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Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets NBA prediction

Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets – Free NBA Prediction – Nov 04

Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets: 89, 79, 104 and 91 points in four straight losses NBA

Charlotte has scored 89, 79, 104 and 91 points in its last four games and lost all of them, and that slide is the context for Wednesday 4 November, when the Hornets visit Barclays Center with tip-off at 7:30pm ET. The latest defeat came at home on Monday, a 124-91 loss to Detroit that was already 65-54 at halftime.

Brooklyn isn’t arriving in much better shape, because the Nets are 1-6 and lost 103-90 at Madison Square Garden the same night. They’ve played three home games and lost all three. Their only win came on the road, 98-90 in Indianapolis on Sunday.

These teams opened their seasons against each other on 21 October in Brooklyn. Charlotte won 110-103 even though Julius Randle put up 33 points, eight rebounds and seven assists for the Nets, while Grayson Allen’s 21 led the visitors.

Injuries have reshaped both rotations since that night. Charlotte lists Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams as out with hamstring injuries, with 9 November the estimated return for each, and Brooklyn is without Egor Demin and Tyler Bilodeau, who are expected back around 6 or 7 November.

The schedule doesn’t favor anyone. Both teams played on Monday, both get Tuesday off, and both have a game later in the week, Charlotte against Boston on Friday and Brooklyn in Atlanta on Saturday. That leaves the scoring gap as the main variable: Brooklyn averages 105.6 points a game and Charlotte 97.4, and I think those 8.2 points settle this one.

Brooklyn Nets: winless at home, but scoring 105.6 a night behind Randle and Porter Jr. Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn’s 1-6 record hides how close some of those defeats were. The Nets lost 125-121 in Cleveland and 125-124 in overtime in Boston, and in both games they were still in contention in the final minutes, which is hard to square with a team that’s supposedly out of ideas.

The home record is uglier. Charlotte won by seven at Barclays Center, Indiana won 136-109 four days later, and Detroit won 110-94 on 30 October. The Nets allow 114.1 points a game, and that number has been pushed up by the Pacers night more than by any sustained collapse.

Porter Jr. has given them a second scorer behind Randle. He led the Nets with 28 points in Cleveland, 27 with 12 rebounds in Boston and 23 in Indianapolis, which means he’s been the top scorer in three of their seven games, and all three of those came away from Brooklyn.

Randle has led the team in scoring in two others, including 21 points and 11 rebounds against the Knicks on Monday. He has also been the main creator, with seven assists against Charlotte, seven against Indiana and six in the win over the Pacers.

Sunday’s win in Indianapolis came from the defense. Brooklyn held the Pacers to 90 points and Day’Ron Sharpe took 13 rebounds. Demin’s absence does thin the guard rotation, since he led the Nets with six assists in Cleveland, and Nolan Traore and Mikel Brown Jr. have had to share that load.

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Charlotte Hornets: four straight losses and no Knueppel for an offense stuck at 97.4 points Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte’s start was better than this slide suggests. Brandon Miller scored 34 against Miami on 24 October and a career-high 39 against Washington two nights later, and the Hornets were 3-1 after beating the Wizards on 26 October.

Everything since has gone the wrong way. They led Detroit by seven at halftime on 28 October and lost 97-89, then shot 29.7% in a 95-79 loss in Washington, making 12 of 56 threes. Philadelphia beat them 109-104 on 31 October, and Monday’s 33-point home defeat is the worst of the run so far.

The Philadelphia game shows what happens when the shots fall and the possessions don’t. Charlotte hit 50% from the field and 36% from three that night, yet committed 18 turnovers and lost anyway. Allen scored 27 on 12 shots in that defeat.

Miller came into Monday averaging 24.4 points, with Naz Reid at 15.9, Allen at 15.4 and Dennis Schroder at 11.7 with 5.6 assists. Moussa Diabate has averaged 9.4 points and 9.6 rebounds. Knueppel’s absence takes away another shooter from a team hitting under 30% from three through its first seven games.

The defense has been the better half of this roster, allowing 108.6 a game, although that figure took a hit from the 128-81 loss to Atlanta on 23 October and the 124 Detroit scored on Monday. Charlotte has won once in three road games, and that win was in this building.

Probable lineup Brooklyn Nets: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Charlotte Hornets: Not announced at time of publication

Free NBA Prediction: Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets

Our prediction: Brooklyn Nets to win (moneyline)

Charlotte won the first meeting, and the Nets’ 0-3 home record goes against this pick. I still side with Brooklyn because the gap between the two offenses has only grown since 21 October: the Hornets have been held to 91 or fewer in three of their last four games, and Knueppel and Williams won’t be there to help.

Brooklyn doesn’t need much to beat that output. The Nets have reached 94 or more in six of seven games, Randle and Porter Jr. give them two players who can create a shot late in the clock, and Sunday’s 90-point performance against Indiana shows this defense can hold a short-handed team down.

No line had settled for this game at the time of writing, so we aren’t quoting a price here. Check the moneyline before placing anything, and we’d only take it at 1.45 or higher.

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Author

  • Louis Boulben

    Ex-NCAA D1 Athlete with a background in B2B/D2C technology, enterprise business development, finance, and management. Currently leading growth and strategy at MathODDS, expanding into broader European and US markets.


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