Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano – Free Football Prediction and Predictions – Liga – May 23, 2026

Alaves – Rayo Vallecano: Europe on the line

Mendizorroza hosts the final round of the season on Saturday. The Basque side have already secured survival in the top flight. Rayo Vallecano arrive with one clear target. The European race rests entirely on Madrid shoulders.

Alaves get the job done

Quique Sanchez Flores has done exactly what was asked of him in the survival scramble. Sixteen points from their last 11 games have underlined the turnaround. That tight win at Real Oviedo settled the club’s fate. Toni Martinez scored the decisive goal in that crucial away trip. The Basque club are now chasing back-to-back home wins in front of their own fans. They have not managed that since last September. The head-to-head numbers in Vitoria point to the hosts too. Three wins from the last four home meetings with Rayo Vallecano.

The Rayo Vallecano mission

A Conference League final against Crystal Palace is coming up for Rayo Vallecano. But the league still matters. They are just a point behind seventh-placed Getafe. Inigo Perez has a group buzzing with belief. Six straight matches without defeat have kept the run alive. Their controlled win over Villarreal showed exactly why. Club icon Oscar Trejo said goodbye to the crowd in that victory. Rayo have to win if they are to grab that European place. The first goal could be huge. All four of their away wins this season came after they struck first.

Expected line-ups

Alaves : Sivera ; Tengalia, Koski, Parada ; Perez, Guridi, Blanco, Suarez, Rebbach ; Martinez, Diabate

Rayo Vallecano : Batalla ; Balliu, Lejeune, Mendy, Pacha ; Valentin, Gumbau ; De Frutos, Diaz, Perez ; Camello

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Football Prediction Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

Alaves to win

With no pressure on them, the home side should be able to play with freedom. The visitors, by contrast, could easily lose focus with a continental final looming.

Rayo may struggle to dictate the tempo against a Basque side playing with nothing to fear. The scoreboard should reflect a solid home win by the final whistle.

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