- 1 Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: three wins and no defeats in four meetings, the head-to-head sets the scene
- 2 Poland: a defence weakened despite a 25-man squad
- 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina: one full-back missing and away trips that keep going wrong
- 4 Football Prediction Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
- 5 Before anything else, a word on our free tips
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: three wins and no defeats in four meetings, the head-to-head sets the scene 
Poland have won three of their four meetings with Bosnia and Herzegovina, with one draw and no defeats. That record is the first thing to note heading into this Nations League opener.
Kick-off is on Friday 25 September at 8:45pm Paris time at the Stadion Narodowy in Warsaw. The ground holds 58,145 spectators.
This match opens Group 4 in League B, which also features Sweden and Romania. Four teams, six rounds, and just one spot leading to the promotion play-off.
Both sides arrive with the same structural flaw. Poland have not kept a clean sheet in six games, Bosnia in five.
The FIFA rankings still give you a clear pecking order. Poland sit 36th in the world, Bosnia 61st, a gap of 25 places.
Even so, both teams come in off frustrating runs. Poland have won only once in their last five outings, while Bosnia are coming off a 2-0 defeat in the United States.
The Bosnia angle deserves a mention. Edin Dzeko announced in early September that the visit from Sweden on 2 October will be his final international, after 162 caps.
This Nations League campaign is therefore the last dance for the Dragons’ long-time captain. The trip to Warsaw comes as part of that accepted changing of the guard.
The question is whether Poland can cash in against a side in transition, even as they are going through a poor spell of their own.
The group context sharpens the stakes for this opening round. With only six matches, every home point matters straight away in the standings.
The two sides will meet again in Bosnia on the return leg. This first clash will set the tone for the group.
Poland: a defence weakened despite a 25-man squad 
One win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches: Poland’s form is hardly comforting. Seven goals scored, six conceded over the same spell.
The most recent game, a 2-2 friendly draw with Nigeria, summed things up neatly. They can score, but they never seem able to shut the door.
The two most telling defeats remain the 2-0 loss at home to Ukraine and the 3-2 reverse in Sweden. In both games, the defence cracked over time.
Poland’s squad includes 25 players, with established midfield leaders in place. Inter’s Piotr Zielinski and Jakub Moder, now at Feyenoord, anchor the middle of the pitch.
At the back, the spine runs through Matty Cash, Jakub Kiwior and Jan Ziolkowski. The first plays for Aston Villa, the second for FC Porto, the third for Roma.
The biggest absence is Jan Bednarek, who is suspended until 14 October. He will miss the first two rounds of the campaign.
In goal, Kamil Grabara is out for the season after a cruciate ligament rupture. Bartosz Mrozek, Mateusz Kochalski and Bartlomiej Dragowski share the spot.
Jakub Piotrowski also misses out due to heart problems, as does Oskar Pietuszewski, who is sidelined by a muscle issue.
The key point is home advantage. With four absentees and a leaky back line, Poland need the Stadion Narodowy to make up for what they lack on paper.
The 3-2 loss in Sweden is the most frustrating result in the run. Poland scored twice there and still couldn’t see it through.
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Bosnia and Herzegovina: one full-back missing and away trips that keep going wrong 
Bosnia have won only one of their last five matches, a 3-1 victory over Qatar. The rest of the run is a mix of draws and clear defeats.
The two away losses tell the story. A 2-0 defeat in the United States, and above all a 4-1 hammering in Switzerland, the heaviest loss in the sequence.
The two draws, 1-1 in Canada and 1-1 in Panama, say the same thing. Away from Zenica, this team scores little and gives up too much.
Amar Dedic is the only confirmed absentee, injured and not expected back until mid-October. The right-back joined Newcastle in the August 2026 window, with Benfica receiving 35 million euros.
That absence strips Bosnia’s right side of its most reliable starter. Against a Poland side that likes to attack down the flanks, the opening is obvious.
Edin Dzeko remains available for this trip, before his final match on 2 October. The 40-year-old striker is now playing out his last international appearances.
The replacement issue will crop up quickly. Bosnia still have not found a forward who can step into that role for the long haul.
The real issue is defensive. Five games without a clean sheet and a 4-1 loss in their last major European away trip: Bosnia’s block does not look built to survive 90 minutes in Warsaw.
The 3-1 win over Qatar remains the only positive attacking note. Against European opposition, Bosnia’s output drops sharply.
Probable Poland line-up: Not announced at the time of publication.
Probable Bosnia and Herzegovina line-up: Not announced at the time of publication.
Football Prediction Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina
Our prediction: Poland to win
The head-to-head is the clearest argument. Three Poland wins in four meetings, one draw, no defeats: Bosnia have never found the answer against this opponent.
The away numbers back it up. Bosnia conceded four in Switzerland and have not won on the road during their recent run, with Amar Dedic also missing on the right.
Poland are far from perfect, but they are at home in a 58,000-seat stadium and get Zielinski and Moder back in midfield. That should be enough against a side at the end of a cycle.
The call is clear: Poland to win at the Stadion Narodowy.
The Stadion Narodowy is also a real factor. With 58,145 seats, Warsaw’s ground demands a tempo Bosnia have not handled on their recent travels.
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