Cincinnati Reds – Atlanta Braves: a heavyweight clash in Ohio 
The Atlanta Braves arrive with the best overall record and a ruthless away mark. This one will hinge largely on whether the home pitchers can stand up to one of the most explosive lineups in the league. Cincinnati have looked a bit sharper at the end of May, but the Braves still look like the far more complete side right now.
Cincinnati’s flaws at the plate 
The hosts are hanging around at .500 and remain dangerous at home, but the overall level has been too inconsistent. Giving up almost five runs a game is a nasty habit when the Braves are in the other dugout. This group leans on speed, aggression on the bases and the power of Elly De La Cruz, but it still lacks enough regular production at the plate. After a rough spell in May, Cincinnati have steadied things by winning five of their last seven, though backing that up against Atlanta is a different ask altogether.
The Georgia side keeps coming 
At 38 wins and 19 losses, the Braves have a clear edge, especially on the road. The league leaders are dominant in hits and runs batted in, as they showed in a recent 10-2 win in Boston. Ronald Acuna Jr. crushed a grand slam in that one, while Michael Harris II and Ozzie Albies also went deep. Atlanta have plenty of ways to wear down opposing pitchers, whether by working counts or stacking up hard contact. Against that sort of firepower, the Ohio staff will struggle to breathe, and the Braves punish every mistake.
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MLB Pick Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves
Atlanta to win
Cincinnati can still set the tone at home, but Atlanta hold the edge in both numbers and quality. The division leaders look sharper, deeper and far more dangerous at the plate. Chris Paddack has not looked especially reliable on the mound lately, and against Atlanta any pitch left over the middle is likely to get slapped hard. The visitors keep the pressure on by putting runners on base again and again rather than waiting for one big inning. Given the depth and the offence on offer, backing the Braves is the sensible call here.
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