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Bath vs Sale Sharks free Premiership Rugby prediction 31/10/2026

Bath vs Sale Sharks – Free Rugby Prediction

Bath vs Sale Sharks: six straight wins over Sale, 94 points conceded in two league games Premiership Rugby

Bath conceded 71 points at Franklin’s Gardens and then scored five at Kingsholm. The 71-48 defeat to Northampton and last Friday’s 23-5 loss to Gloucester have left Johann van Graan’s side sixth in the Premiership with 11 points after four rounds.

Sale Sharks visit the Recreation Ground on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 15:05 UK time, two points behind them in seventh. They lost 17-3 at Newcastle Red Bulls last weekend, and George Ford kicked every one of their points.

The fixture’s history sits with Bath. Sale have lost the last six meetings, Bath have won the last four at home, including 28-16 at the Rec last season, and across 41 games Bath lead 23 wins to 16, with two draws.

The prices reflect that. Bath are 1.16 to win, and the handicap has settled at 13.5 points.

Bath’s injury list keeps this from being a formality. Santi Carreras left the Gloucester game unable to put weight on his knee, and Guy Pepper withdrew with an ankle injury the same night.

Bath: 40 points against Exeter at the Rec, five at Kingsholm, and a growing injury list Bath Rugby

Bath opened with two wins. They won 33-17 at Harlequins and beat Exeter 40-34 at the Rec, their only home league game so far.

Then came the 71-48 defeat at Northampton and last Friday’s trip to Gloucester. At Kingsholm, George Barton kicked three first-half penalties, Gloucester went in 9-5 up, and Bath didn’t score again.

Head of medical services Rory Murray confirmed the Carreras knee injury is serious, though no diagnosis or return date has been given. Pepper’s ankle also rules him out of England’s Nations Championship squad.

Sam Underhill is out until early December after bicep surgery. Dan du Preez pulled a hamstring in training and won’t play on Saturday, and Jamie Bhatti is working towards a New Year return from a fractured forearm.

Will Muir, Henry Arundell and Tom de Glanville have all resumed team training. Thompson Cowan and Billy Sela are expected back in the coming weeks.

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Sale Sharks: Ford scored all three points at Newcastle, and the attack has stalled Sale Sharks

Sale lost 17-3 at Newcastle Red Bulls last weekend, the Red Bulls’ first win of the season. Ford’s penalty was the only score Sale managed in 80 minutes.

Their two league wins came 28-24 at home to Harlequins and 21-17 at Saracens. Their two defeats were the Newcastle game and a 34-24 home loss to Bristol.

Tom Curry withdrew from the Harlequins game on 11 October through illness. The England flanker had spent the summer recovering from hip surgery and returned to pre-season seven weeks behind his team-mates.

Ford’s kicking game is how Sale travel. Their two away matches have produced 20 and 38 points in total. Bath’s four league games have averaged 67.75 points.

Against Bath the recent record is six defeats in a row. Bath have also won the last four meetings at the Rec, including last season’s 28-16.

Probable lineup Bath: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Sale Sharks: Not announced at time of publication

Free Rugby Prediction: Bath vs Sale Sharks

Our prediction: Bath -13.5 handicap

Sale scored three points at Newcastle and have lost six straight to Bath. Bath, even short of Carreras, Pepper, Underhill and du Preez, put 40 on Exeter in their only home league game, and Bath have won the last four meetings at the Rec.

I’ll concede the obvious: Bath have lost their last two league games and conceded 94 points doing it. If Sale’s kicking game drags this into a slow, territorial match, the margin gets harder to reach.

I still don’t see Sale scoring enough to stay inside two converted tries. Bath -13.5 is available at 1.72, and that’s the pick.

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  • Photo Pierre Boulben - Editor in chief - Sports

    Former journalist for French newspaper L’équipe and ESPN, I have been the News Editor for MathOdds for the past two years. Mainly in charge of the news and previews coverage as well as our data powered sports trends and cheat-sheets.


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