- 1 Andorra vs Malta: one point against five in the last campaign, the tightest matchup of the night
- 2 Andorra: one win in 2026, and it came against the weakest side on the schedule
- 3 Malta: a win in Finland has changed the way this team is viewed
- 4 Football prediction Andorra vs Malta
- 5 First, a word on our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information moves
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Andorra vs Malta: one point against five in the last campaign, the tightest matchup of the night 
Andorra finished its World Cup qualifying campaign with one point from eight matches. Malta picked up five over the same stretch, and that four-point gap sums up the likely balance of power on Thursday at 18:00 Paris time.
This one is being played at the Estadi de la FAF in Encamp on Matchday 1 of the Nations League. With only four teams in the group, points matter straight away, and neither side is used to stacking them up.
The attacking numbers sharpen the contrast. Andorra scored three goals in eight qualifiers, Malta four. Two totals that tell you this is miles below the standard of the rest of the card.
The defensive stats tell much the same story, just to different degrees. Sixteen conceded for the hosts, 19 for the visitors, with that 8-0 hammering in the Netherlands doing plenty of damage to Malta’s numbers.
These two already know each other well after meeting in the 2024-25 Nations League. That history helps explain why the bookmakers are refusing to split them clearly, with the draw priced around 2.60.
Even so, the market leans toward Malta. An away win is sitting around 2.35, compared with 3.55 for Andorra, a telling gap for a team on the road.
The schedule also piles pressure on the hosts. Andorra heads to Gibraltar on 27 September, which makes this home date its best chance to take something from September.
Andorra: one win in 2026, and it came against the weakest side on the schedule 
Andorra’s only win this calendar year came on 4 June, a 2-0 home victory over Liechtenstein. It was also the only match in this run where the side scored more than once.
The other four outings in 2026 were clear enough. A 3-0 defeat in Kosovo on 7 June, a 1-0 loss in Iraq on 29 May, a 0-0 draw in San Marino on 31 March, and a 2-0 defeat in Montenegro on 27 March.
The pattern jumps out: four of those five games ended with Andorra blanking. Scoring remains the hardest job for this team, even at home.
The 2025 qualifying campaign gives the harshest stat of all. Three goals in eight matches, including two in the 2-2 draw in Latvia on 11 October, the only point from Group K.
The 1-3 loss to Serbia in Encamp on 14 October was revealing too. Andorra did score at home, which only happened once across the whole campaign.
Hosting Malta changes the usual picture. For once, Andorra is facing an opponent that is not structurally better, and that is exactly why this game looks easy to read.
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Malta: a win in Finland has changed the way this team is viewed 
On 14 November 2025, Malta won 1-0 in Helsinki against Finland. That remains the team’s most eye-catching result over the past two years.
The follow-up showed it was no fluke. Three days later, Malta pushed Poland all the way in a 3-2 home defeat on the final day of qualifying.
2026 started in much the same away-day vein. A 2-0 win in Azerbaijan on 5 June, a 2-1 defeat in Slovakia on 1 June: two trips, only five goals between them.
The defensive record has tightened up significantly outside the heavyweights. In eight qualifying games, Malta conceded 12 of its 19 goals against the Netherlands alone, and kept clean sheets against Lithuania and Finland.
That ability to shut the door against sides at its level is the key point here. Malta drew 0-0 at home to Lithuania and 1-1 in Vilnius, two matches very much in the same bracket as this one in Encamp.
The head-to-head comparison therefore favours the visitors. They do not score much, but they score more than Andorra, and they have already shown this season that they can win away from Valletta.
Expected Andorra line-up: Not released at the time of publication.
Expected Malta line-up: Not released at the time of publication.
Football prediction Andorra vs Malta
Our prediction: Malta win (odds 2.35 – +135 – 27/20)
Malta have won 1-0 in Finland and 2-0 in Azerbaijan in their last two trips against weaker opposition. Andorra, meanwhile, have only beaten Liechtenstein and have failed to score in four of their last five matches.
The attacking output settles the argument. Four goals in eight qualifying games for Malta, three for Andorra, but Malta also have two clean sheets while Andorra have none from the same campaign.
At 2.35, the price is fair for the most likely outcome. Malta to edge it in Encamp, in a tight game where the first goal will matter and the hosts have shown little sign of turning things around if they fall behind.
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