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Lecce vs Monza Serie A Prediction

Lecce vs Monza – Free Prediction Serie A – September 13, 2026

Lecce vs Monza: three straight blanks against three wasted chances Serie A

Three matches on the spin without a goal for Lecce, three promising situations blown by Monza: this scrap near the bottom of the table pits two sides with very obvious flaws against each other. Kick-off is on Sunday 13 September at 3:00 p.m. Paris time at the Stadio Via del Mare.

The clubs are separated by three places in the table, with Lecce sitting 14th. Neither side has won since the opening day.

The Salentini are still living off their only win of the season, a 2-0 success in Venice on opening weekend. Since then, it has been three defeats, all without scoring.

Monza, back in the top flight, are still waiting for a league win. They have, though, scored in each of their three Serie A outings.

Lecce’s attacking problems go beyond this season. Only two teams scored fewer goals than Lecce last term, and both were relegated.

Still, one thing is in the hosts’ favour: Lecce have never lost a Serie A home game against Monza at the Via del Mare. The history here leans their way.

Eusebio Di Francesco and Ivan Juric come in with the same target and opposite headaches. One needs goals, the other needs to protect a lead.

The squad news matters, too. Lecce need to check on Willem Geubbels’ ankle, while Monza are without captain Matteo Pessina and Jan Ziółkowski.

A return could change things for the visitors, though. Gustavo Varela, out against Parma with a thigh issue, already has four goals in all competitions.

The two clubs have had very different fortunes in the Coppa Italia. Lecce went down 2-0 to Palermo, while Monza won 1-0 away at Torino.

Lecce: one win and only two scorers in three league games Lecce

The record is laid out across four competitive games: a 2-0 win in Venice, a 4-0 hammering by Roma, a 2-0 Coppa Italia exit against Palermo, then a 1-0 defeat at Cagliari. Three losses, no goals in those three games.

Losing to Roma, the current league leaders, is easy enough to explain. Failing to hit the target against Palermo and Cagliari points to something deeper.

Only two players have found the net since the season began. Olaf Gorter and Tiago Gabriel have scored every goal the club have managed.

A defender and a midfielder carrying the scoring load says plenty about the state of the attack. Di Francesco needs his forwards to start earning their keep.

Last season’s late escape from relegation hangs over all of this. The club have started with the same old symptoms, which is why nerves are already setting in.

As for availability, the group is mostly in good shape. The medical staff still have to assess Willem Geubbels’ ankle sprain, though his involvement remains doubtful.

So a visit from a promoted side looks like a chance. Lecce just have to find the target, which they have not done in three matches.

The table tells the story. 14th after three rounds, Lecce have not added a point since opening weekend.

Home advantage remains one of the few things they can hang on to. Lecce have never lost a Serie A home match against Monza at the Via del Mare.

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Monza: goals everywhere, but no results kept Monza

Their return to the top flight began with a trip to Inter and a 4-1 defeat. Then came a 3-2 loss to Udinese and a 1-1 draw at Parma.

The common thread is hard to miss. Each time, Monza put themselves in a strong position and then let it slip.

Against Inter, the Brianzoli had pulled level before half-time. Against Udinese, they also clawed back in before going down 3-2.

The same script played out at Parma. Jay Robinson opened the scoring before the break, only for Simone Lontani to level it up on the hour.

One result does soften that picture: the 1-0 win in Turin in the Coppa Italia, away to Torino. Juric’s side know how to win on the road.

Gustavo Varela is the man to watch. Signed in the summer 2026 window, the forward already has four goals, two in the league and two in the cup, and should be back after missing the Parma match with a thigh problem.

The absences do weigh on the balance of the side, though. Captain Matteo Pessina, out with a knee issue, and Jan Ziółkowski, sidelined by a foot injury, are both unavailable, while Patrick Ciurria and Cyril Ngonge remain doubts.

The bigger picture is mixed. Monza are creating chances and scoring regularly, but they have not yet shown they can hold on for 90 league minutes.

This trip to Apulia looks like the most winnable game of their early season. Juric is up against a team that has not scored in three straight matches.

Probable Lecce XI: Falcone ; Veiga, Gaspar, Gabriel, Gallo ; Coulibaly, Ngom, Ilić ; Pierotti, Štulić, Monteiro

Probable Monza XI: Thiam ; Kouadio, Lucchesi, Carboni ; Birindelli, Akinsanmiro, Folorunsho, Mangas ; Colpani, Robinson ; Varela

Serie A Prediction Lecce vs Monza

Our tip: Monza or draw

Lecce have not scored in three matches and have only had two scorers since the start of the season. A team that cannot hit the target does not win these kinds of games.

Monza, by contrast, have found the net in each of their three league outings, and they just won in Turin in the Coppa Italia. Varela’s return, after already scoring four times this season, adds another threat.

Monza’s shaky defending makes the straight away win less appealing, which is why backing the draw makes sense too. Monza or the tie is the play.

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