- 1 Los Angeles Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder: five straight Thunder wins in this matchup, and Shai keeps scoring
- 2 Los Angeles Clippers: two wins in nine games and Ingram still waiting to debut
- 3 Oklahoma City Thunder: 8-2 without Jalen Williams, Holmgren or Wallace
- 4 Free NBA Prediction: Los Angeles Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Los Angeles Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder: five straight Thunder wins in this matchup, and Shai keeps scoring 
Oklahoma City has won the last five meetings with the Clippers. Three of those wins came last season, 126-107 in Los Angeles on November 4, 122-101 at home on December 18 and 128-110 back in LA on April 8. The most recent came on October 25 this season, a 108-101 home win in which Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34.
That October game was the closest of the last four, and it came at a price. Jalen Williams left it with a broken fibula and a dislocated ankle, and he’s since had surgery. Cason Wallace needed shoulder surgery for a labral tear. Chet Holmgren is out 8 to 10 weeks from October 31 with a patellar tendon tear. That’s three rotation players gone, and Oklahoma City is still 8-2.
The Thunder sit top of the Northwest Division on a four-game winning streak. They won 117-112 in Cleveland on November 2, beat the Cavaliers again 124-116 at home two nights later, won 128-97 in Memphis on November 6 and then held Washington to 75 points on November 7 in a 114-75 rout.
The Clippers are 2-7. They lost seven in a row before beating New Orleans 139-123 on Sunday, and they still haven’t won on the road in four tries. Friday’s game is at Intuit Dome, the one building where they’ve managed anything.
Tip-off is Friday 13 November at 10:30pm ET in Inglewood, and it counts toward the NBA Cup group standings. Oklahoma City arrives off a back-to-back in Portland on Tuesday and Wednesday, with one day off before this one. The Clippers play in Phoenix on Tuesday and then get two full days at home.
Rest is the only thing that tilts toward Los Angeles here. I don’t think it’s close to enough.
Los Angeles Clippers: two wins in nine games and Ingram still waiting to debut 
Sunday’s 139-123 win over New Orleans was the Clippers’ highest-scoring game of the season, and it ended a seven-game skid. Darius Garland had 24 points and 10 assists. Brook Lopez added 20, and Gradey Dick, Keaton Wagler, Rui Hachimura and Baba Miller all reached double figures.
Garland is the one constant. He’s averaging 20.9 points and 6.6 assists, and he’s carried the offense since the summer reshuffle that sent Kawhi Leonard to Toronto. That trade, agreed on June 30 and finalized on September 14, brought back Brandon Ingram, Gradey Dick and draft picks.
Ingram hasn’t played a game for the Clippers yet. He’s recovering from heel surgery and the team describes him as close to a debut. If he plays on Friday, it’ll be his first minutes of the season against a defense that has held opponents to 104.2 points a game.
The losing run before Sunday wasn’t all blowouts. The Clippers lost 117-116 in overtime to Miami on November 4 and 125-118 to Toronto on November 2. Before that they went down 127-101 in Minnesota and 124-112 in Golden State. Through November 7 they were scoring 109.1 points a game and allowing 115.6.
Tyronn Lue also has Bradley Beal, signed on August 13, and Max Strus, acquired on August 20. Isaiah Jackson missed Sunday with a groin injury. The pieces are there to score. In the four losses listed above, the defense gave up 117 or more every time.
no renewal
Free for 2 weeks.
Oklahoma City Thunder: 8-2 without Jalen Williams, Holmgren or Wallace 
Gilgeous-Alexander scored 30 points in three quarters against Washington on Saturday and sat the fourth. That’s how most of this winning streak has looked. Oklahoma City scores 112.2 and allows 104.2 per game, a margin of eight points a night with half the usual rotation in street clothes.
Mark Daigneault has found minutes elsewhere. Jared McCain scored 19 against the Wizards, and rookie Aday Mara added 18 points and eight rebounds. In the October win over the Clippers, Ajay Mitchell came off the bench for 18 and Isaiah Hartenstein had 12 points and 12 rebounds. Alex Caruso played in that one too.
Hartenstein re-signed on July 6, the same day Kenrich Williams did. Luguentz Dort was traded on July 19. The roster around Gilgeous-Alexander has changed more than people assume, and the results haven’t.
The two losses came back to back on the road, 120-96 in Dallas on October 28 and 119-98 in Houston on October 31. The Thunder are 3-2 away from Paycom Center. Jaylin Williams and Thomas Sorber were listed out on Saturday as well.
The schedule is the honest concern. Two games in Portland on Tuesday and Wednesday, a flight to Los Angeles and a 10:30pm ET tip. Oklahoma City then has Saturday off before Sacramento on Sunday, so there’s no reason to rest Gilgeous-Alexander here.
Probable lineup Los Angeles Clippers: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Oklahoma City Thunder: Not announced at time of publication
Free NBA Prediction: Los Angeles Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Our prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder to win by 10 or more points
The Thunder have won the last five meetings and the three last season by 18 or more. The only close one came on October 25, when they lost Jalen Williams during the game and still won by seven. Their point margin this season is +8.0, the Clippers’ was -6.5 before Sunday, and that gap is wider than anything rest can close.
I’d take Oklahoma City to win by double figures rather than the moneyline, which closed at 1.07 in the October meeting and won’t pay anything worth backing. No line is posted yet for Friday, so check the handicap price is at 1.45 or above before betting. If the handicap opens above 12 points, I’d pass.
The risk is Ingram. A first appearance for him adds a second scorer next to Garland, and a Clippers team with two days of rest at home can keep this tight for a half. Oklahoma City’s defense has held four of its last seven opponents to 112 or fewer, and Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34 against the Clippers and 30 against Washington. I’m backing the Thunder to pull away after halftime.
in your pocket.
Real-time notifications & alerts
_________
About our free predictions
- What we publish on MathOdds are analyses, nothing more. We share a view, a reading of the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport remains what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a last-minute goal, and the script changes completely.
- Let’s be clear: there is no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when it looks “obvious”, nothing ever is. And yes, that means you can lose. It’s even inevitable at some point.
- The smartest approach is to stay reasonable. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Never use money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase your losses: that rarely ends well.
- A bet should remain a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts taking up too much space in your daily life, causes stress or frustration, take a break. And if needed, talk to a support organisation: that’s what they’re there for.
- Ultimately, responsibility lies with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never disappear, no matter how good the analysis.
- Essential reminder: gambling is prohibited for minors and must comply with the laws of your country. Need help? Visit begambleaware.org.
No commitment from us
Our predictions carry no contractual value. They have no legal standing. In short: you cannot rely on them to claim anything if a bet doesn’t come through.
Information changes
A prediction is always based on what we know at the time of writing. But between publication and kick-off, a lineup can change, a player picks up an injury, the weather turns, and the analysis can quickly be outdated. We cannot be held responsible for that.
Your responsibility
Before placing a bet, simply check that gambling is legal in your country. If it isn’t, that’s your responsibility, not ours.
Responsible gambling
We can’t say it enough: gamble responsibly. If you’re struggling to stay in control, don’t wait to seek help.
Legal age
MathOdds content is intended for adults only. By browsing here, you confirm you meet the legal age requirement for gambling in your jurisdiction.
About visuals
The images and logos of Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder on MathOdds are used solely to illustrate our articles. They do not imply any official affiliation with a federation or sports organisation, and we claim no rights over them. Those rights belong to their original owners. If any visual raises a concern, contact us and it will be removed without delay.
Leave a Reply