Baltimore – Toronto: Back home, the Orioles should bounce back 
Baltimore were left frustrated after the opener, matching Toronto for hits and going right to the wire, only to come up short. The Canadian side nicked a 2-1 win, but once again struggled to cash in when it mattered most at the plate. For the second meeting, the pick leans on Baltimore answering back at home, plus the uncertainty around the visitors’ starting pitcher.
Baltimore aim to tap into their offensive punch 
Baltimore are still below .500, but they look far more comfortable in their own park than on the road. The lineup has real pop at the top end: Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman, Pete Alonso and Coby Mayo give the home side plenty of firepower. Yesterday, Baltimore collected eight hits and still couldn’t turn them into runs, with Mayo’s solo homer their only damage on the scoreboard. That kind of outing often sets up a sharp offensive response the next day.
Toronto carrying some internal issues 
The visitors have clearly found some form, rattling off three straight wins and taking seven of their last nine, but the offence remains streaky. They have scored just two runs in each of their last two victories. Add in a few roster concerns, including questions in the rotation and a growing injury list, and it’s not hard to see why Toronto could be scrambling for relief help early if their starter is still not confirmed.
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MLB Pick Baltimore vs Toronto
Baltimore to win
The Canadians are in the better run of form, but there are still good reasons to expect a response from Baltimore here. The home side tend to be much more productive at Camden Yards, and although they came up short yesterday, they created enough traffic to suggest the scoreline could have been a lot uglier for Toronto. In the end, it hinged on one play in the eighth.
Recent numbers for Rogers make him a risky call, but with the visitors yet to name a starter, the edge on the mound is far from clear. Factor in home-field advantage and the higher attacking ceiling, and backing Baltimore to punch back looks the sensible play. Our pick is a home win.
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