Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces – Free WNBA Prediction – September 17, 2026

Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces : Aces up against the West basement dwellers

Seattle host Las Vegas as the regular season gets going again. The Storm are in real trouble, with just eight wins from 40 games, while the Aces have rattled off three straight. On paper, there is a clear gap between these two sides, even if this restart after more than two weeks without a game could muddy the waters early on.

The last meeting was tight enough, with Las Vegas winning 101-91. Since then, though, the Aces have backed up their ability to put weaker teams away. Seattle will need to stand up defensively and avoid letting the game slip away too quickly. For Las Vegas, the brief is simple: take the win and keep climbing in the West.

Seattle Storm will look to end this painful losing run

The Seattle Storm’s season has been rough, no way around it. Out of 40 games, Seattle have managed only eight wins, a success rate of just 20%. The recent form does not exactly scream turnaround either, with the Storm losing four of their last five.

The problems are most obvious at the offensive end. Seattle are averaging just over 82 points a game this season and 84.4 across their last 10. At home, that number rises to 85.3, still below what Las Vegas are posting. The Storm will need answers if they are to avoid getting bullied by the Aces’ defence.

Home court, though, does offer something to lean on. Seattle can feed off the crowd, raise the defensive intensity and make life awkward for the visitors, especially in the opening minutes after such a long break. But against a Las Vegas side averaging 90.4 points per game this season, the Storm will need a seriously tidy performance just to stay in touch.

The Aces and A’ja Wilson are back in action

Las Vegas arrive in far better shape. The Aces are riding a three-game winning streak, with two wins over Toronto and one against Connecticut. Yes, those teams sit near the bottom of the standings, but Las Vegas did the job and can now keep pushing up the table.

Across the season, the Aces are averaging 90.4 points scored and 86.81 allowed. Their offence is clearly more dangerous than Seattle’s, and their output on the road is still impressive at 91.19 points per game. After more than two weeks off, the main question is whether they can hit their attacking stride straight away.

Still, Las Vegas have the individual quality to swing this one hard in their favour. A’ja Wilson, who missed Team USA’s World Cup triumph, should arrive in Seattle determined to get back to top gear. Jackie Young also comes in on the back of a standout display for the United States against France, while Chelsea Gray brings calm and experience at the point. With that sort of firepower and plenty on the line in the West, the Aces have strong reasons to win comfortably.

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WNBA Prediction : Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces

Las Vegas Aces to win by 10 points or more / handicap (-10)

We are backing Las Vegas to win by at least 10 points. The recent trend is hard to ignore, as the Aces have cleared that margin in each of their last three games, winning by 20, 10 and 23 points. That sort of spread says plenty about how quickly they can take control when they face teams they are expected to beat.

The head-to-head record also leans towards this handicap. In the last four meetings, Las Vegas have won by margins of 10, 1, 3 and 25 points. The most recent clash, back at the start of the summer, ended 101-91 in the Aces’ favour. Seattle can scrap, sure, but the history suggests Las Vegas have the tools to open up a decent gap.

The offensive difference between the teams is also hard to overlook. Seattle are averaging around 82.8 points per game in the figures provided, compared with 90.4 for Las Vegas. Even if the long layoff slows both attacks early, the Aces simply have more ways to keep scoring if the rhythm is a bit off.

And make no mistake, Las Vegas still have a reason to take this seriously in the West standings race. Against a Seattle side that is bottom of the pile and has lost four of its last five, the Aces should see an opportunity and take it. With A’ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray, Las Vegas have enough to set the pace and maybe turn this into a double-digit win.

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