- 1 Como vs Roma: the unbeaten leaders visit a side that doesn’t do quiet afternoons
- 2 Como: both teams have scored in four of their five league games
- 3 Roma: unbeaten, top of the table and one win from Gasperini’s 300th
- 4 Free Serie A Prediction: Como vs Roma
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Como vs Roma: the unbeaten leaders visit a side that doesn’t do quiet afternoons 
Fourteen scored, three conceded, five games unbeaten. Roma haven’t started a Serie A season like this since 2014-15, and they head to the Sinigaglia on Sunday sitting top of the table.
Only goal difference keeps them above the champions. Inter have scored once more, 15 to Roma’s 14, and only Cagliari have let in fewer than Roma’s three. Four wins and a draw from five. That’s a title-challenger’s record, whatever Gian Piero Gasperini says in public.
Como aren’t here to make up the numbers. Cesc Fabregas’ side have lost just once in five league games, with three wins and a draw, and they sit eighth with nine goals scored and six conceded. Kick-off at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia is at 12:30 Paris time on Sunday 11 October.
The market can’t split them. Como are 2.69, Roma are 2.69, and the draw is 3.70. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.68, and that number tells you what the bookmakers expect from two sides who like the ball going forward.
Recent meetings back that up. The last four between these clubs produced nine goals and not a single draw, two wins apiece. Como won 2-1 at this ground in March. Roma won 1-0 in the capital in December.
So who blinks first? History says somebody will. Neither side has played out a stalemate with the other in the last four attempts, and neither looks built for one now.
Como: both teams have scored in four of their five league games 
Four from five. That’s how many of Como’s league games this season have seen both sides score, and it’s a fair picture of how Fabregas wants to play: front foot, numbers committed, risks accepted.
Their last ten matches across all competitions brought six wins, two draws and two defeats, at an average of 1.9 goals scored per game. For a club that only returned to Serie A in 2024, that’s serious attacking output. Not a fluke, either.
The one league defeat came in the last game before the international break. One bad afternoon doesn’t change the overall picture, and Fabregas has had two weeks to fix whatever went wrong.
Even Gasperini’s impressed. He said over the break that Como can fight up there with the rest, and joked that while Fabregas uses Subbuteo to explain attacking with depth, he needs it to work out how to stop him. Respect from a coach who’s seen most things.
Home comforts matter here. Roma have lost on both of their last two visits to the Sinigaglia: 2-0 in December 2024, then 2-1 in March. The ground is compact and the crowd sits right on top of the pitch.
Jean Butez, called up by France for the first time in September at 31, gives them a reliable last line. He’ll need to be. Six conceded in five isn’t leaky, but it’s double Roma’s figure.
Against the league’s second-best attack, the margin for error shrinks. Fabregas can ill afford a slow start.
no renewal
Free for 2 weeks.
Roma: unbeaten, top of the table and one win from Gasperini’s 300th 
Gasperini has 299 Serie A wins as a manager. One more and he joins Giovanni Trapattoni, Massimiliano Allegri, Luciano Spalletti and Nereo Rocco as the only coaches to reach 300 in the competition.
He’s earned it the hard way in Rome. He arrived as a former rival, met plenty of scepticism, and has turned a group that finished last season well into the most complete side in the league so far. The players bought in from the very first session, by his own account.
The draw is the one blemish, and it’s an instructive one. Roma led Inter 2-0 at the Olimpico and let the champions back in for 2-2. Quality to go two up against anyone, and a lapse that a sharper Como side could exploit.
Elsewhere, the defence has been outstanding. Three conceded in five, joint second-best in the division. The attack’s averaged 2.2 goals per game across the last ten in all competitions.
Gasperini’s message for the restart was simple: start where we left off. His squad played no friendlies during the window, which kept the training work continuous but leaves a small question mark over match sharpness.
And there’s a big night on the horizon. Real Madrid, now coached by Jose Mourinho, visit the Olimpico in the Champions League next week. Roma can’t afford to look past Como, but that fixture won’t be far from anyone’s mind.
Probable lineup Como: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Roma: Not announced at time of publication
Free Serie A Prediction: Como vs Roma
Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals at 1.68
Goals. Como have seen both teams score in four of their five league games. Roma have the second-best attack in Serie A and average 2.2 goals a game over their last ten. The last four meetings between these two produced nine goals and zero draws.
Picking a winner at 2.69 either way is close to a coin toss, and we’re not interested in guessing. The Over at 1.68 backs what both sides do best without asking us to call the result.
The risk is Roma’s defence, which has conceded only three all season. But Como score at home, Roma have shown against Inter that they can be opened up, and neither coach knows how to play for a point. Over 2.5 goals.
in your pocket.
Real-time notifications & alerts
_________
About our free predictions
- What we publish on MathOdds are analyses, nothing more. We share a view, a reading of the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport remains what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a last-minute goal, and the script changes completely.
- Let’s be clear: there’s no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when it looks “obvious”, nothing ever is. And yes, that means you can lose. It’s even inevitable at some point.
- The smartest approach is to stay reasonable. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Never use money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase your losses, that rarely ends well.
- A bet should remain a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts taking up too much space in your daily life, causes stress or frustration, take a break. And if needed, talk to a support organisation: that’s what they’re there for.
- Ultimately, responsibility lies with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never disappear, no matter how good the analysis.
- Essential reminder: gambling is prohibited for minors and must comply with the laws of your country. Need help? Visit begambleaware.org.
No commitment from us
Our predictions carry no contractual value. They have no legal standing. In short: you can’t rely on them to claim anything if a bet doesn’t come through.
Information changes
A prediction is always based on what we know at the time of writing. But between publication and kick-off, a lineup can change, a player picks up an injury, the weather turns, and the analysis can quickly be outdated. We can’t be held responsible for that.
Your responsibility
Before placing a bet, simply check that gambling is legal in your country. If it isn’t, that’s your responsibility, not ours.
Responsible gambling
We can’t say it enough: gamble responsibly. If you’re struggling to stay in control, don’t wait to seek help.
Legal age
MathOdds content is intended for adults only. By browsing here, you confirm you meet the legal age requirement for gambling in your jurisdiction.
About visuals
The images and logos of Como and Roma on MathOdds are used solely to illustrate our articles. They don’t imply any official affiliation with a federation or sports organisation, and we claim no rights over them. Those rights belong to their original owners. If any visual raises a concern, contact us and it will be removed without delay.
Leave a Reply