- 1 Lazio vs Genoa: six straight wins and the numbers behind the gap
- 2 Lazio put it right in Bologna
- 3 Genoa are still waiting for their first point
- 4 Serie A Prediction Lazio vs Genoa
- 5 First, a word on our free tips
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Lazio vs Genoa: six straight wins and the numbers behind the gap 
Lazio have beaten Genoa in each of their last six meetings, scoring 13 and conceding just 2. That gap sets the tone for the second round of Serie A, on Sunday 30 August at 21h45 at the Stadio Olimpico.
Across the bigger picture, the two clubs have met 39 times, with 21 wins for Lazio, 13 for Genoa and 5 draws. The recent run has only made an old edge look even more one-sided.
The early-season table tells a similar story. Rome opened with three points in Bologna, while Genoa lost at home to Napoli.
Gennaro Gattuso took charge in Rome this summer after a tough spell in charge of Italy. His start has been rough, capped by an early Coppa Italia exit against Mantova, a Serie B side.
Daniele De Rossi is beginning his first full season in charge of the Ligurians. His stated aim is simple enough: avoid another scrap for survival, which means doing better than the four away wins Lazio managed last season.
The Stadio Olimpico setting deserves its own mention. A boycott from part of the crowd often leaves the ground looking half-empty, and that strips away a good chunk of Lazio’s home advantage.
That goes a long way towards explaining Lazio’s poor home return last season. It also gives Genoa, badly outplayed in the head-to-head, at least a sliver of hope.
So this one comes down to a clear clash between form and context, with the stadium atmosphere blunting the home side’s edge. That tension between the data and the setting is what makes this match so easy to read.
Lazio put it right in Bologna 
Dumped out at home by Mantova in the Coppa Italia, Lazio answered at the very next opportunity at the Stadio Dall’Ara. Three points from Bologna was the ideal response after a defeat that did real damage to their image.
Davide Frattesi, a summer signing, scored on his Serie A debut for his new club. The Romans then saw the game out over the final half-hour without conceding.
One detail underlines how rare that was: it has been 16 years since a player last scored in each of his first two Serie A appearances for Lazio. Frattesi gets the chance to finish that off on Sunday.
The main issue for the Romans is still their home record. Eight wins from 19 league games at home last season helped drag the club down to ninth and out of Europe.
There is a small counterweight, though: Lazio have won their first home league game in four of the last five seasons. Sunday fits that pattern exactly.
Up front, Boulaye Dia has started both competitive games so far this season. Andrea Pinamonti, signed from Sassuolo this summer, and Petar Ratkov complete a forward line that has been rebuilt after the exits of Taty Castellanos and Ciro Immobile.
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Genoa are still waiting for their first point 
Genoa began their season with a comfortable cup win over Ascoli, before welcoming Napoli for their Serie A opener. That went wrong late on, with a 2-0 defeat sealed by two goals conceded in the final 10 minutes.
That was hardly a freak result against Napoli. Genoa had won just one of their previous 26 league meetings with them, so the slide continued as expected.
De Rossi’s real work lies elsewhere, away from home and in the closing stages of matches. Four away wins in a whole season is the kind of return that leaves a club staring at relegation trouble.
Genoa did come close to a shock in Rome in February, losing 3-2 to a Danilo Cataldi penalty in the 100th minute. The margin is there, but it has never turned into points.
The attack has been strengthened this summer with the signing of Milutin Osmajic from Preston North End. The Montenegro international is direct competition for Lorenzo Colombo up top.
Two other new arrivals, Elias Havel and Hamed Traore, are out injured. Aside from those absences, De Rossi has almost a full squad for this trip to Lazio.
Probable Lazio line-up: Mandas; Lazzari, Doekhi, Provstgaard, Pedraza; Frattesi, Rovella, Taylor; Isaksen, Dia, Zaccagni. Note the absences of Patric, Danilo Cataldi, Adam Marusic and Fisayo Dele-Bashiru.
Probable Genoa line-up: Bijlow; Marcandalli, Ostigard, Vasquez; Norton-Cuffy, Frendrup, Sow, Ellertsson; Baldanzi, Vitinha; Colombo.
Serie A Prediction Lazio vs Genoa
Our prediction: Lazio win
Six straight wins and a 13-2 aggregate in this fixture is more than enough to suggest this is no coincidence. Genoa offered little against Napoli to suggest that Sunday will be the day the trend breaks.
Lazio have also won their first home game in four of the last five seasons, and they arrive on the back of a win in Bologna. Genoa, by contrast, are still living with a season-long away record of four wins.
The empty backdrop at the Olimpico is Genoa’s only real card, and it does not look enough to cancel out the difference in class or momentum. Back the Romans to get it done.
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