- 1 Tunisia vs Uganda: Carthage Eagles already under pressure in Rades
- 2 Tunisia: a World Cup to forget, and no time to waste in Rades
- 3 Uganda: real promise, blunt finishing
- 4 Football Prediction Tunisia vs Uganda
- 5 First, a word on our free predictions
- 6 No obligation from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible play first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the visuals…
Tunisia vs Uganda: Carthage Eagles already under pressure in Rades 
Tunisia kick off their 2027 AFCON qualifying campaign on Thursday at 21:00 Paris time. The stage is the Stade Olympique de Rades, against an Uganda side they know well.
Group H brings together Tunisia, Uganda, Libya and Botswana. On paper, the Carthage Eagles start as the clear favourites.
But paper, right now, does not count for much with this team. The 2026 World Cup left deep scars and doubt has settled in.
Mouine Chaabani has named a 26-man squad for this window, with Uganda first up and Botswana to follow. The message is simple: hit reset, and fast.
The two sides already met on 23 December at the AFCON, a game Tunisia won 3-1. Nine months on, the setting changes but the balance of power stays the same.
CAF has put the match in the hands of Mauritanian referee Abdel Aziz Bouh, backed by an all-Mauritanian crew. Neutral enough on paper, but this could turn spicy quickly.
A win on Thursday and Tunisia steady the ship. Drop points at home, and this campaign starts in a panic.
Tunisia have not won since 29 March, a run stretching close to six months without a victory. That is heavy baggage for a side used to ruling its patch.
Rades, though, remains one of the toughest places on the continent to go. Tunisian fans want a proper response after the summer their team just endured.
Tunisia: a World Cup to forget, and no time to waste in Rades 
Tunisia’s 2026 World Cup was a three-game horror show. Sweden 5-1, Japan 4-0, Netherlands 3-1 – 12 goals shipped, two scored.
The opening rout against Sweden cost Faouzi Lamouchi his job after a single match. Rarely has a national team turned so quickly.
The build-up offered little comfort either. They were beaten 5-0 by Belgium on 6 June, then lost 1-0 to Austria five days earlier.
You have to go back to 29 March and a slim 1-0 win in Haiti to find Tunisia’s last victory. That’s a long time.
At the December AFCON, the record was already shaky: a 3-2 defeat to Nigeria, then two 1-1 draws with Tanzania and Mali. No win from three group games.
The only real positive remains that 3-1 win over Uganda on 23 December. It is the last game on record where the Eagles were truly in charge of an opponent.
Chaabani takes over a squad short on confidence, but still carrying far more individual quality than Thursday’s opponents. At Rades, with the crowd behind them, the task becomes manageable again.
The gap between the team’s individual talent and its collective results is still glaring. The Eagles have a much deeper pool than Uganda, including in attack.
The qualifier format is ruthless: four teams, two places, six rounds. Drop points at home from the start and you can kiss the campaign goodbye.
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Uganda: real promise, blunt finishing 
The Cranes went out in the group stage at the last AFCON. Three matches, one point, three goals scored and seven conceded.
Their tournament began with that 3-1 defeat to Tunisia on 23 December. They then drew 1-1 with Tanzania before falling 3-1 to Nigeria.
That looked very different from their qualifying run in autumn 2025. Uganda put together a 4-0 win over Mozambique, a 2-0 success against Somalia and a 1-0 victory away to Botswana.
This is a side that can be stubborn when it sits deep and breaks. It also pushed Algeria all the way before losing 2-1 in October 2025.
The problem comes when a stronger opponent forces the tempo. The 4-0 loss in Morocco in November 2025 said plenty about the limits of this block when it gets pushed back.
Across their last five listed games, the Cranes have won just once, a 2-1 friendly win over Chad. The rest has been a mix of draws and defeats against better sides.
Opening an African qualifying campaign away in Rades is one of the hardest jobs on the continent. Uganda will need a near-perfect display to leave with anything.
Their strength is collective discipline when under pressure. The 1-0 win in Botswana in October 2025 showed exactly how they can grind out tight games.
Their last trip to a major North African side, though, ended badly. The 4-0 loss in Morocco in November 2025 is a serious warning.
Probable Tunisia line-up: Not announced at the time of publication.
Probable Uganda line-up: Not announced at the time of publication.
Football Prediction Tunisia vs Uganda
Our prediction: Tunisia to win
Tunisia beat Uganda 3-1 nine months ago, in a much calmer setting than a packed-out Rades. The individual gap has not changed since then.
Uganda have won only one of their last five matches and have conceded seven goals in three AFCON games. Against a Tunisia side under pressure, desperate to protect its status in front of its own fans, that will not be enough.
The Carthage Eagles need a clean result to calm the noise, and they have the ideal opponent for it. We are backing Tunisia to win.
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