several changes after Saturday. James Jones has come back to the club on a short-term deal until the New Year and was an unused substitute on Saturday, so he could start. Jack Lankester, who scored twice against Villa’s Under-21s, hasn’t played since the second group game more than a month ago and is expected to miss out again.
Last season ended badly for Crewe, who lost three and drew one of their final four matches and finished 11 points short of seventh. A run in this competition isn’t a promotion push, but it keeps a squad that has gone off the boil in October playing games that mean something.
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Wigan Athletic: through already, and in the League One relegation zone 
Gary Caldwell’s side have three wins, two draws and nine defeats from 14 League One games. No team in the division has lost more.
The last week has been their best of the season. Wigan beat Bromley 3-2 at home, drew 0-0 with Mansfield Town and then won at Boreham Wood, where Jon Mellish scored early and defender Morgan Fox added two. Before Bromley, though, they’d lost 2-1 at Huddersfield and 3-0 at Leicester.
Wigan are without two forwards. Scott Hogan was forced off in the first half against Mansfield and sat out Saturday, and Dara Costelloe has a groin injury expected to keep him out for around four weeks. James Carragher should stay in the middle of a back three with Finley Burns and Fox.
The Trophy record is perfect: two 3-2 wins, six points and a place in the next round sealed with a game to spare. Last season Wigan finished bottom of Northern Group A, so this is already an improvement, and it’s been done while the league position got worse.
The league is where Wigan’s season will be decided, and this is their second cup tie in four days. With qualification done, I’d expect a heavily changed eleven at Gresty Road.
Probable lineup Crewe Alexandra: Booth; Dancey, Offord, Graves, Ure; Moore, White; Ewusi, Thibaut, Gibson; McNeill
Probable lineup Wigan Athletic: Walsh; Burns, Carragher, Fox; Barrett, Weir, Power, A. Harris; Burrowes, Saydee, Mellish
Free Football Prediction: Crewe Alexandra vs Wigan Athletic
Our prediction: Crewe Alexandra to win at 2.14
Crewe are at home, they need the result and they won a cup tie against League One opposition on Saturday, 2-1 against AFC Wimbledon. Wigan have qualified, haven’t won a League One away game all season and sit in the relegation zone with Hogan and Costelloe both out.
Wigan beat both Villa’s Under-21s and Blackpool in this group, they’re a division higher and they’ve just put together three games without defeat. Their 3-2 wins also show they’ll score against anyone, and Crewe conceded five at Chesterfield last month.
I still back the hosts. Crewe have scored six goals in two group games and a draw would send them through, but the value sits in the outright win at 2.14, against a visiting side whose manager has a relegation fight to prioritise.
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