- 1 Arsenal vs Everton: seven league meetings without an Everton win, and Saliba still missing
- 2 Arsenal: five goals conceded in seven league games, even without Saliba
- 3 Everton: four draws in seven, and blank in two of their last five
- 4 Free Premier League Prediction: Arsenal vs Everton
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
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Arsenal vs Everton: seven league meetings without an Everton win, and Saliba still missing 
Everton last beat Arsenal on 4 February 2023, a 1-0 at Goodison Park. Arsenal have gone seven Premier League meetings unbeaten since then, and the two most recent both ended with Everton failing to score: 1-0 to Arsenal on 20 December 2025, then 2-0 at the Emirates on 14 March 2026.
Saturday’s game at the Emirates kicks off at 15:00 UK time, and the table explains why Arsenal can’t treat it lightly. They’re second on 18 points from seven games, six wins and one defeat, three points behind a Manchester City side that has won all seven.
Everton come in on 10 points, level with Brentford and Leeds, from two wins, four draws and one defeat. Eight goals scored and seven conceded describes a side that’s awkward to beat but rarely beats anyone, and their last game, a 2-0 home defeat to Chelsea on 17 October, didn’t change that picture.
Arsenal’s own figures point in the same direction at the other end. They’ve conceded five league goals and kept four clean sheets, and the one heavy afternoon was a 3-0 defeat at Brighton on 19 September. Since then they’ve beaten Leeds 2-1 and Nottingham Forest 1-0, which isn’t flamboyant but is the kind of run that keeps a side in a title race.
The complication is the calendar and the treatment room. Arsenal played Bayern Munich in the Champions League on Wednesday night, three days before this, and William Saliba is still out. I’d still expect the game to turn on how little Everton create, and that’s where our pick comes from.
Arsenal: five goals conceded in seven league games, even without Saliba 
Saliba is missing with a lower back problem and Christos Tzolis with a thigh injury. Piero Hincapié has an ankle issue and is either ruled out or a serious doubt depending on the report, while Martín Zubimendi is also a doubt with an ankle problem.
The expected answer at centre-back is Ezri Konsa next to Gabriel, with Ben White and Riccardo Calafiori at full-back. Four clean sheets in seven league games is the record that back line has to protect, and it’s the reason the defence is the more dependable half of this side.
The attack has been steadier than spectacular. Eleven league goals in seven games is a modest return for a team second in the table, and Bukayo Saka leads the way with three, from 17 shots with 10 on target. Kai Havertz has two, and Noni Madueke settled the Forest game with the only goal.
If Zubimendi doesn’t make it, Declan Rice and Myles Lewis-Skelly are the likely pairing in midfield, with Madueke, Martin Ødegaard and Saka behind Havertz. Saka’s 10 shots on target from 17 attempts make him the player Everton’s left side has to stop first.
In Europe, Arsenal had won both Champions League games before Munich, 1-0 in Naples and 3-0 at home to Lille. The result in Bavaria wasn’t known when this preview was written, and the bigger question for Saturday is how many minutes the regulars had to play there on a three-day turnaround.
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Everton: four draws in seven, and blank in two of their last five 
Everton’s season has been built on draws. They drew 2-2 with Manchester United on 6 September, 0-0 at Tottenham six days later and 2-2 at Hull on 11 October, with a 1-0 home win over Ipswich on 19 September in between.
The most recent result was the worst of the run. Chelsea won 2-0 at Everton on 17 October, and it means Everton travel to London having failed to score in two of their last five league games, the 0-0 in north London being the other.
That goalless draw at Tottenham is the template they’ll want to copy. Their two most recent away league games both finished level, and three clean sheets across the season show the defence can hold a line for 90 minutes when the shape stays compact.
Thierno Barry carries most of the threat, with three league goals from 25 shots, 11 of them on target. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall has two goals and an assist from midfield, and Jack Grealish is expected to start in the line behind the striker, although one projected line-up has Alcaraz leading the attack instead of Barry.
There are no fresh fitness worries beyond Vitaliy Mykolenko, who has a knock and is a doubt at left-back. Jordan Pickford, James Tarkowski and Jarrad Branthwaite give Everton a solid spine, and the shortage is a second source of goals behind Barry.
Probable lineup Arsenal: Raya; White, Konsa, Gabriel, Calafiori; Lewis-Skelly, Rice; Madueke, Ødegaard, Saka; Havertz
Probable lineup Everton: Pickford; Maitland-Niles, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Garner, Armstrong; Grealish, Dewsbury-Hall, Rohl; Barry
Free Premier League Prediction: Arsenal vs Everton
Our prediction: Both teams to score – No (1.75)
Arsenal at 1.42 is too short to recommend on its own, so we’ve gone for the side of the game we trust most: Everton’s attack. They’ve scored eight in seven league games, drawn a blank in two of their last five, and didn’t score in either of the last two meetings with Arsenal.
Arsenal’s four clean sheets from seven, and a back line that has conceded five in total, make “Both teams to score: No” at 1.75 the cleaner way in. It covers an Arsenal win to nil, a goalless draw and the unlikely Everton 1-0 that their away record occasionally threatens.
The risk is fatigue after Munich and a reshuffled defence without Saliba. I think it matters less against a side averaging just over a goal a game, and anyone wanting a bigger price can take Arsenal to win to nil at 2.20.
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